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COHR or NVDA or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coherent Corp (COHR) vs. NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- COHR has surged over 270% in the past year, driven by AI optics demand and a recent multibillion-dollar partnership with NVDA, though it trades at a premium valuation.
- NVDA, the AI GPU leader, shows strong data center demand but has faced recent volatility, with YTD declines amid broader market pressures.
- TSM benefits from foundry dominance for advanced chips, delivering stable YTD gains and robust long-term growth in high-performance computing.
- All three stocks are tied to AI infrastructure expansion, with COHR focusing on photonics, NVDA on compute, and TSM on manufacturing.
- Recent market activity highlights momentum in COHR, stability in TSM, and high expectations for NVDA.
- Valuations reflect growth prospects: COHR at elevated P/E, NVDA around 35x trailing, TSM near 32x.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines COHR, NVDA, and TSM, key players in the AI and semiconductor ecosystem. COHR supplies critical photonics for data centers, NVDA dominates GPU compute, and TSM leads in advanced chip manufacturing. Traders seeking exposure to AI infrastructure growth and investors tracking relative performance in recent market volatility will find value in analyzing their business models, momentum, and positioning. Amid surging data center demand, these stocks offer insights into sector trends and trade-offs.
COHR Overview and Recent Performance
Coherent Corp (COHR), a leader in engineered materials, optoelectronics, and lasers, serves industrial, communications, and data center markets. Its products enable high-speed optical connectivity vital for AI infrastructure. In recent market activity, COHR stock has shown explosive growth, up over 270% in the past year and around 35-37% YTD, with a market cap near $47.5B. A multiyear strategic partnership with NVDA, including a multibillion-dollar commitment for advanced optics, has boosted sentiment, alongside showcases at OFC 2026 for AI datacenter solutions. Despite a high forward P/E above 38x, strong earnings beats and AI-driven demand have fueled momentum, though valuation debates persist amid broader sector pullbacks.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) is a data center AI infrastructure powerhouse, designing GPUs, networking, and software for accelerated computing. Its platforms power AI training and inference across hyperscalers. Recent weeks have seen NVDA stock decline around 7-9% YTD and 3-6% weekly, trading near $173 with a massive $4.2T market cap, amid geopolitical tensions and market rotations. Despite this, data center demand remains robust, with analysts raising targets on AI growth; trailing P/E hovers at 35x. Partnerships like the optics deal with COHR underscore ecosystem expansion, supporting long-term positioning despite short-term volatility.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSM), the world's leading pure-play foundry, fabricates advanced chips for clients including NVDA. It dominates high-performance computing, smartphones, and AI applications. In recent market activity, TSM has held steady with about 5-10% YTD gains and 88% over the past year, at around $329 and $1.5T market cap. AI chip demand drives revenue growth of 30-40% in recent quarters, with a trailing P/E near 32x. Geopolitical risks linger, but expansions in the US and Japan, plus strong earnings, sustain positive sentiment and relative stability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
COHR, NVDA, and TSM anchor the AI supply chain: COHR in photonics for connectivity, NVDA in GPU design, and TSM in fabrication. Growth drivers differ—COHR's optics partnerships versus NVDA's software ecosystem and TSM's process tech leadership. Recent momentum favors COHR (270% 1Y) over TSM (88%) and NVDA (46%), but with higher volatility (beta 1.91). Risks include TSM's geopolitics, NVDA's competition, and COHR's execution on capacity. Valuation sensitivity is elevated for COHR (38x forward P/E), moderate for others; sentiment ties to AI capex, with trade-offs in scale (TSM, NVDA) versus niche upside (COHR).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors COHR due to superior recent trend consistency from the NVDA optics partnership and AI datacenter catalysts, offering probabilistic upside in momentum amid sector rotation. TSM provides stability with foundry scale, while NVDA holds long-term leadership despite near-term pressures. Relative positioning suggests COHR for growth-oriented strategies based on observable AI infrastructure trends.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COHR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- COHR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COHR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COHR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
COHR (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) experienced а +12.20% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.73% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -0.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +1.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.31%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
COHR is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+1.08% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
@Semiconductors (+10.22% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| COHR | NVDA | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 65.2B | 4.91T | 1.67T |
| EBITDA | 1.08B | 145B | 2.74T |
| Gain YTD | 86.932 | 8.349 | 21.192 |
| P/E Ratio | 340.70 | 41.24 | 31.34 |
| Revenue | 6.29B | 216B | 3.81T |
| Total Cash | 864M | 62.6B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 3.55B | 11B | N/A |
COHR | NVDA | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 78 Overvalued | 46 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 8 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 87 | 13 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 13 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 43 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSM's Valuation (46) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (78) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for COHR (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to NVDA’s and somewhat faster than COHR’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as COHR (8) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry, and is in the same range as TSM (9) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to COHR’s and similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (26) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for COHR (87) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and significantly faster than COHR’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Price Growth Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as COHR (34) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry, and is in the same range as TSM (39) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to COHR’s and similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
COHR's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as TSM (20) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as NVDA (43) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that COHR's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| COHR | NVDA | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 6 days ago 82% | 13 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 26 days ago 78% | 22 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 67% |
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COHR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COHR has been loosely correlated with MKSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if COHR jumps, then MKSI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COHR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COHR | 100% | +5.19% | ||
| MKSI - COHR | 65% Loosely correlated | +3.22% | ||
| KEYS - COHR | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.33% | ||
| ESE - COHR | 45% Loosely correlated | +5.04% | ||
| ITRI - COHR | 43% Loosely correlated | +1.47% | ||
| VNT - COHR | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.28% | ||
More | ||||
TSM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSM has been closely correlated with ASML. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TSM jumps, then ASML could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | 100% | -1.15% | ||
| ASML - TSM | 74% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| LRCX - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| KLAC - TSM | 71% Closely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| MPWR - TSM | 71% Closely correlated | +1.53% | ||
| NVDA - TSM | 71% Closely correlated | +0.19% | ||
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