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COST or DEO or MNST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) vs. Diageo plc (DEO) vs. Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- COST leads with robust Q2 earnings beat, 9.2% revenue growth to $69.6B, and YTD gains of ~16%, supported by strong membership fees and comparable sales.
- DEO faces headwinds from sales declines and dividend cut, with shares down ~27% over the past year amid U.S. demand weakness and organic sales drop of 2.8%.
- MNST reported Q4 sales up 17.6% to $2.13B beating estimates, but stock fell 9% post-earnings due to cost pressures; YTD flat at ~1%.
- COST trades at premium PE of 53x with market cap ~$443B, while DEO at 19x (~$46B) offers value but momentum risks; MNST at 39x (~$74B).
- Consumer staples resilience favors COST's defensive warehouse model over beverage peers amid shifting alcohol trends and energy drink competition.
- Tickeron's AI robots show high win rates (70-80%) and returns up to 135% annualized in trending sectors, adaptable to these stocks' conditions.
Introduction
This comparison examines COST, DEO, and MNST—leaders in retail, spirits, and energy drinks—amid recent market volatility and sector shifts. Investors seeking defensive staples with growth potential or traders eyeing relative performance in consumer goods will find value here. COST benefits from membership-driven stability, while beverage stocks navigate demand changes and cost pressures. Recent earnings reveal contrasts in momentum, valuation sensitivity, and positioning for economic uncertainty, aiding decisions on stock comparison and market positioning.
COST Overview and Recent Performance
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) operates membership warehouses offering bulk goods globally. In recent market activity, shares traded around $998 with a market cap exceeding $443B and PE of 53x. Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings beat estimates, with revenue up 9.2% to $69.6B and EPS at $4.58 versus $4.55 expected; membership fees rose 13.6% to $1.36B, comparable sales grew 7.4%. YTD returns near 16% reflect resilience in tiered consumer spending, bolstered by digital sales up 22.6% and tariff refund discussions enhancing sentiment. Steady traffic and execution drive outperformance versus retail peers.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), a global spirits leader with brands like Johnnie Walker and Guinness, has a market cap of ~$46B and PE around 19x. Recent weeks saw shares near $82 amid 1H fiscal 2026 challenges, with organic sales down 2.8%, U.S. weakness in tequila, and a halved interim dividend signaling reset under new leadership. Shares declined ~5% YTD and ~27% over the past year, pressured by consumer downgrades, capacity issues, and Latin America/Latin Caribbean declines offsetting gains elsewhere. Plant closures and strategy updates influence cautious sentiment in a shifting alcohol landscape.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) produces energy drinks, with a ~$74B market cap and PE of 39x. Shares hovered around $76 post-Q4 2025, where net sales rose 17.6% to $2.13B beating estimates, EPS up 30% to $0.51; international growth offset U.S. softness. However, stock dropped ~9% after amid aluminum costs, inflation, and promotional pressures, with YTD returns flat at ~1% despite strong 1-year gains of ~36%. Leadership changes and institutional interest support long-term positioning in non-alcoholic beverages.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the platform's top AI trading bots from hundreds available, which collectively trade thousands of tickers using diverse strategies like swing trading, momentum, and sector rotation across timeframes from 5 minutes to 60 days. Selected for superior adaptation to current volatility, these bots boast annualized returns up to 135%, win rates of 70-80%, and profit factors reaching 4+, with low drawdowns in sectors like aerospace, semiconductors, and infrastructure. For instance, bots targeting multiple tickers show profit-to-drawdown ratios over 20. Traders can explore real-time stats, copy signals, or backtest; visit Trending AI Robots to identify bots fitting COST, DEO, or MNST exposure.
Head-to-Head Comparison
COST's warehouse model drives recurring fees (13%+ growth) versus DEO and MNST's brand-dependent sales, offering stability amid slowdowns. Growth drivers diverge: COST via expansions/digital (YTD +16%), MNST international energy drinks (+18% sales), DEO challenged by premium spirits declines. Recent momentum favors COST (earnings beats) over MNST's post-earnings dip and DEO's ~27% 1Y loss. Risks include COST tariffs/valuation (53x PE), DEO demand shifts (low 19x PE), MNST costs (39x). Staples/retail exposure suits COST; beverages face health trends favoring non-alc like MNST. Sentiment tilts to COST's consistency versus peers' volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors COST due to trend consistency in earnings beats, membership stability, and superior relative YTD performance versus DEO's declines and MNST's cost sensitivity. Observable catalysts like sales growth and low volatility position it probabilistically stronger in staples amid uncertainty, though premium valuation warrants monitoring.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COST’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileDEO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and MNST’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- COST’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MNST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COST’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DEO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and MNST’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COST’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MNST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
COST (@Discount Stores) experienced а +0.14% price change this week, while DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) price change was +6.79% , and MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price fluctuated +1.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.10%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was +2.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.71%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -0.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2073.90%.
Reported Earning Dates
COST is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
MNST is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+2.34% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
@Beverages: Alcoholic (+2.91% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-0.77% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| COST | DEO | MNST | |
| Capitalization | 444B | 45.7B | 75B |
| EBITDA | 14.1B | 6.39B | 2.53B |
| Gain YTD | 16.109 | -4.130 | 0.065 |
| P/E Ratio | 52.00 | 18.92 | 39.55 |
| Revenue | 286B | 19.8B | 8.29B |
| Total Cash | 18.2B | 905M | 2.77B |
| Total Debt | 8.17B | 23.5B | 199M |
COST | DEO | MNST | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 12 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 20 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 100 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 32 | 98 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 60 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 50 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (20) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is significantly better than the same rating for MNST (92) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for COST (94) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DEO's stock grew significantly faster than MNST’s and significantly faster than COST’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MNST (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that COST's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and significantly faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
COST's SMR Rating (32) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MNST (35) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (98) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that COST's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and significantly faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MNST (50) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as DEO (60) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that COST's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
DEO's P/E Growth Rating (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MNST (62) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as COST (73) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DEO's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
| COST | DEO | MNST | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 41% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 38% | about 1 month ago 59% | 5 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 50% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| AVLV | 85.37 | 0.76 | +0.90% |
| Avantis US Large Cap Value ETF | |||
| NDMO | 10.33 | 0.03 | +0.29% |
| Nuveen Dynamic Municipal Opportunities Fund | |||
| PSH | 50.28 | 0.12 | +0.24% |
| PGIM Short Duration High Yield ETF | |||
| RFLR | 30.13 | 0.07 | +0.22% |
| Innovator U.S. Small Cp Mgd Flr ETF | |||
| WRND | 39.80 | N/A | N/A |
| NYLI Global Equity R&D Leaders ETF | |||
MNST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MNST has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MNST jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MNST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNST | 100% | +1.80% | ||
| CCEP - MNST | 46% Loosely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| KO - MNST | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| PEP - MNST | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| CELH - MNST | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
| KDP - MNST | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.88% | ||
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