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BZH or GRBK or LEN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Beazer Homes USA (BZH) vs. Green Brick Partners (GRBK) vs. Lennar (LEN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LEN leads with the largest market capitalization around $21 billion and a dividend yield of approximately 2.3%, providing greater stability compared to peers.
- Recent quarterly earnings across BZH, GRBK, and LEN highlighted revenue declines year-over-year amid housing market pressures, though BZH beat EPS (earnings per share) expectations.
- GRBK stands out with robust liquidity exceeding $475 million, supporting resilience in a challenging sector environment.
- Year-to-date (YTD) performance shows LEN up about 17%, BZH around 11%, and GRBK near 6%.
- Analyst price targets indicate potential upside for BZH (around $26 vs. current ~$18), while LEN (~$94 vs. ~$85) reflects steady market positioning.
- Homebuilder stocks exhibit similar forward P/E (price-to-earnings) ratios near 12-13, signaling comparable valuations in recent market activity.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BZH, GRBK, and LEN, all prominent players in the U.S. homebuilding sector. Investors and traders tracking residential construction stocks will find value in understanding their relative performance amid ongoing affordability challenges, interest rate sensitivity, and shifting buyer sentiment. With recent earnings revealing sector-wide revenue pressures yet pockets of operational resilience, this analysis highlights key contrasts in scale, momentum, and risk profiles to inform relative performance decisions in the current market environment.
BZH Overview and Recent Performance
Beazer Homes USA (BZH) designs, constructs, and sells single-family homes, townhomes, and similar properties across various U.S. markets, headquartered in Atlanta. In recent weeks, BZH reported quarterly results showing a revenue drop of about 28% year-over-year to roughly $410 million, attributed to softer home closings and market headwinds, though it achieved an EPS beat versus expectations. Stock price action has been volatile, trading near the lower end of its 52-week range (~$18-28) with a sharp pullback following earnings amid broader sector sentiment. Influences include elevated mortgage rates curbing demand and insider buying signaling confidence, contributing to mixed trader reactions in recent market activity.
GRBK Overview and Recent Performance
Green Brick Partners (GRBK) is a diversified homebuilder operating through subsidiaries in high-growth markets like Texas, Georgia, and Florida, focusing on master-planned communities. Recent quarterly earnings highlighted a strong balance sheet with $145 million in cash and total liquidity over $475 million, despite net income declines, lower average selling prices, and margin compression from competitive pricing pressures. Shares have traded around $66-67 in recent weeks, down modestly post-earnings within a 52-week range of ~$57-81, reflecting YTD gains of about 6%. Sentiment has been tempered by sector challenges like affordability but bolstered by regional land positions and operational flexibility.
LEN Overview and Recent Performance
Lennar Corporation (LEN), one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, operates nationwide with segments in homebuilding, financial services, multifamily, and more, targeting diverse buyer segments from first-time to luxury. In recent market activity, LEN announced expansions like over 40 new Northeast communities, amid shares pulling back to ~$85 from a 52-week high near $144. YTD performance stands at ~17%, supported by a trailing P/E of 12 and dividend yield ~2.3%, though recent analyst underperform ratings reflect earnings caution. Key drivers include steady order backlogs offset by high rates impacting affordability and buyer hesitation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BZH, GRBK, and LEN share exposure to cyclical homebuilding but differ in scale and diversification: LEN's national footprint and multifamily/financial services buffer volatility, while GRBK's regional focus in Sun Belt markets offers growth leverage, and BZH emphasizes energy-efficient designs in select metros. Recent momentum shows all facing revenue headwinds from high rates, with BZH most volatile (sharp post-earnings drop) versus LEN's steadier profile. Risk factors include interest sensitivity—smaller caps like BZH (~$0.5B market cap) amplify beta exposure compared to LEN (~$21B). Valuation sensitivity is similar at forward P/E ~12-13, but GRBK's liquidity edge aids land acquisition amid rising costs. Market sentiment tilts toward LEN for stability, BZH for value upside, and GRBK for balanced regional plays.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI would likely favor LEN in the current environment, given its superior scale, dividend support, YTD outperformance, and diversified revenue streams providing trend consistency and lower relative drawdowns. While BZH offers higher upside potential via analyst targets and GRBK strong liquidity, LEN's positioning suggests probabilistic edge amid homebuilder volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BZH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileGRBK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and LEN’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BZH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- GRBK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LEN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BZH’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GRBK’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and LEN’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BZH’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- GRBK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- LEN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BZH (@Homebuilding) experienced а +27.14% price change this week, while GRBK (@Homebuilding) price change was -2.10% , and LEN (@Homebuilding) price fluctuated -0.39% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -0.49%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
BZH is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
GRBK is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
LEN is expected to report earnings on Jun 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-0.49% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| BZH | GRBK | LEN | |
| Capitalization | 638M | 2.77B | 21.1B |
| EBITDA | -11.12M | 415M | 2.41B |
| Gain YTD | 15.096 | 2.585 | -15.661 |
| P/E Ratio | 74.45 | 9.09 | 12.35 |
| Revenue | 2.11B | 2.1B | 33.2B |
| Total Cash | 116M | 155M | 2.39B |
| Total Debt | 1.25B | 329M | 5.26B |
BZH | GRBK | LEN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 16 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 69 Overvalued | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 40 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 48 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 60 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 29 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LEN's Valuation (29) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GRBK (69) and is significantly better than the same rating for BZH (98). This means that LEN's stock grew somewhat faster than GRBK’s and significantly faster than BZH’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BZH (84) and is somewhat better than the same rating for LEN (100). This means that GRBK's stock grew somewhat faster than BZH’s and somewhat faster than LEN’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's SMR Rating (48) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (77) and is somewhat better than the same rating for BZH (90). This means that GRBK's stock grew similarly to LEN’s and somewhat faster than BZH’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (64) and is in the same range as BZH (83). This means that GRBK's stock grew similarly to LEN’s and similarly to BZH’s over the last 12 months.
BZH's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (16) and is in the same range as GRBK (29). This means that BZH's stock grew similarly to LEN’s and similarly to GRBK’s over the last 12 months.
| BZH | GRBK | LEN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | N/A | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 7 days ago 77% | 7 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 76% | 9 days ago 64% | 9 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 5 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
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BZH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BZH has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BZH jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.
GRBK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GRBK has been closely correlated with MTH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GRBK jumps, then MTH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GRBK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRBK | 100% | -1.50% | ||
| MTH - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -2.05% | ||
| PHM - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -0.78% | ||
| TMHC - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -1.79% | ||
| TOL - GRBK | 86% Closely correlated | -0.54% | ||
| KBH - GRBK | 85% Closely correlated | -1.96% | ||
More | ||||
LEN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LEN has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LEN jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.