This stock comparison examines CDDRF, TPL, and ZPTAF, three energy sector players benefiting from sustained oil and gas demand. CDDRF and ZPTAF focus on Canadian exploration and production (E&P), while TPL leverages U.S. land royalties and water services. Traders seeking relative performance insights in volatile commodity markets and investors eyeing value, growth, or income will find this analysis relevant for assessing sector positioning and trade-offs.
Headwater Exploration Inc. (CDDRF) is a Canadian E&P company focused on petroleum and natural gas in Alberta's Marten Hills and New Brunswick's McCully Field. In recent market activity, shares traded around $9.91 with a market cap of $2.35 billion, a trailing P/E of 23.4, and EPS of $0.42. The stock has delivered 43.8% YTD gains, supported by an uptrend above its 50-day moving average earlier in the period. Sentiment benefits from strong financials, low-cost operations, and waterflooding initiatives reducing decline rates, amid favorable commodity pricing. Beta of 1.02 reflects moderate market sensitivity.
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) manages vast Permian Basin land, collecting oil and gas royalties while providing water services. Shares recently closed at $433.62 with a $29.9 billion market cap, trailing P/E of 62.2, and EPS of $6.98. YTD performance stands at 51.1%, though recent weeks showed volatility with a 2.3% dip amid governance shifts following a board member's passing. Upcoming earnings on May 6 are anticipated to show growth, bolstering sentiment in a strong Permian environment. Lower beta of 0.77 underscores relative stability.
Surge Energy Inc. (ZPTAF) pursues oil and gas E&P in Western Canada, including Sparky, Sawn, and Manitoba assets. Trading near $7.28 with a $720 million market cap, trailing P/E of 24.9, and EPS of $0.29, it posted 44.6% YTD returns. Recent activity featured modest declines but resilience, with an ex-dividend date on April 30 and earnings due May 6. High dividend yield and low beta of 0.67 support defensive appeal, driven by steady production and operational updates in a supportive energy backdrop.
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CDDRF, TPL, and ZPTAF share energy exposure but diverge in models: Canadian E&P operators versus TPL’s asset-light royalty and water play. Growth drivers include Permian catalysts for TPL and low-cost drilling for the others. Recent momentum favors TPL’s YTD lead, though with higher volatility in pricing. Risks encompass commodity swings, with ZPTAF’s lowest beta offering stability. Valuation sensitivity highlights ZPTAF’s bargains (P/S 1.74) against TPL’s premiums (P/S 37.5). Market sentiment tilts toward TPL via analyst coverage, balancing the Canadians’ yield advantages.
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward TPL based on superior YTD momentum, Permian positioning, lower beta for stability, and near-term earnings catalysts. While CDDRF and ZPTAF provide value and dividends, TPL’s scale and trend consistency suggest stronger relative upside probability in the current environment.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CDDRF’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTPL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and ZPTAF’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CDDRF’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and ZPTAF’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
CDDRF (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +2.55% price change this week, while TPL (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -3.98% , and ZPTAF (@Oil & Gas Production) price fluctuated +3.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +2.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was +40.35%.
TPL is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CDDRF | TPL | ZPTAF | |
| Capitalization | 2.26B | 27.2B | 724M |
| EBITDA | 308M | 706M | 207M |
| Gain YTD | 43.627 | 37.533 | 49.209 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.19 | 54.12 | 141.82 |
| Revenue | 625M | 839M | 577M |
| Total Cash | 63.1M | 248M | 22.1M |
| Total Debt | 2.05M | 15.8M | 241M |
CDDRF | TPL | ZPTAF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 57 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 34 Fair valued | 84 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 53 | 68 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 47 | 26 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 61 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 77 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CDDRF's Valuation (34) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ZPTAF (83) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TPL (84) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that CDDRF's stock grew somewhat faster than ZPTAF’s and somewhat faster than TPL’s over the last 12 months.
CDDRF's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TPL (53) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ZPTAF (68) in the null industry. This means that CDDRF's stock grew somewhat faster than TPL’s and somewhat faster than ZPTAF’s over the last 12 months.
TPL's SMR Rating (26) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry is in the same range as CDDRF (47) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ZPTAF (89) in the null industry. This means that TPL's stock grew similarly to CDDRF’s and somewhat faster than ZPTAF’s over the last 12 months.
CDDRF's Price Growth Rating (38) in the null industry is in the same range as ZPTAF (38) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TPL (61) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that CDDRF's stock grew similarly to ZPTAF’s and similarly to TPL’s over the last 12 months.
ZPTAF's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the null industry is in the same range as CDDRF (5) in the null industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TPL (77) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that ZPTAF's stock grew similarly to CDDRF’s and significantly faster than TPL’s over the last 12 months.
| CDDRF | TPL | ZPTAF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 75% | 20 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 73% | 7 days ago 75% | 13 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CDDRF has been closely correlated with TNEYF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CDDRF jumps, then TNEYF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CDDRF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDDRF | 100% | +2.18% | ||
| TNEYF - CDDRF | 74% Closely correlated | -1.27% | ||
| ZPTAF - CDDRF | 68% Closely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| BTE - CDDRF | 68% Closely correlated | +0.57% | ||
| OBE - CDDRF | 66% Closely correlated | -6.84% | ||
| MUR - CDDRF | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.25% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPL has been loosely correlated with TNEYF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TPL jumps, then TNEYF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TPL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPL | 100% | +2.06% | ||
| TNEYF - TPL | 48% Loosely correlated | -1.27% | ||
| ZPTAF - TPL | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| NOG - TPL | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.57% | ||
| FANG - TPL | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.05% | ||
| CDDRF - TPL | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.18% | ||
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