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CL or COST or MDLZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Colgate-Palmolive (CL) vs. Costco (COST) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CL leads YTD performance at +19.13%, driven by strong Q4 earnings from emerging markets growth and AI productivity gains, outperforming the S&P 500's +1.54%.
- COST shows robust Q2 results with 9.1% net sales growth and 7.4% comparable sales rise, bolstered by membership revenue and potential tariff refunds, with YTD +15.74%.
- MDLZ lags with YTD +8.49%, facing input cost pressures and cautious 2026 organic growth outlook of flat to +2%, despite solid Q4.
- COST trades at premium P/E of 53.49 with largest market cap (~$443B), while CL (P/E 35.57, $75B) and MDLZ (P/E 30.90, $75B) offer relatively lower valuations in consumer staples.
- All three exhibit defensive traits amid market volatility, with CL and COST showing stronger recent momentum over MDLZ.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CL (Colgate-Palmolive), COST (Costco Wholesale), and MDLZ (Mondelez International), three consumer staples leaders spanning personal care, retail, and snacks. These defensive plays appeal to investors seeking stability in volatile markets, where essential goods demand persists. Traders may value their relative performance amid recent earnings beats and economic pressures like input costs and tariffs. Understanding their business models, recent momentum, and valuations aids in assessing market positioning for portfolio allocation or short-term trades.
CL Overview and Recent Performance
Colgate-Palmolive (CL), a global leader in oral, personal, home care, and pet nutrition products, has demonstrated resilience in recent market activity. Trading around $93.56 with a market cap of $75B, the stock boasts a YTD return of +19.13%, outpacing the S&P 500. Recent weeks saw strength from Q4 2025 results beating expectations, fueled by emerging markets growth and AI-driven productivity enhancements. Sentiment remains positive on long-term outlook despite raw material pressures, with shares near 52-week high of $100.18 after rebounding from $74.55 lows. Influences include favorable FX and category stability in essentials.
COST Overview and Recent Performance
Costco Wholesale (COST), the membership-based warehouse retailer, continues to thrive on value-seeking consumers. Shares hover near $998 with a massive $443B market cap and YTD gain of +15.74%. Recent performance highlights Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings surpassing estimates, with 9.1% net sales growth to $68.2B and 7.4% comparable sales increase, aided by 22.6% digitally-enabled surge and membership fees. Potential tariff refunds signal price cuts, boosting sentiment amid valuation concerns. Trading below 52-week high of $1,067, momentum reflects resilient demand in groceries and essentials.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ), a snacks powerhouse with brands like Oreo and Cadbury, navigates headwinds in recent activity. At $58.40 and $75B market cap, YTD return stands at +8.49%. Q4 results showed solid performance but shares dipped post-earnings due to rising input costs, volume softness, and flat-to-2% 2026 organic growth guidance. Sentiment mixes caution on cocoa pressures and M&A challenges with reaffirmation of long-term targets. Shares midway in 52-week range ($51.20-$71.15), influenced by consumer shifts and category slowdowns.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CL, COST, and MDLZ anchor consumer staples but diverge in models: CL's branded essentials offer steady recurring demand; COST's warehouse scale drives volume via memberships; MDLZ bets on snacks indulgence. Growth drivers contrast—CL via emerging markets/AI, COST digital/membership, MDLZ organic sales amid costs. Recent momentum favors CL (+19% YTD) and COST (+16%), over MDLZ (+8%). Risks include commodity inflation for all, tariffs for COST, volumes for MDLZ. Valuations: COST premium (P/E 53x, EV/EBITDA ~30x implied), CL/MDLZ moderate (P/E 35x/31x). Sentiment tilts bullish on COST's stability vs. peers' cost sensitivity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI favors COST in the current environment, citing superior trend consistency from earnings beats, membership stability, and catalysts like tariff refunds amid volatility. Its relative YTD positioning and defensive retail exposure edge out CL's growth and MDLZ's pressures, with probabilistic outperformance in staples rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileCOST’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and MDLZ’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- CL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- COST’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while COST’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s), and MDLZ’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- COST’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +1.06% price change this week, while COST (@Discount Stores) price change was +1.68% , and MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price fluctuated +2.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.74%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.71%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +0.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.43%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +2.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.38%.
Reported Earning Dates
CL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
COST is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+2.02% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Discount Stores (+0.71% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+2.89% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| CL | COST | MDLZ | |
| Capitalization | 69B | 458B | 75.8B |
| EBITDA | 3.96B | 13.7B | 4.97B |
| Gain YTD | 9.551 | 19.841 | 10.722 |
| P/E Ratio | 32.71 | 53.67 | 31.26 |
| Revenue | 20.4B | 280B | 38.5B |
| Total Cash | 1.29B | 17.2B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 8.55B | 8.1B | 21.8B |
CL | COST | MDLZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 21 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 9 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 5 | 31 | 71 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 35 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 66 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDLZ's Valuation (28) in the Food Major Diversified industry is significantly better than the same rating for COST (94) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for CL (98) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew significantly faster than COST’s and significantly faster than CL’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CL (63) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that COST's stock grew somewhat faster than CL’s and somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
CL's SMR Rating (5) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as COST (31) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that CL's stock grew similarly to COST’s and significantly faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MDLZ (53) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as CL (56) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that COST's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to CL’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as CL (33) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for COST (66) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to CL’s and somewhat faster than COST’s over the last 12 months.
| CL | COST | MDLZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 33% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 37% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 43% | 19 days ago 38% | 10 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 33% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 51% |
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MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.44% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.39% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.84% | ||
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