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CL or PM or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Colgate-Palmolive (CL) vs. Philip Morris (PM) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CL has shown strong YTD gains of around 18-21%, driven by robust Q4 earnings beats and emerging market growth, outperforming broader indices.
- PM delivered solid 6% YTD returns with a recent dividend hike to $1.47 quarterly, supported by smoke-free product momentum despite short-term volatility.
- WMT posted 11% YTD growth amid Q4 revenue beats, but faces recent pressure from regulatory settlements and insider sales.
- All three exhibit defensive consumer staples traits, with CL and PM offering higher dividend yields around 2% versus WMT's 0.8%.
- Recent market activity highlights CL's relative momentum, while PM and WMT navigate sector headwinds like competition and tariffs.
- Valuations vary, with PM at a P/E near 22x appearing most attractive amid consistent EPS growth forecasts.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CL, PM, and WMT—defensive consumer staples giants—in the current market environment. These companies span personal care, tobacco, and retail, offering stability amid volatility. Investors seeking relative performance insights, dividend reliability, and growth drivers in essential goods sectors will find value here, as recent earnings and sentiment shifts underscore their resilience versus cyclical peers.
CL Overview and Recent Performance
Colgate-Palmolive (CL), a leader in oral and personal care, benefits from steady demand for essentials. Recent market activity saw shares around $93-95, with YTD gains of 18-21% outpacing the S&P 500. Q4 2025 earnings beat estimates, with revenue up 5.8% to $5.23 billion and adjusted EPS at $0.95 versus $0.91 expected, fueled by emerging market growth and productivity gains. Sentiment has improved on AI-driven efficiencies and 2026 guidance for 2-6% net sales growth, though CEO share sales tempered enthusiasm. Price behavior reflects resilience, with shares up over recent weeks despite broader pullbacks.
PM Overview and Recent Performance
Philip Morris International (PM) focuses on smoke-free products, with shares trading near $170. YTD performance stands at about 6%, supported by a $1.47 quarterly dividend. Q4 revenue hit $10.36 billion, up 6.8%, though adjusted operating income slightly missed. Zyn's growth amid competition bolstered outlook, with 2026 adjusted EPS forecast at $8.38-$8.53, implying 11-13% growth. Recent weeks brought volatility, with a 5-9% dip, but reaffirmed guidance and community initiatives sustain positive sentiment in a transitioning tobacco landscape.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart (WMT), the retail behemoth, reported Q4 FY26 revenue of $190.7 billion, up 5.6%, beating estimates, with adjusted EPS at $0.74. Shares hover around $123-124, with 11% YTD gains, driven by e-commerce up 24%. However, a $100 million regulatory settlement and Walton family insider sales pressured sentiment recently. FY27 guidance of 3.5-4.5% sales growth reflects caution amid tariffs and competition, influencing modest price consolidation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CL, PM, and WMT anchor consumer staples, but differ in models: CL's branded essentials yield steady organic growth; PM's nicotine shift drives higher margins; WMT's scale powers omnichannel retail. Growth drivers include CL's emerging markets, PM's Zyn, and WMT's e-commerce. Recent momentum favors CL (18%+ YTD), with WMT at 11% and PM at 6%. Risks: regulatory for PM and WMT, competition for all. PM's ~22x P/E contrasts CL's premium and WMT's 45x, with sentiment tilting toward dividend stalwarts amid uncertainty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward PM in the current environment, citing consistent trend stability, attractive valuation at ~22x P/E, and catalysts like smoke-free growth and reaffirmed 11-13% EPS expansion. While CL shows superior momentum and WMT scale advantages, PM's relative positioning offers probabilistic edge for defensive traders.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePM’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- CL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +0.08% price change this week, while PM (@Tobacco) price change was -3.20% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +2.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +1.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.00%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was +0.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.31%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.29%.
Reported Earning Dates
CL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
PM is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+1.15% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Tobacco (+0.44% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Discount Stores (+2.69% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| CL | PM | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 67B | 246B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 3.96B | 17.5B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | 7.016 | -0.900 | 15.054 |
| P/E Ratio | 31.76 | 21.69 | 46.86 |
| Revenue | 20.4B | 40.6B | 713B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 8.55B | 48.8B | 67.1B |
CL | PM | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 67 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 22 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 19 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 5 | 3 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 60 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 83 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PM's Valuation (22) in the Tobacco industry is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for CL (98) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that PM's stock grew significantly faster than WMT’s and significantly faster than CL’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as PM (19) in the Tobacco industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CL (70) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to PM’s and somewhat faster than CL’s over the last 12 months.
PM's SMR Rating (3) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as CL (5) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (40) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that PM's stock grew similarly to CL’s and somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CL (57) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for PM (60) in the Tobacco industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than CL’s and somewhat faster than PM’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as CL (46) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for PM (83) in the Tobacco industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to CL’s and somewhat faster than PM’s over the last 12 months.
| CL | PM | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 73% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 33% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 44% | 13 days ago 57% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 43% | 6 days ago 48% | 9 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | N/A | 1 day ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 32% | 1 day ago 52% |
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