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CARR or LII or TT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carrier Global (CARR) vs. Lennox International (LII) vs. Trane Technologies (TT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CARR, LII, and TT operate in the HVAC sector, with recent quarterly earnings beats driven by commercial demand and data center growth.
- TT leads YTD performance at approximately 23%, followed by CARR at 22-25%, while LII trails at around 8%.
- All three reported strong Q1 2026 results, with TT and CARR highlighting surging data center orders exceeding 500% growth in key segments.
- TT boasts the largest market cap (~$106B) and record backlog of $10.7B, signaling robust visibility.
- Valuations show LII at the lowest trailing P/E (~23), versus CARR (~44) and TT (~37).
- Sector tailwinds from AI-driven cooling demand favor commercial HVAC exposure across all, but cyclical residential risks persist for CARR and LII.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CARR, LII, and TT, three leading players in the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) sector. These companies provide climate control solutions amid rising demand from data centers, commercial buildings, and residential markets. Traders seeking momentum in industrials and investors eyeing long-term growth in energy-efficient systems will find value in analyzing their relative performance, recent earnings momentum, and positioning within a sector boosted by AI infrastructure needs. This overview draws on recent financial results and market data for objective insights into their stock comparison and market positioning.
CARR Overview and Recent Performance
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is a global leader in intelligent climate and energy solutions, operating in residential, commercial HVAC, and refrigeration segments under brands like Carrier and Viessmann. In recent market activity, CARR shares have risen about 16-19% over the past month and 22-25% YTD, reflecting strong Q1 2026 results with revenue up 2.4% to $5.34B and adjusted EPS of $0.57, beating estimates. Data center orders surged over 500%, with commercial HVAC up 35%, boosting orders 11% overall. Sentiment has improved on reaffirmed full-year guidance and investments like expanded stakes in liquid cooling for AI data centers, though higher debt levels temper some optimism.
LII Overview and Recent Performance
Lennox International Inc. (LII) designs, manufactures, and markets HVAC and refrigeration products for residential and commercial use, with segments in home comfort and building climate solutions. Recent weeks have seen LII shares gain around 9-14% monthly but lag YTD at about 8%, amid Q1 2026 earnings that beat expectations with revenue up ~6% to $1.14B and EPS of $3.35. The company raised its full-year revenue outlook, supported by steady demand in furnaces, air conditioners, and commercial units. Positive factors include share buybacks and reaffirmed EPS guidance of $23.50-$25.00, though residential segment softness and a smaller scale relative to peers influence measured sentiment.
TT Overview and Recent Performance
Trane Technologies plc (TT) provides HVAC systems, transport refrigeration, and sustainable climate solutions for commercial, industrial, and institutional applications. In recent market activity, TT shares have climbed 12-18% over the past month and ~23% YTD, propelled by robust Q1 2026 performance with revenues up 6% to $4.97B and adjusted continuing EPS of $2.63, surpassing forecasts. Organic bookings rose 24%, led by 40% growth in Americas commercial HVAC, building a record $10.7B backlog. Key drivers include data center momentum and raised full-year guidance, enhancing positive market sentiment despite premium valuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, CARR balances residential HVAC with transport refrigeration, LII emphasizes North American residential and commercial, and TT leads in global commercial/industrial with strong sustainability focus. Growth drivers favor TT and CARR via data center/AI cooling (backlogs $10.7B and surging orders), while LII relies more on steady replacement cycles. Recent momentum shows TT (~23% YTD) edging CARR (22-25%), both outpacing LII (~8%). Risk factors include residential cyclicality for CARR/LII and input costs sector-wide; TT's lower debt (~$4.6B vs. CARR's $12.6B) aids stability. Valuation sensitivity reveals LII's attractive ~23 P/E versus peers' 37-44, though TT's scale ($106B cap) commands premium. Market sentiment tilts to TT on backlog strength, with trade-offs in size versus LII's value orientation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TT among CARR, LII, and itself, owing to superior trend consistency, record backlog visibility, and catalysts like 40% commercial HVAC bookings growth positioning it for sustained outperformance in AI/data center tailwinds. While CARR shows comparable YTD gains and data center momentum, and LII offers valuation appeal, TT's relative scale and stability suggest higher probability of near-term leadership, barring sector downturns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CARR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileLII’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- CARR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- LII’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CARR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LII’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CARR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- LII’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CARR (@Building Products) experienced а -2.08% price change this week, while LII (@Building Products) price change was -3.85% , and TT (@Building Products) price fluctuated -3.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -1.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.72%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
CARR is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
LII is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
TT is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-1.02% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
| CARR | LII | TT | |
| Capitalization | 51B | 16.8B | 99B |
| EBITDA | 3.16B | 1.15B | 4.26B |
| Gain YTD | 17.190 | -0.303 | 15.388 |
| P/E Ratio | 40.96 | 21.44 | 34.23 |
| Revenue | 21.9B | 5.26B | 21.6B |
| Total Cash | 1.37B | 50.2M | 1.07B |
| Total Debt | 12.6B | 1.96B | 4.62B |
CARR | LII | TT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 79 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 64 Fair valued | 74 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 55 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 15 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 58 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 68 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CARR's Valuation (64) in the null industry is in the same range as LII (74) in the Building Products industry, and is in the same range as TT (82) in the null industry. This means that CARR's stock grew similarly to LII’s and similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
TT's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CARR (55) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for LII (55) in the Building Products industry. This means that TT's stock grew somewhat faster than CARR’s and somewhat faster than LII’s over the last 12 months.
LII's SMR Rating (15) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as TT (26) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CARR (71) in the null industry. This means that LII's stock grew similarly to TT’s and somewhat faster than CARR’s over the last 12 months.
TT's Price Growth Rating (43) in the null industry is in the same range as CARR (48) in the null industry, and is in the same range as LII (58) in the Building Products industry. This means that TT's stock grew similarly to CARR’s and similarly to LII’s over the last 12 months.
TT's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the null industry is in the same range as CARR (64) in the null industry, and is in the same range as LII (68) in the Building Products industry. This means that TT's stock grew similarly to CARR’s and similarly to LII’s over the last 12 months.
| CARR | LII | TT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 66% | 14 days ago 65% | 6 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 7 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 66% |
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CARR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CARR has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CARR jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CARR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR | 100% | -4.76% | ||
| IR - CARR | 76% Closely correlated | -2.04% | ||
| LII - CARR | 74% Closely correlated | -3.73% | ||
| TT - CARR | 60% Loosely correlated | -2.70% | ||
| BXC - CARR | 58% Loosely correlated | -11.17% | ||
| JCI - CARR | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.38% | ||
More | ||||
LII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LII has been closely correlated with CARR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LII jumps, then CARR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LII | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LII | 100% | -3.73% | ||
| CARR - LII | 74% Closely correlated | -4.76% | ||
| IR - LII | 64% Loosely correlated | -2.04% | ||
| OC - LII | 62% Loosely correlated | -3.79% | ||
| FBIN - LII | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.95% | ||
| MAS - LII | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.62% | ||
More | ||||
TT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TT has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TT jumps, then IR could also see price increases.