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CL or DEO or STZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Colgate-Palmolive (CL) vs. Diageo (DEO) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CL exhibits resilient year-to-date gains of about 8%, with low volatility (beta 0.26), though recent pullbacks tied to oil price pressures have impacted margins.
- DEO trades at attractive valuations (trailing P/E 17.07, forward P/E 8.19) and highest dividend yield (4.49%), but faces softening spirits demand and significant 52-week declines.
- STZ shows moderate YTD performance around 9%, supported by strong beer brands like Modelo, amid CEO transition and upcoming earnings.
- Consumer staples exposure provides defensive qualities across all three, with CL leading in stability, while DEO and STZ contend with beverage sector headwinds.
- Relative performance highlights CL's trend consistency versus broader pullbacks in alcoholic beverages stocks.
Introduction
This comparison examines CL (Colgate-Palmolive), DEO (Diageo), and STZ (Constellation Brands), three consumer defensive stocks spanning personal care and alcoholic beverages. These companies offer stability amid market volatility, appealing to dividend-focused investors and traders seeking relative performance insights. In recent market activity, staples have shown resilience, but sector-specific pressures like input costs and demand shifts influence their trajectories. This analysis highlights stock comparison metrics, recent momentum, and positioning for informed decision-making in the current environment.
CL Overview and Recent Performance
Colgate-Palmolive (CL), a global leader in oral, personal, home care, and pet nutrition products, maintains a strong international footprint with about 70% of sales overseas. Trading around $85 with a market cap of $68B, the stock has delivered solid YTD gains of 8.38%, outperforming in recent weeks despite a monthly pullback of over 10%. This dip reflects broader consumer equity concerns from rising oil prices squeezing margins. Key metrics include a trailing P/E of 32.37, forward P/E of 21.83, beta of 0.26, and dividend yield of 2.49%. Sentiment remains supported by sales momentum and innovation in premium segments, positioning CL as a defensive play with consistent compounded growth.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo (DEO), a premier alcoholic beverages producer with brands like Johnnie Walker, Guinness, and Smirnoff, operates across spirits, beer, and ready-to-drink categories worldwide. Shares hover near $74, with a $41B market cap, reflecting sharp 52-week declines from $117 highs amid softening demand. YTD returns stand at 14.70%, but recent news highlights cyclical and structural headwinds, including consumer trade-downs and inventory normalization. Valuation appears compelling at trailing P/E 17.07, forward P/E 8.19, beta 0.17, and leading dividend yield of 4.49%. Strategic launches like Johnnie Walker Red Soul and partnerships aim to counter challenges, though spirits sector pressures weigh on sentiment.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands (STZ) focuses on high-end beer (Corona, Modelo), wine, and spirits, with U.S. operations bolstered by Mexican production. At about $150 and $26B market cap, the stock has YTD gains near 9%, down from 52-week peaks above $196. Recent market activity shows a five-year share price slide, tied to softer beer volumes and demand shifts. Notable developments include a CEO succession to Nicholas Fink and Q4/fiscal 2026 earnings due April 8. Metrics feature trailing P/E 23.49, forward P/E 11.81, beta 0.42, and 2.73% yield. Core brands drive 84% of revenue, with analysts eyeing volume recovery despite margin resets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CL, DEO, and STZ share consumer defensive traits but diverge in business models: CL emphasizes essential hygiene products with global scale, while DEO and STZ navigate discretionary alcoholic beverages facing demand softness and premiumization trade-offs. Growth drivers contrast CL's steady volume via innovation against beverage peers' reliance on brand strength amid economic sensitivity. Recent momentum favors CL's stability (lowest beta 0.26), versus DEO's sharp declines and STZ's transition. Risk factors include commodity costs for CL, regulatory/tariff exposure for beverages. Valuations show DEO cheapest (forward P/E 8.19), STZ balanced (11.81), CL premium (21.83). Market sentiment tilts toward CL's defensiveness in uncertain conditions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would likely favor CL in the current environment, given its superior trend consistency, lowest volatility, and resilient YTD performance amid broader consumer pressures. While DEO offers value and yield, demand headwinds elevate risks; STZ holds catalysts via earnings but trails in stability. Observable factors like beta and relative positioning suggest higher probability of outperformance for CL near-term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDEO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and STZ’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- CL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DEO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and STZ’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а -0.94% price change this week, while DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) price change was +5.63% , and STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price fluctuated +9.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +2.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was -0.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.61%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.17%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.14%.
Reported Earning Dates
CL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+2.76% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Beverages: Alcoholic (-0.78% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.29% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| CL | DEO | STZ | |
| Capitalization | 67.7B | 43.1B | 28.8B |
| EBITDA | 3.96B | 6.39B | 2.47B |
| Gain YTD | 7.386 | -10.224 | 21.217 |
| P/E Ratio | 32.07 | 17.90 | 17.29 |
| Revenue | 20.4B | 19.8B | 9.38B |
| Total Cash | 1.29B | 2.69B | 152M |
| Total Debt | 8.55B | 23.5B | 10.7B |
CL | DEO | STZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 4 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 13 Undervalued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 5 | 97 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 77 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 54 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (13) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (49) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for CL (98) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that DEO's stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than CL’s over the last 12 months.
CL's Profit vs Risk Rating (66) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that CL's stock grew somewhat faster than DEO’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
CL's SMR Rating (5) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (97) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that CL's stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
STZ's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as CL (56) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is in the same range as DEO (77) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that STZ's stock grew similarly to CL’s and similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
CL's P/E Growth Rating (39) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as DEO (54) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (77) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that CL's stock grew similarly to DEO’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| CL | DEO | STZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 50% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 42% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 43% | 23 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 40% |
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CL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CL has been closely correlated with PG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CL jumps, then PG could also see price increases.
DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | -1.38% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | +1.06% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.72% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.32% | ||
More | ||||
STZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STZ has been loosely correlated with SAM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if STZ jumps, then SAM could also see price increases.