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CL or MDLZ or MO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Colgate-Palmolive (CL) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. Altria Group (MO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CL leads YTD performance at nearly 15%, supported by strong Q4 earnings beats and emerging market growth, though recent monthly returns dipped amid inflation concerns.
- MDLZ lags with 6% YTD gains and recent declines due to cocoa costs and muted sales outlook, trading at a high P/E of 30x.
- MO tops the group with 17% YTD returns and a compelling 6.25% dividend yield, bolstered by stable pricing despite volume pressures.
- Valuations contrast sharply: MO's low 16x P/E offers value versus CL (34x) and MDLZ (30x).
- All three exhibit low betas under 0.5, providing defensive positioning in volatile markets, with consumer staples resilience evident in recent activity.
- Dividend yields favor MO at 6.25%, followed by MDLZ (3.64%) and CL (2.39%).
Introduction
This stock comparison evaluates CL, a leader in oral care and household products; MDLZ, a global snacking powerhouse; and MO, a tobacco giant with smoke-free initiatives. These consumer staples firms offer stability amid market swings, appealing to income-focused investors and traders seeking relative performance insights. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum, valuations, and sector drivers like commodity pressures and pricing power, aiding decisions on portfolio positioning in the current environment.
CL Overview and Recent Performance
Colgate-Palmolive (CL) specializes in oral, personal, and home care products, with a strong global footprint emphasizing emerging markets. Shares trade around $90, with a market cap of $72B and YTD gains near 15%. Recent weeks showed choppy trading, including a negative monthly return amid inflation and oil price concerns impacting consumer spending. However, Q4 2025 results beat estimates, with EPS at $0.95 versus $0.91 expected and revenue of $5.23B up 5.8% year-over-year. Emerging markets drove 4.5% organic growth, while a dividend hike to $0.53/share supports sentiment. Low beta of 0.26 underscores defensive appeal, though valuation at 34x P/E reflects premium pricing.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) focuses on snacking brands like Oreo and Cadbury, generating $38B+ in annual revenue. Stock hovers near $57, with $74B market cap and modest 6% YTD rise. Recent performance weakened, with monthly declines over 9% tied to cocoa volatility and a subdued 2026 sales outlook as price hikes deter consumers. Investments in premium lines like Toblerone aim to counter pressures, but shares fell post-earnings. Beta at 0.37 signals stability, P/E of 30x appears stretched, while 3.64% yield attracts income seekers. Broader sentiment reflects commodity risks in confectionery.
MO Overview and Recent Performance
Altria Group (MO) dominates U.S. tobacco via Marlboro and advances in oral nicotine like on!. Shares near $68 support a $113B market cap, leading YTD at 17% amid 23% one-year gains. Recent stability stems from pricing offsetting cigarette volume declines of ~10%, with Q4 results highlighting smoke-free progress. Dividend yield shines at 6.25% ($4.24 annual), backed by 2026 EPS guidance of $5.56-$5.72. Beta of 0.43 and attractive 16x P/E position it favorably, though regulatory risks persist. Momentum reflects dividend reliability in uncertain markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CL, MDLZ, and MO operate in consumer staples but diverge in models: CL's essential hygiene yields high margins and emerging growth; MDLZ's snacks face commodity swings; MO's tobacco relies on pricing amid volumes decline. YTD momentum favors MO (17%) over CL (15%) and MDLZ (6%). Risks include inflation for CL, cocoa for MDLZ, regulation for MO. MO's lowest P/E (16x) and highest yield contrast CL and MDLZ's 30x+ multiples. Sentiment tilts to dividend stability over growth volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward MO in the current environment, citing superior YTD momentum, trend consistency via pricing power, unmatched dividend stability, and relative undervaluation at 16x P/E versus peers. Catalysts like smoke-free expansion enhance positioning, with low beta buffering volatility—offering higher probability for defensive outperformance absent major shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and MO’s FA Score reflects 4 green FA rating(s).
- CL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MO’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and MO’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +1.74% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -2.97% , and MO (@Tobacco) price fluctuated -4.76% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.44%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -2.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.01%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
CL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
MO is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+0.96% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-2.68% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Tobacco (-1.34% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
| CL | MDLZ | MO | |
| Capitalization | 68.8B | 73.5B | 107B |
| EBITDA | 3.96B | 4.97B | 10.8B |
| Gain YTD | 9.258 | 7.274 | 13.155 |
| P/E Ratio | 32.63 | 30.29 | 15.58 |
| Revenue | 20.4B | 38.5B | 20.1B |
| Total Cash | 1.29B | N/A | N/A |
| Total Debt | 8.55B | 21.8B | 25.7B |
CL | MDLZ | MO | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 21 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 26 Undervalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 81 | 14 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 5 | 72 | 9 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 59 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 23 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MO's Valuation (8) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as MDLZ (26) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for CL (98) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and significantly faster than CL’s over the last 12 months.
MO's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CL (65) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MDLZ (81) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MO's stock grew somewhat faster than CL’s and significantly faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
CL's SMR Rating (5) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as MO (9) in the Tobacco industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that CL's stock grew similarly to MO’s and significantly faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MO's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as CL (57) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is in the same range as MDLZ (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to CL’s and similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MO's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as MDLZ (23) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as CL (43) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to CL’s over the last 12 months.
| CL | MDLZ | MO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 71% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 35% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 40% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 40% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 31% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 53% | 11 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 43% | 7 days ago 50% | 5 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | N/A | 3 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 23% |
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CL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CL has been closely correlated with PG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CL jumps, then PG could also see price increases.