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COHR or NVTS or NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coherent Corp (COHR) vs. Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- COHR leads with explosive YTD gains of ~28% and 1-year returns over 260%, driven by AI optics demand and Nvidia partnerships, though recent volatility persists.
- NVTS shows strong 1-year performance (~229%) amid a pivot to high-power AI data center GaN/SiC tech, but Q4 revenue declined to $7.3M with ongoing losses.
- NXPI offers stability with ~7% YTD gains but lags peers at ~4% over 1 year, following mixed Q4 earnings beat and softer Q1 guidance.
- All three benefit from semiconductor and AI exposure, but COHR exhibits superior momentum while NXPI provides broader diversification in automotive and industrial markets.
- Recent product launches in AI infrastructure highlight growth potential, contrasting NVTS's revenue challenges and NXPI's steady but slower recovery.
- Relative performance favors high-growth optics and power semis over established players amid AI-driven market positioning.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines COHR, NVTS, and NXPI, three semiconductor firms with ties to AI, datacenters, and high-performance computing. COHR focuses on photonics and optics, NVTS on next-gen power devices, and NXPI on automotive and industrial chips. Traders eyeing AI infrastructure growth and investors seeking relative performance in volatile semis markets will find value in analyzing their recent momentum, sector exposure, and catalysts. This review draws on data from Yahoo Finance, Seeking Alpha, and company releases for objective insights into price behavior and sentiment shifts.
COHR Overview and Recent Performance
Coherent Corp (COHR) specializes in engineered materials, lasers, and optoelectronics for datacenters, telecom, and industrial uses. In recent market activity, shares traded around $236 with a 52-week range of $46-$300 and market cap near $44B. Performance stands out with 28% YTD and over 260% 1-year gains, fueled by AI datacenter demand. Q2 FY26 revenue hit $1.69B, up 17% YoY, beating estimates, with datacom up 34% and strong bookings through 2026. Nvidia's strategic partnership and $2B investment boosted sentiment, alongside launches like Thermadite liquid cold plates and 224Gbps Quad TIA for AI infrastructure. Analyst upgrades, including Rosenblatt to $375, reflect deleveraging and growth runway, though chip sector dips introduced volatility.
NVTS Overview and Recent Performance
Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) develops GaN and SiC power ICs for AI datacenters, EVs, and consumer electronics. Shares hovered near $8.20, with a 52-week range of $1.52-$17.79 and market cap of $1.9B. YTD up 15%, 1-year ~229%, reflecting high-beta growth amid sector rotation. Q4 2025 revenue fell to $7.3M YoY on a strategic pivot to high-power markets, now majority revenue, with EPS at -$0.05 in line. CFO exit noted, but AI advancements like 650V GaN sampling, 10kW DC-DC platforms, and EPFL solid-state transformer demo for 800V DC datacenters sustained interest. Exhibitions at APEC 2026 highlight grid and electrification focus, balancing revenue bottoming with long-term efficiency gains.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) delivers microcontrollers and connectivity for automotive, industrial IoT, and edge AI. Trading around $202, 52-week $148-$256, market cap $51B. Modest 7% YTD and 4% 1-year reflect steady recovery. Q4 revenue $3.34B beat estimates up 7% YoY; non-GAAP EPS $3.35 topped forecasts, but softer Q1 guide at $3.15B midpoint pressured shares down 8%. Acquisitions like Aviva Links bolster SDV and physical AI, with automotive rebound offsetting industrial softness. Analyst targets like Bernstein's $240 underscore margin discipline, though competition and demand concerns temper sentiment in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
COHR, NVTS, and NXPI operate in overlapping semis spaces but diverge in focus: COHR's photonics/optics model targets datacenter transceivers with Nvidia catalysts, contrasting NVTS' power semis for efficient AI power delivery and NXPI's diversified microcontrollers for auto/IoT. Growth drivers favor COHR and NVTS via AI infrastructure (optics, GaN/SiC), while NXPI leans on SDV recovery. Recent momentum: COHR +260% 1-yr vs NVTS +229% and NXPI +4%, but NXPI shows lower beta. Risks include NVTS' losses/execution, COHR's volatility, and NXPI's demand softness. Valuation sensitivity higher for growth plays; sentiment strongest around COHR's catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI favors COHR in the current environment, based on superior trend consistency from AI optics tailwinds, Nvidia validation, and 2-3 year visibility amid datacom surges. NVTS trails due to revenue inflection risks despite power tech promise, while NXPI offers stability but lacks comparable catalysts. Probabilistically, COHR aligns best with AI/semicon momentum.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COHR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVTS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and NXPI’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- COHR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COHR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVTS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and NXPI’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COHR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
COHR (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) experienced а +12.20% price change this week, while NVTS (@Semiconductors) price change was +29.14% , and NXPI (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +5.71% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +2.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.99%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
COHR is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+2.72% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| COHR | NVTS | NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 64.7B | 2.84B | 54.6B |
| EBITDA | 1.08B | -67.33M | 3.96B |
| Gain YTD | 86.932 | 72.549 | 0.042 |
| P/E Ratio | 338.25 | N/A | 27.17 |
| Revenue | 6.29B | 45.9M | 12.3B |
| Total Cash | 864M | 237M | 2.91B |
| Total Debt | 3.55B | 6.47M | 12.2B |
COHR | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 82 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 87 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for COHR (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that NXPI’s stock grew significantly faster than COHR’s over the last 12 months.
COHR's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is significantly better than the same rating for NXPI (82) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that COHR’s stock grew significantly faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's SMR Rating (43) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for COHR (87) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that NXPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than COHR’s over the last 12 months.
COHR's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as NXPI (50) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that COHR’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
COHR's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as NXPI (23) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that COHR’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| COHR | NVTS | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 24 days ago 78% | 20 days ago 86% | 17 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 65% |
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COHR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COHR has been loosely correlated with MKSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if COHR jumps, then MKSI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COHR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COHR | 100% | +5.19% | ||
| MKSI - COHR | 65% Loosely correlated | +3.22% | ||
| KEYS - COHR | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.33% | ||
| ESE - COHR | 45% Loosely correlated | +5.04% | ||
| ITRI - COHR | 43% Loosely correlated | +1.47% | ||
| VNT - COHR | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.28% | ||
More | ||||
NVTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVTS has been loosely correlated with IFNNY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVTS jumps, then IFNNY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVTS | 100% | -0.40% | ||
| IFNNY - NVTS | 45% Loosely correlated | +5.79% | ||
| TOELY - NVTS | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.15% | ||
| PENG - NVTS | 43% Loosely correlated | +2.49% | ||
| AAOI - NVTS | 42% Loosely correlated | +1.29% | ||
| COHU - NVTS | 41% Loosely correlated | +4.83% | ||
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