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CARR or IR or LII
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carrier Global (CARR) vs. Ingersoll Rand (IR) vs. Lennox International (LII) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CARR surged around 19% in recent weeks, driven by a Q1 earnings beat and over 500% growth in data center HVAC orders, outpacing peers.
- IR posted solid Q1 results with revenue up 7.6% year-over-year and an EPS beat, bolstered by the acquisition of Fox s.r.l. for metering tech expansion.
- LII reported 6% Q1 revenue growth amid channel destocking normalization, maintaining full-year EPS guidance of $23.50–$25.00.
- All three stocks operate in the industrials sector with HVAC exposure but show divergent momentum: CARR leads YTD gains at over 20%, while IR and LII lag slightly amid softer residential demand.
- Recent market activity highlights data center demand as a key growth driver for CARR, contrasting with broader industrial pressures on peers.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CARR (Carrier Global), IR (Ingersoll Rand), and LII (Lennox International), three leaders in the industrials sector focused on HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) and related technologies. These companies benefit from steady demand in climate control solutions but face headwinds from residential market softness and input cost inflation. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term sector growth—particularly in commercial and data center applications—will find value in analyzing their relative performance, recent earnings, and positioning amid evolving market conditions like AI-driven cooling needs.
CARR Overview and Recent Performance
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is a global provider of intelligent climate and energy solutions, including HVAC systems, refrigeration, and building automation across residential, commercial, and transportation segments. In recent market activity, CARR shares rose approximately 19% over the past 30 days, fueled by a strong Q1 2026 earnings report. The company posted adjusted EPS of $0.57, beating estimates by 12%, with revenue at $5.34 billion, up 2% year-over-year. Key catalysts included a 35% surge in commercial HVAC orders and over 500% growth in data center demand, driven by AI infrastructure expansion. Despite margin pressure from under-absorption and restructuring, backlog growth supports reaffirmed 2026 guidance of $22 billion in sales and $2.80 adjusted EPS. Sentiment has shifted positively on commercial momentum offsetting residential weakness.
IR Overview and Recent Performance
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) delivers mission-critical flow creation technologies, including compressed air systems, pumps, and fluid handling for industrial and life science applications. Recent weeks saw mixed performance, with shares down modestly amid broader sector volatility. The Q1 2026 results showed adjusted EPS of $0.77, topping estimates by 4%, and revenue of $1.85 billion, up 7.6% year-over-year, aided by 3.7% from acquisitions and 4.2% from favorable FX (foreign exchange). Organic growth dipped slightly at -0.3%, reflecting industrial demand slowdowns. A key development was the acquisition of Fox s.r.l., enhancing metering and dosing capabilities with dampeners and accumulators. These factors have stabilized sentiment, though YTD returns trail peers at around 4%.
LII Overview and Recent Performance
Lennox International Inc. (LII) designs and manufactures HVAC products for residential and commercial markets, spanning furnaces, air conditioners, and refrigeration under brands like Lennox and Heatcraft. In recent market activity, shares advanced amid Q1 2026 results, with revenue up 6% to $1.1 billion as channel destocking eased. GAAP diluted EPS came in at $3.35, down 8% year-over-year due to cost inflation, but beat expectations; segment margins contracted 130 basis points to 14.4%. Building Climate Solutions drove growth, offsetting softer Home Comfort volumes. Management maintained full-year EPS guidance at $23.50–$25.00 and free cash flow of $750–$850 million, boosting confidence despite tariff-related pressures. Performance reflects resilient execution in a normalizing inventory environment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CARR, IR, and LII share industrials sector exposure but differ in business models: CARR emphasizes global HVAC and refrigeration with strong data center tailwinds, IR focuses on industrial flow tech via acquisitions, and LII targets North American residential/commercial comfort solutions. Growth drivers contrast sharply—CARR’s 35% commercial order surge versus IR’s acquisition-fueled 7.6% revenue and LII’s 6% top-line amid destocking. Recent momentum favors CARR (YTD +20%+), while IR and LII show stability but lag. Risks include input cost inflation (e.g., Section 232 tariffs) across all, with residential sensitivity highest for LII and CARR. Valuation sensitivity appears elevated for LII (P/E ~24), moderate for CARR (~42), and IR (~22); market sentiment tilts toward CARR’s catalysts versus peers’ industrial steadiness.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors CARR due to superior trend consistency from data center backlog growth, recent 19% momentum, and earnings outperformance, positioning it strongly relative to IR and LII. While all exhibit stability, CARR’s commercial catalysts suggest higher probabilistic upside in the near term, though monitoring tariff impacts remains key.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CARR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileIR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and LII’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- CARR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- IR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LII’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CARR’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IR’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and LII’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CARR’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
- IR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LII’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CARR (@Building Products) experienced а -0.02% price change this week, while IR (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -1.14% , and LII (@Building Products) price fluctuated +1.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was +6.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.57%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
CARR is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
IR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
LII is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (+6.95% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
@Industrial Machinery (+1.32% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| CARR | IR | LII | |
| Capitalization | 54.7B | 29.2B | 18.1B |
| EBITDA | 3.16B | 1.69B | 1.15B |
| Gain YTD | 25.659 | -5.685 | 7.709 |
| P/E Ratio | 43.92 | 50.47 | 23.17 |
| Revenue | 21.9B | 7.78B | 5.26B |
| Total Cash | 1.37B | 1.27B | 50.2M |
| Total Debt | 12.6B | 4.84B | 1.96B |
CARR | IR | LII | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 61 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 66 Overvalued | 79 Overvalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 62 | 52 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 83 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 63 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 30 | 64 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CARR's Valuation (66) in the null industry is in the same range as IR (79) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is in the same range as LII (79) in the Building Products industry. This means that CARR's stock grew similarly to IR’s and similarly to LII’s over the last 12 months.
LII's Profit vs Risk Rating (52) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as CARR (55) in the null industry, and is in the same range as IR (62) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that LII's stock grew similarly to CARR’s and similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
LII's SMR Rating (15) in the Building Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CARR (71) in the null industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for IR (83) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that LII's stock grew somewhat faster than CARR’s and significantly faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
CARR's Price Growth Rating (46) in the null industry is in the same range as LII (53) in the Building Products industry, and is in the same range as IR (63) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that CARR's stock grew similarly to LII’s and similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
IR's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as CARR (61) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for LII (64) in the Building Products industry. This means that IR's stock grew similarly to CARR’s and somewhat faster than LII’s over the last 12 months.
| CARR | IR | LII | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | N/A | 2 days ago 55% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 55% | 6 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 66% | 7 days ago 65% | 7 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 57% | 5 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 69% |
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CARR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CARR has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CARR jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CARR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR | 100% | -1.42% | ||
| IR - CARR | 76% Closely correlated | -1.39% | ||
| LII - CARR | 74% Closely correlated | +0.04% | ||
| TT - CARR | 60% Loosely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| BXC - CARR | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.63% | ||
| JCI - CARR | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.62% | ||
More | ||||
IR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IR has been closely correlated with JCI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IR jumps, then JCI could also see price increases.
LII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LII has been closely correlated with CARR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LII jumps, then CARR could also see price increases.