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CL or HSY or STZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Colgate-Palmolive (CL) vs. The Hershey Company (HSY) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CL shares have gained around 18% YTD, supported by strong Q4 earnings and emerging market growth, outperforming peers in stability.
- HSY leads with over 24% YTD returns, driven by salty snacks momentum and analyst upgrades amid resilient demand.
- STZ trails at about 6% YTD, facing beer demand pressures despite premium brands like Modelo showing promise.
- HSY trades at a premium P/E above 50x, while STZ offers value at around 23x; CL sits in between.
- All three exhibit defensive consumer traits, but HSY shows strongest recent momentum in a volatile market.
- Market caps: HSY ~$48B, CL ~$80B, STZ ~$25B.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CL, HSY, and STZ, three consumer staples and beverage giants with defensive appeal in uncertain markets. CL dominates oral care, HSY leads in confectionery and snacks, and STZ focuses on premium beer and wine. Traders seeking relative performance insights and investors eyeing stability amid economic shifts will find value here, as recent earnings, sector momentum, and valuation contrasts highlight trade-offs in growth, risk, and positioning.
CL Overview and Recent Performance
Colgate-Palmolive (CL) is a global leader in oral, personal, home care, and pet nutrition products, with a strong presence in over 200 countries and dominant toothpaste market share around 41%. Recent market activity has seen CL shares rise about 18% YTD and 23% over three months, reflecting resilience. Q4 2025 earnings beat expectations with 5.8% revenue growth to $5.23 billion and EPS of $0.95, fueled by emerging markets and productivity gains, including AI initiatives. Sentiment remains positive on consistent execution, though CEO share sales prompted some caution; shares hover near $94 with a market cap over $80 billion.
HSY Overview and Recent Performance
The Hershey Company (HSY) manufactures chocolate, confectionery, and salty snacks, with iconic brands like Hershey's and Reese's driving North American leadership. In recent weeks, HSY has surged over 24% YTD and 11% in the past month, outpacing the sector. Positive momentum stems from salty snacks growth, analyst upgrades, and resilient demand despite cocoa costs; shares trade around $225 with a $48 billion market cap. Q4 guidance exceeded estimates, supporting a Zacks #1 rank, though elevated valuations reflect premium pricing power.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands (STZ) produces and markets premium beer like Modelo and Corona, alongside wines and spirits, primarily via U.S. imports from Mexico. Recent performance has been mixed, with shares down nearly 10% over the past month but up 6% YTD, trading near $146 with a $25 billion market cap. Q3 earnings beat on steady premium beer demand, yet Hispanic consumer cutbacks and leadership changes weigh on sentiment. Premiumization in brands like Pacifico offers upside amid broader challenges.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CL, HSY, and STZ operate in consumer defensive spaces but differ in models: CL's essential hygiene products yield steady recurring demand, HSY's snacks leverage indulgence trends, and STZ's alcohol ties to premiumization and demographics. Growth drivers favor HSY's salty snacks and CL's emerging markets over STZ's beer pressures. Recent momentum peaks for HSY (24% YTD), followed by CL (18%), with STZ lagging (6%). Risks include commodity inflation for HSY and STZ, versus CL's diversification. Valuation sensitivity is highest for pricey HSY (P/E >50x), while STZ (23x) appears cheaper; sentiment tilts toward HSY and CL stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors HSY based on superior trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and positive analyst momentum in snacks, positioning it strongly amid defensive rotations. CL offers close stability with earnings beats, while STZ lags on demand risks despite value. Probabilistic edge leans toward HSY for near-term relative strength.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileHSY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and STZ’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- CL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HSY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HSY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and STZ’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- HSY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +1.74% price change this week, while HSY (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -4.78% , and STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price fluctuated -2.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.44%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -2.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.01%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.62%.
Reported Earning Dates
CL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
HSY is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+0.96% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-2.68% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.04% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| CL | HSY | STZ | |
| Capitalization | 68.8B | 39B | 28.1B |
| EBITDA | 3.96B | 1.94B | 2.47B |
| Gain YTD | 9.258 | 6.547 | 18.394 |
| P/E Ratio | 32.63 | 44.38 | 16.89 |
| Revenue | 20.4B | 11.7B | 9.38B |
| Total Cash | 1.29B | 926M | 152M |
| Total Debt | 8.55B | 5.74B | 10.7B |
CL | HSY | STZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 5 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 34 Fair valued | 46 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 71 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 5 | 46 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 59 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 7 | 79 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HSY's Valuation (34) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as STZ (46) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CL (98) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that HSY's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and somewhat faster than CL’s over the last 12 months.
CL's Profit vs Risk Rating (65) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as HSY (71) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that CL's stock grew similarly to HSY’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
CL's SMR Rating (5) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HSY (46) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that CL's stock grew somewhat faster than HSY’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
STZ's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as CL (59) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is in the same range as HSY (59) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that STZ's stock grew similarly to CL’s and similarly to HSY’s over the last 12 months.
HSY's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CL (43) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (79) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that HSY's stock grew somewhat faster than CL’s and significantly faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| CL | HSY | STZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | N/A | 2 days ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | N/A | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 10 days ago 64% | 9 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 44% |
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| AVNM | 82.67 | 1.11 | +1.36% |
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STZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STZ has been loosely correlated with SAM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if STZ jumps, then SAM could also see price increases.