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CARR or JCI or TT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carrier Global (CARR) vs. Johnson Controls International (JCI) vs. Trane Technologies (TT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CARR, JCI, and TT all operate in the HVAC and climate control sector, benefiting from data center demand and energy efficiency trends, with YTD gains around 22-25%.
- TT leads with the largest market cap (~$107B) and strongest recent Q1 revenue growth (6%), alongside a record $10.7B backlog.
- JCI shows superior 1-year performance (~63%) but trades at a higher P/E ratio (~49), reflecting growth expectations ahead of Q2 earnings.
- CARR posted Q1 beats with surging data center orders (up 500%), though residential weakness pressured margins.
- All three raised or reiterated full-year guidance, signaling confidence amid commercial HVAC momentum.
- Relative performance highlights TT's stability and scale versus JCI's momentum and CARR's recovery potential.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CARR (Carrier Global Corporation), JCI (Johnson Controls International plc), and TT (Trane Technologies plc), three leaders in HVAC systems, building controls, and climate solutions. These companies share sector exposure to rising demand for energy-efficient technologies, data center cooling, and commercial infrastructure amid AI-driven growth. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term stability in industrials will find value in analyzing their relative performance, recent earnings beats, and positioning in a market favoring sustainable building products. This overview draws on Q1 2026 results and broader trends for informed stock comparison.
CARR Overview and Recent Performance
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) provides intelligent climate and energy solutions for residential, commercial, and industrial applications, including HVAC systems, heat pumps, and refrigeration under brands like Carrier and Viessmann. In recent market activity, shares have gained approximately 25% YTD, reflecting resilience despite a 1-year return near flat. Q1 2026 results showed revenue of $5.34 billion (up 2.4% YoY, beating estimates by 6.8%) and adjusted EPS of $0.57 (12.1% above consensus), driven by a 500% surge in data center orders and 35% commercial HVAC growth. Sentiment has improved on reaffirmed full-year guidance (~$22B revenue, $2.80 adjusted EPS midpoint), though residential softness and margin pressure from China headwinds tempered gains. Trading around $64-65 with a market cap of ~$54B and P/E of ~43, CARR balances recovery potential with data center catalysts.
JCI Overview and Recent Performance
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) engineers building products and systems, including HVAC, fire safety, and security solutions for commercial and industrial use. Recent weeks have seen shares rise ~21% YTD and ~63% over 1 year, outperforming peers amid strong backlog growth to $18.2B. Q1 fiscal 2026 (ended Dec 2025) delivered revenue of $5.80B (up 6.8% YoY, beating by 2.8%) and adjusted EPS of $0.89 (5.7% above estimates), fueled by data center projects and margin expansion. Management raised full-year EPS guidance, citing AI adoption and service growth. With a ~$88B market cap, P/E ~49, and upcoming Q2 earnings on May 6 (expected $6.1B revenue, $1.12 EPS), JCI benefits from broad regional strength but faces higher valuation scrutiny versus sector averages.
TT Overview and Recent Performance
Trane Technologies plc (TT) focuses on HVAC, transport refrigeration, and sustainable climate solutions for commercial and industrial markets, offering chillers, controls, and energy recovery systems. Shares have advanced ~23-25% YTD and ~22% over 1 year, supported by a record $10.7B backlog. Q1 2026 revenue hit $4.97B (up 6% YoY, 3.1% beat) with adjusted EPS of $2.63 (3.9% above estimates), leading to raised full-year guidance (9.5% revenue growth, $14.85 EPS midpoint). Commercial HVAC demand, especially data centers, drove bookings up 27%, offsetting minor residential pressures. At ~$477/share, ~$107B market cap, and P/E ~37, TT exhibits strong operational scale and stability in recent trading.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, CARR emphasizes residential and transport alongside commercial HVAC, JCI integrates building management systems with broader security/fire offerings, and TT prioritizes large-scale commercial/industrial climate tech. Growth drivers favor all via data centers—CARR (500% order surge), JCI ($18.2B backlog), TT ($10.7B)—but TT shows superior organic growth (recent quarters ~6%). Recent momentum ranks JCI highest 1-year (~63%), with YTD gains clustered at 22-25%. Risk factors include residential slowdowns for CARR/ TT, higher debt for JCI (~$9.7B), and China exposure. Valuation sensitivity: JCI P/E ~49 (premium), TT ~37 (balanced), CARR ~43. Market sentiment tilts toward TT's scale (~$107B cap) and guidance raises, versus JCI's momentum trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TT for its trend consistency, largest scale, record backlog, and balanced valuation amid HVAC tailwinds. With superior recent revenue beats, lower relative debt, and raised guidance signaling sustained catalysts, TT holds stronger relative positioning probabilistically over peers in the near term, though JCI's momentum warrants monitoring post-earnings.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CARR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileJCI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- CARR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- JCI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CARR’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JCI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TT’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CARR’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
- JCI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CARR (@Building Products) experienced а -0.02% price change this week, while JCI (@Building Products) price change was -1.81% , and TT (@Building Products) price fluctuated -2.06% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was +6.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.57%.
Reported Earning Dates
CARR is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
JCI is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
TT is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (+6.95% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
| CARR | JCI | TT | |
| Capitalization | 54.7B | 86.5B | 105B |
| EBITDA | 3.16B | 3.52B | 4.26B |
| Gain YTD | 25.659 | 18.762 | 22.726 |
| P/E Ratio | 43.92 | 43.36 | 36.40 |
| Revenue | 21.9B | 24.4B | 21.6B |
| Total Cash | 1.37B | 698M | 1.07B |
| Total Debt | 12.6B | 9.52B | 4.62B |
CARR | JCI | TT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 74 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 66 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 14 | 11 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 40 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 36 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 17 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CARR's Valuation (66) in the null industry is in the same range as JCI (80) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry, and is in the same range as TT (84) in the null industry. This means that CARR's stock grew similarly to JCI’s and similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
TT's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the null industry is in the same range as JCI (14) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CARR (55) in the null industry. This means that TT's stock grew similarly to JCI’s and somewhat faster than CARR’s over the last 12 months.
TT's SMR Rating (26) in the null industry is in the same range as JCI (40) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CARR (71) in the null industry. This means that TT's stock grew similarly to JCI’s and somewhat faster than CARR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as TT (39) in the null industry, and is in the same range as CARR (46) in the null industry. This means that JCI's stock grew similarly to TT’s and similarly to CARR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as TT (43) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CARR (61) in the null industry. This means that JCI's stock grew similarly to TT’s and somewhat faster than CARR’s over the last 12 months.
| CARR | JCI | TT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | N/A | 2 days ago 49% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 64% | 19 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 55% | 5 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 64% |
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CARR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CARR has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CARR jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CARR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR | 100% | -1.42% | ||
| IR - CARR | 76% Closely correlated | -1.39% | ||
| LII - CARR | 74% Closely correlated | +0.04% | ||
| TT - CARR | 60% Loosely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| BXC - CARR | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.63% | ||
| JCI - CARR | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.62% | ||
More | ||||
JCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JCI has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JCI jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCI | 100% | +1.62% | ||
| IR - JCI | 77% Closely correlated | -1.39% | ||
| TT - JCI | 64% Loosely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| CARR - JCI | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.42% | ||
| SPXC - JCI | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| AAON - JCI | 48% Loosely correlated | +1.42% | ||
More | ||||
TT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TT has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TT jumps, then IR could also see price increases.