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BWXT or JOBY or KTOS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BWX Technologies (BWXT) vs. Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BWXT has delivered over 100% one-year gains and positive YTD performance around 15%, fueled by strong nuclear demand and a $7.3 billion backlog.
- JOBY shows high volatility with 44% one-year upside but trails YTD at -30%, reflecting eVTOL progress amid ongoing cash burn and pre-commercial risks.
- KTOS boasts 167% one-year returns and 11% YTD, driven by drone and hypersonic contracts, though recent pullbacks highlight momentum sensitivity.
- BWXT offers profitability with a P/E of 56x and steady revenue growth, contrasting JOBY's losses and KTOS's elevated 650x P/E amid rapid expansion.
- All three benefit from defense and advanced tech exposure, but BWXT's lower beta (0.81) signals greater stability versus KTOS (1.15) and JOBY's speculative profile.
- Recent earnings beats across the board underscore sector strength, with BWXT and KTOS showing operational leverage over JOBY's development focus.
Introduction
This comparison examines BWXT, JOBY, and KTOS, three stocks spanning nuclear propulsion, electric air mobility, and unmanned defense systems. These companies operate in high-growth aerospace and defense niches amid rising geopolitical tensions and technological innovation. Traders seeking momentum in volatile sectors or investors eyeing long-term defense spending trends will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuation sensitivities, and recent catalysts. With nuclear revival, eVTOL commercialization, and drone proliferation shaping market dynamics, this head-to-head highlights key contrasts in stability, growth potential, and risk profiles.
BWXT Overview and Recent Performance
BWXT, or BWX Technologies, specializes in nuclear components for naval propulsion, commercial power, and medical applications. In recent market activity, shares have surged over 100% in the past year and posted positive YTD returns near 15%, outperforming the S&P 500. This momentum stems from robust Q4 2025 results, with revenues up 18.7% to $886 million and adjusted EPS of $1.08 beating estimates by 22%. Full-year sales hit $3.2 billion, up 18%, supported by a backlog expansion to $7.3 billion—up 50% year-over-year—driven by naval contracts and commercial nuclear demand. Sentiment has been bolstered by nuclear energy tailwinds and defense budgets, though recent weeks saw minor pullbacks amid broader market rotations. Trading at a market cap of $18.3 billion with a P/E of 56x, BWXT reflects premium valuation tied to its stable government exposure and growth outlook of 17% revenue in 2026.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
JOBY, or Joby Aviation, develops electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air mobility. Shares have risen about 44% over the past year but declined roughly 30% YTD, underperforming amid high development costs. Recent weeks reflect volatility, with Q4 2025 revenues of $31 million beating estimates via acquisitions, though losses persist due to R&D scaling. Cash reserves top $2.5 billion post-financing, funding manufacturing ramps toward four aircraft monthly. Progress includes FAA testing and partnerships, yet pre-revenue status in core operations weighs on sentiment. At a $9 billion market cap, JOBY trades without a P/E due to unprofitability, emphasizing its speculative growth narrative in air taxi services against certification timelines and cash burn risks.
KTOS Overview and Recent Performance
KTOS, or Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, focuses on unmanned systems, hypersonics, and satellite tech. Shares have soared 167% over the past year and 11% YTD, though recent weeks featured pullbacks from peaks. Q4 2025 revenues climbed 22% to $345 million with EPS of $0.18 topping forecasts by 29%, fueled by drone production and counter-UAS contracts worth millions. Full-year sales reached $1.35 billion, up 18%. A new hypersonic facility and $30 million in awards enhance positioning. With a $15.8 billion market cap and lofty P/E near 650x, KTOS captures defense innovation premiums but faces risks from execution in high-growth unmanned segments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BWXT, JOBY, and KTOS share aerospace ties but diverge in models: BWXT's established nuclear manufacturing yields steady government revenues (18% growth), contrasting JOBY's pre-revenue eVTOL innovation and KTOS's agile unmanned focus (22% recent surge). Growth drivers include BWXT's naval backlog, JOBY's FAA milestones, and KTOS's hypersonic contracts. Recent momentum favors KTOS's 167% one-year run, but BWXT's stability shines amid rotations. Risks tilt speculative for JOBY (cash burn, certification delays) versus execution for KTOS and supply chains for BWXT. Sector exposure spans defense (BWXT/KTOS dominant) and urban mobility (JOBY). Valuations embed premiums: BWXT's 56x P/E and low beta (0.81) versus KTOS's 650x and 1.15 beta; JOBY lacks P/E amid losses. Sentiment leans bullish on defense catalysts, with BWXT offering trade-offs in reliability over JOBY/KTOS upside potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BWXT for its trend consistency, profitability, and $7.3 billion backlog positioning it strongly amid nuclear and defense upcycles. Relative to JOBY's volatility and KTOS's momentum risks, BWXT's lower beta and earnings beats suggest higher probability of sustained outperformance in stable environments, though catalysts could shift dynamics probabilistically.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BWXT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileJOBY’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and KTOS’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- BWXT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KTOS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BWXT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JOBY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and KTOS’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BWXT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- JOBY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KTOS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +6.79% price change this week, while JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was -1.88% , and KTOS (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +4.50% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.47%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +1.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
BWXT is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
KTOS is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.88% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Air Freight/Couriers (+1.12% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
| BWXT | JOBY | KTOS | |
| Capitalization | 21B | 8.17B | 13.2B |
| EBITDA | 552M | -679.43M | 103M |
| Gain YTD | 33.006 | -36.818 | -7.338 |
| P/E Ratio | 64.13 | N/A | 541.08 |
| Revenue | 3.2B | 53.4M | 1.35B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.41B | 561M |
| Total Debt | 2.02B | 36.8M | 146M |
BWXT | KTOS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | 88 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KTOS's Valuation (94) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BWXT (96). This means that KTOS’s stock grew similarly to BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (61). This means that BWXT’s stock grew somewhat faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's SMR Rating (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (88). This means that BWXT’s stock grew somewhat faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as KTOS (63). This means that BWXT’s stock grew similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as KTOS (14). This means that BWXT’s stock grew similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
| BWXT | JOBY | KTOS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 68% | 6 days ago 78% | 26 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 13 days ago 82% | 10 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 70% |
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BWXT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BWXT has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BWXT jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BWXT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | 100% | -0.31% | ||
| CW - BWXT | 79% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| HWM - BWXT | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.55% | ||
| KTOS - BWXT | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.94% | ||
| AIR - BWXT | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.80% | ||
| MRCY - BWXT | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.47% | ||
More | ||||
JOBY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JOBY has been loosely correlated with SRTA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 36% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JOBY jumps, then SRTA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JOBY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOBY | 100% | +0.72% | ||
| SRTA - JOBY | 36% Loosely correlated | -0.25% | ||
| ASLE - JOBY | 27% Poorly correlated | +0.15% | ||
| OMAB - JOBY | 24% Poorly correlated | -1.04% | ||
| CAAP - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | -0.04% | ||
| SOAR - JOBY | 22% Poorly correlated | +15.85% | ||
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KTOS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KTOS has been loosely correlated with KRMN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KTOS jumps, then KRMN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KTOS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTOS | 100% | +2.94% | ||
| KRMN - KTOS | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.02% | ||
| AVAV - KTOS | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| DRS - KTOS | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.21% | ||
| MRCY - KTOS | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.47% | ||
| HII - KTOS | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.22% | ||
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