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BWXT or RKLB or TDY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BWX Technologies (BWXT) vs. Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) vs. Teledyne Technologies (TDY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BWXT has delivered over 100% one-year returns, fueled by a $7.3 billion backlog and strong nuclear demand in defense and commercial sectors.
- RKLB shows explosive growth with 300%+ yearly gains and a record $1.85 billion backlog, though profitability remains challenged amid rapid expansion.
- TDY offers stability with Q4 earnings beats and raised 2026 guidance, supported by defense electronics and digital imaging demand.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense tailwinds, but BWXT leads in profitability and backlog growth relative to peers.
- Recent market volatility has pressured short-term performance, with YTD gains varying: BWXT +15%, RKLB +3-12%, TDY +25%.
- Valuation contrasts highlight trade-offs: mature profitability for BWXT and TDY versus high-growth potential in RKLB.
Introduction
This comparison examines BWXT, RKLB, and TDY, three leaders in aerospace, defense, and advanced technologies. These stocks appeal to investors tracking rising defense budgets, nuclear revival, space commercialization, and instrumentation demand. Traders focused on relative performance will note their shared exposure to government contracts and innovation-driven growth, amid recent earnings momentum and sector rotations. Understanding their business models, recent trajectories, and market positioning aids in evaluating opportunities in this dynamic environment.
BWXT Overview and Recent Performance
BWXT, or BWX Technologies, specializes in nuclear components, reactors, and fuel for U.S. naval propulsion and commercial power. Operating through Government and Commercial segments, it supports defense and clean energy initiatives. Recent market activity saw shares around $200, with a one-year surge exceeding 100%, outperforming the S&P 500's 15% gain. Full-year 2025 revenue reached $3.2 billion, up 18%, with adjusted EPS at $4.01, reflecting robust demand. Backlog hit $7.3 billion, up 50%, driven by naval and nuclear awards. Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.08 beat estimates, boosting sentiment despite short-term pullbacks. Influences include federal spending and nuclear policy shifts, positioning BWXT favorably in stable defense nuclear markets.
RKLB Overview and Recent Performance
RKLB, Rocket Lab USA, delivers launch services, spacecraft, and systems via Electron and upcoming Neutron rockets. Its segments cover launches and space systems for commercial and government clients. Shares traded near $67 recently, with one-year returns over 300%, far exceeding peers, though YTD mixed at +3-12%. Q4 revenue hit records with 38% growth and $1.85 billion backlog, signaling execution strength. Despite losses, contract wins like U.S. Space Force satellites enhance momentum. Recent volatility stems from equity raises and Neutron delays, but launch cadence and defense focus drive positive sentiment in expanding space economy.
TDY Overview and Recent Performance
TDY, Teledyne Technologies, provides imaging sensors, instrumentation, and electronics for defense, marine, and industrial uses across four segments. Shares hovered around $616, with YTD gains near 25% and 23% over 12 months, reflecting resilience. Q4 adjusted EPS of $6.30 beat estimates by 8%, with revenue up on defense electronics strength; 2026 guidance raised. Recent weeks showed modest fluctuations amid broader market pressures. Sentiment benefits from acquisitions, unmanned systems, and satellite tech demand, underscoring TDY's diversified, high-reliability positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BWXT, RKLB, and TDY operate in aerospace-defense but diverge in focus: BWXT's nuclear-centric model ensures government-backed stability (P/E ~56x), contrasting RKLB's high-growth launch/space systems (elevated P/S ~37x amid losses). TDY's conglomerate structure balances imaging and electronics for broader exposure. Growth drivers include BWXT's 50% backlog surge versus RKLB's 38% revenue acceleration and TDY's defense beats. Recent momentum favors RKLB's 300% yearly run-up, but BWXT and TDY offer profitability (margins 10%+). Risks: execution for RKLB (Neutron delays), contract dependency for BWXT, cyclicality for TDY. Sector tailwinds like naval propulsion and space force contracts boost all, with valuations sensitive to rates—BWXT/TDY trade at discounts to growth peers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BWXT for its superior trend consistency, profitability, and massive backlog positioning amid nuclear/defense catalysts. Relative to RKLB's volatility and TDY's steadier but slower growth, BWXT shows probabilistic edge in stability and earnings trajectory, aligning with resilient market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BWXT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileRKLB’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TDY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- BWXT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- RKLB’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TDY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BWXT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RKLB’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BWXT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RKLB’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TDY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +2.71% price change this week, while RKLB (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +24.61% , and TDY (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price fluctuated -1.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +2.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
BWXT is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
TDY is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+2.72% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| BWXT | RKLB | TDY | |
| Capitalization | 21.6B | 49B | 29.4B |
| EBITDA | 552M | -155.47M | 1.49B |
| Gain YTD | 36.603 | 21.560 | 24.494 |
| P/E Ratio | 65.86 | N/A | 33.68 |
| Revenue | 3.2B | 602M | 6.12B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.02B | 352M |
| Total Debt | 2.02B | 254M | 2.64B |
BWXT | TDY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 95 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 28 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BWXT's Valuation (95) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (98). This means that BWXT’s stock grew similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (34). This means that BWXT’s stock grew similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's SMR Rating (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDY (73). This means that BWXT’s stock grew somewhat faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
TDY's Price Growth Rating (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BWXT (40). This means that TDY’s stock grew similarly to BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (38). This means that BWXT’s stock grew similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
| BWXT | RKLB | TDY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 55% | 13 days ago 83% | 5 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 38% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 43% |
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BWXT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BWXT has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BWXT jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BWXT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | 100% | +2.16% | ||
| CW - BWXT | 79% Closely correlated | +2.18% | ||
| MRCY - BWXT | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| KTOS - BWXT | 50% Loosely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| HWM - BWXT | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.27% | ||
| AIR - BWXT | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.82% | ||
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RKLB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RKLB has been closely correlated with LUNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RKLB jumps, then LUNR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RKLB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKLB | 100% | +2.25% | ||
| LUNR - RKLB | 68% Closely correlated | +1.10% | ||
| RDW - RKLB | 60% Loosely correlated | -7.84% | ||
| ACHR - RKLB | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| RCAT - RKLB | 52% Loosely correlated | -7.22% | ||
| KRMN - RKLB | 49% Loosely correlated | -4.93% | ||
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