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BWXT or NOC or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BWX Technologies (BWXT) vs. Northrop Grumman (NOC) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BWXT has surged over 100% in the past year, outperforming peers with strong nuclear demand driving recent momentum.
- NOC shows solid year-to-date gains around 28%, bolstered by defense contracts amid geopolitical tensions.
- TDG lags with a roughly 6% year-to-date decline, facing supply chain pressures despite robust Q1 revenue growth.
- All three operate in aerospace and defense, but BWXT benefits from nuclear specialization, while NOC and TDG focus on broader systems and components.
- Recent earnings beats across the board highlight sector resilience, though valuation premiums vary significantly.
- AI models favor momentum leaders in trending defense environments.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BWXT, NOC, and TDG, key players in the aerospace and defense sector. These companies provide critical components, systems, and nuclear technologies amid rising global tensions and sustained U.S. military spending. Traders seeking momentum in defense-related equities and investors eyeing long-term sector growth will find value in analyzing their relative performance, business models, and market positioning. With recent earnings highlighting operational strength, this overview aids decisions in a volatile market environment.
BWXT Overview and Recent Performance
BWXT, or BWX Technologies, Inc., specializes in nuclear components and fuel for U.S. naval propulsion and commercial reactors. In recent market activity, shares have gained over 100% in the past year, outpacing the aerospace-defense industry by a wide margin, with year-to-date advances around 13-19%. Q4 2025 results showed revenues up 18.3% to $3.20 billion and adjusted EPS rising 20.4% to $4.01, fueled by defense contracts and nuclear demand. Sentiment has strengthened on backlog growth and investments in microreactors, though shares trade at a premium valuation. Recent weeks reflect resilience amid sector rotations toward nuclear and defense spending.
NOC Overview and Recent Performance
NOC, Northrop Grumman Corporation, is an aerospace and defense leader in aircraft, missiles, and space systems. Shares have advanced about 28% year-to-date, supported by strong Q4 results with revenues up 9.6% and adjusted EPS beating estimates by 3.3%. Recent contracts, including aircraft protection systems for Germany's CH-47 helicopters, have bolstered sentiment amid geopolitical risks. Performance reflects steady demand from U.S. and international programs, with shares maintaining gains in recent weeks despite broader market pressures. Backlog and funding visibility contribute to positive relative performance in the sector.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TDG, TransDigm Group Incorporated, designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components globally. Shares have declined around 6% year-to-date, underperforming peers amid industrial sector rotations, though recent three-month dips are modest at under 4%. Fiscal Q1 2026 revenues grew 13.9% to $2.29 billion, with EBITDA up 12.8% and adjusted EPS of $8.23 topping forecasts. Supply chain challenges and acquisition integrations have tempered momentum, but high margins near 46% sustain appeal. Recent activity shows recovery potential in commercial aerospace recovery.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BWXT, NOC, and TDG share aerospace-defense exposure but diverge in focus: BWXT's nuclear niche drives outsized growth (17%+ revenue outlook), contrasting NOC's broad systems and stable contracts versus TDG's aftermarket components with high margins but cyclical risks. Momentum favors BWXT (100%+ yearly gain) over NOC (28% YTD) and laggard TDG (-6% YTD). Valuation sensitivity is highest for BWXT at premium multiples, while TDG offers profitability edge despite risks from leverage and supply issues. NOC balances with lower volatility and international diversification. Sentiment tilts toward defense catalysts, but trade-offs include BWXT's specialization risks versus peers' scale.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors BWXT for its superior trend consistency, explosive momentum from nuclear catalysts, and relative outperformance in recent market activity. While NOC offers stability and TDG high margins, BWXT's positioning aligns best with defense sector uptrends, suggesting higher probability of near-term gains based on observable patterns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BWXT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNOC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BWXT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NOC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BWXT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NOC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BWXT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NOC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +2.71% price change this week, while NOC (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -1.26% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +4.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
BWXT is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
NOC is expected to report earnings on Apr 21, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| BWXT | NOC | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 21.6B | 94.5B | 71.5B |
| EBITDA | 552M | 7.21B | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | 36.603 | 17.043 | -4.810 |
| P/E Ratio | 65.86 | 22.88 | 40.73 |
| Revenue | 3.2B | 42B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 4.4B | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 2.02B | 17B | 30B |
BWXT | NOC | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 54 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 95 Overvalued | 63 Fair valued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 10 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | 35 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 55 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 42 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 | 37 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NOC's Valuation (63) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDG (72) and is in the same range as BWXT (95). This means that NOC's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and similarly to BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as NOC (10) and is in the same range as TDG (25). This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to NOC’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's SMR Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BWXT (33) and is in the same range as NOC (35). This means that TDG's stock grew similarly to BWXT’s and similarly to NOC’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as NOC (55) and is in the same range as TDG (58). This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to NOC’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as NOC (42) and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (77). This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to NOC’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| BWXT | NOC | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 36% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | N/A | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 32% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 69% | 18 days ago 60% | 6 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 30% | 3 days ago 61% |
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BWXT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BWXT has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BWXT jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BWXT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | 100% | +2.16% | ||
| CW - BWXT | 79% Closely correlated | +2.18% | ||
| MRCY - BWXT | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| KTOS - BWXT | 50% Loosely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| HWM - BWXT | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.27% | ||
| AIR - BWXT | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.82% | ||
More | ||||
TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | +3.07% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| VVX - TDG | 40% Loosely correlated | -2.56% | ||
| SAFRY - TDG | 39% Loosely correlated | +5.35% | ||
| RYCEY - TDG | 36% Loosely correlated | +5.08% | ||
| SARO - TDG | 35% Loosely correlated | +2.88% | ||
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