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BWXT or LHX or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BWX Technologies (BWXT) vs. L3Harris Technologies (LHX) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BWXT delivers strong YTD gains of about 13%, driven by nuclear contracts and robust Q4 earnings, though trading at a premium PE of 55x.
- LHX leads YTD performance at 25% with solid Q4 results and defense expansion tailwinds, supported by a market cap over $68B and PE around 43x.
- TDG lags YTD at 3% amid acquisition integration but maintains high margins and a $73B market cap, with analysts targeting higher prices.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense sector momentum, but LHX shows superior scale and recent momentum.
- Valuations reflect growth expectations, with BWXT most stretched on relative performance metrics.
- Tickeron’s AI bots in aerospace/defense sectors report annualized returns up to 97%, highlighting algorithmic interest in the space.
Introduction
BWX Technologies (BWXT), L3Harris Technologies (LHX), and TransDigm Group (TDG) operate in the aerospace and defense sector, supplying nuclear components, advanced electronics, and aircraft parts respectively. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, financial metrics, and market positioning amid rising defense budgets and geopolitical tensions. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term growth in secure, government-backed revenues will find value in understanding their relative strengths, valuations, and sector catalysts for informed portfolio decisions.
BWXT Overview and Recent Performance
BWX Technologies (BWXT), a leading provider of nuclear components for U.S. naval propulsion and commercial reactors, has seen positive stock behavior in recent market activity. Shares have gained around 13% YTD and nearly 96% over the past year, trading near $195 with a $17.9B market cap. Q4 2025 revenues rose 19% to $886M, with EPS of $1.08 beating estimates, fueled by a $7.4B backlog and defense contracts for uranium enrichment. Sentiment remains bullish, with analysts raising targets to $231-$235 amid nuclear energy demand and Project Pele advancements, though high PE of 55x signals premium pricing.
LHX Overview and Recent Performance
L3Harris Technologies (LHX), a major player in defense electronics, communications, and missile systems, has outperformed peers with 25% YTD and 75% one-year gains, currently around $367 and a $69B market cap. Recent Q4 results showed $5.65B revenue (up 5% organically) and adjusted EPS of $2.86 exceeding forecasts, with full-year orders at $27.5B and strong free cash flow of $2.8B. Leadership shifts and missile IPO focus, alongside U.S. production ramp-ups, bolster sentiment, with targets up to $418 and PE at 43x reflecting scale advantages.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group (TDG) designs and supplies specialized aircraft components, emphasizing aftermarket and defense. Shares trade near $1,295 with a $73B market cap, up 3% YTD but flat over one year following pullbacks. Q1 FY2026 revenue hit $2.29B (up 14%), with EBITDA margins over 52% despite $3.2B acquisitions like Stellant Systems. Analyst upgrades to Buy persist, targeting $1,594, though integration risks and high debt temper enthusiasm amid sector supply chain pressures; PE stands at 42x.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the top performers from hundreds of AI trading bots that analyze thousands of tickers across diverse strategies, timeframes, and market conditions. Only those demonstrating superior adaptability—like high win rates of 70-95% and profit factors up to 25—in current volatility earn a spot. Aerospace and defense bots shine, with annualized returns from 32% to 97% on tickers like ITA, DFEN, and PPA, alongside broader themes in semiconductors (up to 215%) and infrastructure. Stats include 52-95% win rates, 1.6-25 profit factors, and low drawdowns, showcasing varied swing, scalping, and hedging approaches. Explore these bots to align with prevailing trends.
Head-to-Head Comparison
BWXT, LHX, and TDG share aerospace/defense exposure but diverge in models: BWXT’s nuclear focus offers stable government contracts (book-to-bill 2.6x), while LHX leverages electronics scale for diversified growth (1.3x book-to-bill), and TDG pursues acquisitive aftermarket dominance (52% margins). Recent momentum favors LHX (25% YTD) over BWXT (13%) and TDG (3%), tied to missile demand. Risks include TDG’s debt from deals, BWXT’s valuation sensitivity (55x PE vs. peers’ 42x), and sector supply squeezes. Sentiment tilts positive on defense spending, with LHX best positioned for catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors LHX due to its leading YTD momentum, earnings beats, massive order backlog, and analyst upgrades amid defense rearmament trends. Relative stability from diversified revenues and lower PE versus BWXT enhance its positioning, while TDG trails on recent underperformance. Probabilistic edge leans toward continued outperformance in current conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BWXT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileLHX’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BWXT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- LHX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BWXT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LHX’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BWXT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LHX’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -1.97% price change this week, while LHX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -2.62% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +3.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +1.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
BWXT is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
LHX is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+1.71% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| BWXT | LHX | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 20.9B | 65.1B | 72B |
| EBITDA | 552M | 3.75B | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | 32.235 | 19.148 | -4.153 |
| P/E Ratio | 63.75 | 40.86 | 41.01 |
| Revenue | 3.2B | 21.9B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.07B | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 2.02B | 11.1B | 30B |
BWXT | LHX | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 62 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 95 Overvalued | 20 Undervalued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 28 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | 75 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 47 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 26 | 75 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 | 38 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LHX's Valuation (20) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BWXT (95) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that LHX's stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s and significantly faster than BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDG (23) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as LHX (28) in the null industry. This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and similarly to LHX’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's SMR Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BWXT (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for LHX (75) in the null industry. This means that TDG's stock grew similarly to BWXT’s and somewhat faster than LHX’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LHX (47) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TDG (58) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to LHX’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LHX (26) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (75) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to LHX’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| BWXT | LHX | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | N/A | 1 day ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 69% | 16 days ago 54% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 55% | 1 day ago 51% | 6 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 60% |
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BWXT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BWXT has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BWXT jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BWXT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | 100% | -3.20% | ||
| CW - BWXT | 79% Closely correlated | -0.77% | ||
| MRCY - BWXT | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| KTOS - BWXT | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.63% | ||
| HWM - BWXT | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.03% | ||
| AIR - BWXT | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.87% | ||
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LHX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LHX has been loosely correlated with GD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LHX jumps, then GD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LHX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHX | 100% | -0.51% | ||
| GD - LHX | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.23% | ||
| HII - LHX | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| NOC - LHX | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.24% | ||
| KTOS - LHX | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.63% | ||
| BWXT - LHX | 49% Loosely correlated | -3.20% | ||
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TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | +0.69% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| VVX - TDG | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.87% | ||
| SAFRY - TDG | 39% Loosely correlated | -3.30% | ||
| RYCEY - TDG | 36% Loosely correlated | -3.72% | ||
| SARO - TDG | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.19% | ||
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