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CNQ or MGY or VET
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) vs. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) vs. Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- VET has delivered the strongest year-to-date (YTD) performance at 59.22%, outpacing CNQ's 39.12% and MGY's 38.30% amid recent oil price surges.
- CNQ leads in scale with a $97.6 billion market capitalization and the lowest trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at 12.40, signaling attractive valuation.
- All three offer dividends above 2%, with CNQ at 3.83%, supporting income-focused investors in the energy sector.
- Recent geopolitical tensions have driven West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude above $100 per barrel, boosting sentiment across CNQ, MGY, and VET.
- Upcoming Q1 earnings reports for all three could catalyze further moves, with analysts noting positive production updates for VET.
- VET shows the lowest beta at 0.53, indicating relative stability despite international exposure.
Introduction
In the volatile energy sector, CNQ, MGY, and VET stand out as key oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) players. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning amid rising crude prices driven by geopolitical risks. Traders seeking momentum in U.S. shale or diversified international assets, and investors eyeing dividends and valuations, will find insights into relative strengths and trade-offs in today's oil-fueled rally.
CNQ Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) is a major integrated oil and gas producer focused on crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids primarily in Western Canada, with assets in the North Sea and Offshore Africa. In recent market activity, CNQ has benefited from WTI crude surpassing $100 per barrel, posting strong YTD gains of 39.12% and trading near its 52-week high of $51.34. Sentiment has improved with analyst price target increases, such as Goldman Sachs raising to $49, and mentions in TSX dividend stock lists. Upcoming earnings on May 7 are anticipated amid expectations of stable production and robust profitability, with a trailing P/E of 12.40 and return on equity (ROE) of 25.81% underscoring financial strength.
MGY Overview and Recent Performance
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) operates as an independent E&P company targeting oil, natural gas, and liquids in South Texas' Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk. Recent weeks have seen MGY gain from elevated oil prices, delivering YTD returns of 38.30% toward its 52-week high of $32.76. Positive momentum stems from quarterly dividend announcements and Zacks highlighting it as a top momentum stock. Analysts like Truist and Argus maintain Buy or Hold ratings with targets around $32-$34 ahead of May 6 earnings, supported by a P/E of 17.39, ROE of 17.01%, and low debt-to-equity of 20.99%.
VET Overview and Recent Performance
Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) pursues international E&P with properties across North America, Europe, and Australia, emphasizing optimization of mature assets. VET has outperformed peers YTD at 59.22%, approaching its 52-week high of $14.82, fueled by Q1 production exceeding guidance, a Germany asset acquisition, and Croatia divestment. European gas price surges and crude rallies have lifted sentiment, despite trailing twelve-month (TTM) losses. With a forward P/E of 13.18, dividend yield of 2.94%, and beta of 0.53, VET appeals for growth potential ahead of May 6 earnings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CNQ, MGY, and VET share E&P exposure to oil price swings but differ in scale and geography: CNQ's vast Canadian operations provide cost efficiencies and midstream assets, while MGY focuses on high-margin U.S. shale for quicker response to WTI moves, and VET diversifies across Europe for gas upside.
Growth drivers hinge on Brent and WTI above $100, with VET showing strongest recent momentum but TTM losses versus CNQ's profitability. Risk factors include VET's higher debt-to-equity (58.60%) and geopolitical exposure, compared to MGY's conservative balance sheet. Valuation favors CNQ's low P/E and high ROE; market sentiment is bullish across the board with analyst upgrades and earnings anticipation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis, factoring trend consistency, stability, and catalysts, currently leans toward CNQ. Its superior profitability, largest scale, attractive valuation, and balanced beta position it favorably for prolonged oil strength, though VET's momentum warrants monitoring post-earnings.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNQ’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMGY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and VET’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- CNQ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MGY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- VET’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNQ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MGY’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and VET’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNQ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MGY’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- VET’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CNQ (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +7.75% price change this week, while MGY (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +6.96% , and VET (@Oil & Gas Production) price fluctuated +8.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +3.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +38.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNQ is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
MGY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
VET is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+3.88% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CNQ | MGY | VET | |
| Capitalization | 101B | 5.47B | 1.97B |
| EBITDA | 17.5B | 875M | -453.68M |
| Gain YTD | 41.743 | 36.660 | 53.477 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.80 | 17.09 | 25.11 |
| Revenue | 44.5B | 1.32B | 1.92B |
| Total Cash | 113M | 96.7M | 16.4M |
| Total Debt | 17.3B | 411M | 1.3B |
CNQ | MGY | VET | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 72 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 35 Fair valued | 31 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 25 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 52 | 54 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 46 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 17 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
VET's Valuation (31) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (35) and is somewhat better than the same rating for CNQ (76). This means that VET's stock grew similarly to MGY’s and somewhat faster than CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (25) and is somewhat better than the same rating for VET (81). This means that CNQ's stock grew similarly to MGY’s and somewhat faster than VET’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's SMR Rating (52) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (54) and is somewhat better than the same rating for VET (97). This means that CNQ's stock grew similarly to MGY’s and somewhat faster than VET’s over the last 12 months.
VET's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CNQ (42) and is in the same range as MGY (46). This means that VET's stock grew similarly to CNQ’s and similarly to MGY’s over the last 12 months.
VET's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (17) and is somewhat better than the same rating for CNQ (48). This means that VET's stock grew similarly to MGY’s and somewhat faster than CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
| CNQ | MGY | VET | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 70% | 9 days ago 66% | 9 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | N/A | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 84% |
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CNQ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNQ has been closely correlated with EOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNQ jumps, then EOG could also see price increases.
MGY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MGY has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MGY jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MGY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGY | 100% | +2.60% | ||
| CHRD - MGY | 86% Closely correlated | +4.10% | ||
| OVV - MGY | 85% Closely correlated | +2.92% | ||
| MTDR - MGY | 84% Closely correlated | +4.14% | ||
| DVN - MGY | 83% Closely correlated | +4.76% | ||
| PR - MGY | 83% Closely correlated | +3.17% | ||
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VET and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VET has been closely correlated with ZPTAF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VET jumps, then ZPTAF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To VET | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VET | 100% | +1.75% | ||
| ZPTAF - VET | 77% Closely correlated | +1.39% | ||
| CNQ - VET | 74% Closely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| MGY - VET | 73% Closely correlated | +2.60% | ||
| OVV - VET | 73% Closely correlated | +2.92% | ||
| CRLFF - VET | 72% Closely correlated | +3.20% | ||
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