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CMS or DTE or ES
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) vs. DTE Energy Company (DTE) vs. Eversource Energy (ES) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DTE Energy leads year-to-date performance with approximately 16% gains, outpacing CMS and ES in recent market momentum.
- CMS Energy delivered a strong Q1 earnings beat at $1.13 adjusted EPS (earnings per share) and raised its full-year profit guidance amid robust power demand.
- Eversource Energy offers the highest dividend yield at 4.43%, appealing to income investors despite regulatory headwinds.
- All three stocks exhibit low betas (0.37 for CMS, 0.41 for DTE, 0.75 for ES), indicating defensive qualities relative to the broader market.
- Recent sentiment shifts highlight data center opportunities boosting DTE's growth outlook, while ES faces FERC (Federal Energy Regulatory Commission) ROE (return on equity) pressures.
- Valuation metrics show ES with the lowest forward P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio at 14.90, suggesting relative value.
Introduction
CMS, DTE, and ES are prominent regulated utility providers serving Midwest and Northeast regions, offering stable dividends and low volatility. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, earnings, and market positioning, aiding income-oriented investors and traders navigating interest rate sensitivity and sector growth drivers like data centers. In the current environment of economic uncertainty, these defensive plays provide insights into relative strength for portfolio allocation.
CMS Overview and Recent Performance
CMS Energy Corporation, based in Michigan, operates electric and natural gas utilities serving millions of customers. Shares have traded around $76 in recent weeks, reflecting a year-to-date gain of about 9.5% despite short-term pullbacks. Key influences include a Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.13, surpassing estimates, with revenues up 11.6% year-over-year. The company raised its full-year EPS guidance to $3.83-$3.90, citing strong power demand and operational resilience amid storms. Positive analyst sentiment persists, with an average price target near $82, supporting steady performance in recent market activity.
DTE Overview and Recent Performance
DTE Energy Company, also Michigan-based, delivers electric and gas services with a focus on infrastructure investments. The stock, near $149 recently, has achieved roughly 16% year-to-date returns, leading peers, though facing minor dips. Q1 adjusted EPS came in at $1.95, slightly missing expectations due to energy trading losses, but operating earnings rose. Highlights include up to 8.4 GW data center capacity opportunities and a pause on electric rate hikes for stability. Analyst targets average $161, bolstering sentiment amid growth from tech demand in recent weeks.
ES Overview and Recent Performance
Eversource Energy (ES), serving New England, provides electric, natural gas, and water distribution. Shares hover around $71, with year-to-date gains of approximately 6.7%, trailing peers amid volatility. Recent performance reflects regulatory challenges, including FERC ROE reductions, yet the company reaffirmed 2026 EPS guidance and raised its dividend 5% to $3.15 annualized. Analyst views remain mixed but optimistic long-term, with targets around $72, as shares stabilize in recent market conditions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
All three operate in regulated utilities, emphasizing stable cash flows from electric and gas distribution, but differ in regional exposure: CMS and DTE in Michigan versus ES in New England. Growth drivers favor DTE with data center expansions, while CMS advances clean-energy plans. Recent momentum crowns DTE YTD, but ES lags on regulatory risks. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity, with lowest betas for CMS and DTE. Valuation-wise, ES appears cheapest at 14.9 forward P/E versus 19+ for others; sentiment tilts positive for CMS post-earnings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would likely favor DTE in the current environment, given its superior year-to-date trend consistency, data center catalysts, and balanced growth-stability profile. While CMS shows earnings strength and ES value appeal, DTE’s relative positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance amid rising power demand.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMS’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileDTE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and ES’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- CMS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DTE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ES’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMS’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DTE’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and ES’s TA Score reflects 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMS’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- DTE’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- ES’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CMS (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -2.55% price change this week, while DTE (@Electric Utilities) price change was -2.93% , and ES (@Electric Utilities) price fluctuated -3.17% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.29%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMS is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
DTE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
ES is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.64% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| CMS | DTE | ES | |
| Capitalization | 22.6B | 29.6B | 25.3B |
| EBITDA | 3.4B | 4.28B | 5.64B |
| Gain YTD | 6.264 | 11.295 | 0.921 |
| P/E Ratio | 20.25 | 23.43 | 14.40 |
| Revenue | 8.82B | 16.5B | 13.9B |
| Total Cash | 175M | 238M | 270M |
| Total Debt | 19.1B | 27B | 30.3B |
CMS | DTE | ES | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 58 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 65 Fair valued | 57 Fair valued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 43 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 68 | 66 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 56 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 24 | 92 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ES's Valuation (38) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DTE (57) and is in the same range as CMS (65). This means that ES's stock grew similarly to DTE’s and similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
DTE's Profit vs Risk Rating (43) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (46) and is somewhat better than the same rating for ES (100). This means that DTE's stock grew similarly to CMS’s and somewhat faster than ES’s over the last 12 months.
CMS's SMR Rating (62) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as ES (66) and is in the same range as DTE (68). This means that CMS's stock grew similarly to ES’s and similarly to DTE’s over the last 12 months.
DTE's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (59) and is in the same range as ES (59). This means that DTE's stock grew similarly to CMS’s and similarly to ES’s over the last 12 months.
DTE's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (53) and is significantly better than the same rating for ES (92). This means that DTE's stock grew similarly to CMS’s and significantly faster than ES’s over the last 12 months.
| CMS | DTE | ES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 57% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 34% | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 20 days ago 48% | 12 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 39% | 5 days ago 39% | 5 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 22% | 2 days ago 42% | N/A |
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CMS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMS has been closely correlated with DTE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMS jumps, then DTE could also see price increases.
ES and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ES has been closely correlated with BKH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ES jumps, then BKH could also see price increases.