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COST or MDLZ or STZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- COST leads with strong YTD gains around 13%, driven by robust comparable sales growth of 7.4% and resilient membership trends in recent market activity.
- MDLZ shows modest YTD performance near 6-7%, with shares under pressure from elevated input costs like cocoa, though international revenue provides some offset.
- STZ exhibits YTD returns around 10-13% but trails over longer periods with 1-year declines near -12% to -14%, amid beer segment challenges and leadership transition.
- Recent weeks reveal COST trading near $970-980 with upward momentum post-earnings, while MDLZ hovers at $56-57 and STZ around $150-152 amid volatility.
- Consumer staples resilience favors COST's membership model over MDLZ's snack exposure and STZ's alcohol cyclicality in uncertain environments.
Introduction
This stock comparison evaluates COST, MDLZ, and STZ—representing warehouse retail, packaged snacks, and beverages—in the current market. These consumer staples firms offer defensive qualities amid volatility, appealing to traders seeking relative performance and investors eyeing long-term stability. Recent developments like sales beats, cost pressures, and sector shifts highlight contrasts in growth drivers and risk profiles, aiding decisions on stock comparison and market positioning.
COST Overview and Recent Performance
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) operates membership warehouses offering bulk merchandise globally. In recent market activity, shares have shown resilience, trading around $970-980 after Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings beat estimates with 7.4% comparable sales growth, fueled by traffic and e-commerce gains. YTD returns exceed 13%, outperforming the S&P 500, supported by membership renewal rates and margin expansion. Sentiment remains positive on strategic pricing and international expansion, though premium valuations reflect high expectations.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a global snacking leader with brands like Oreo and Cadbury. Recent weeks saw shares consolidate near $56-57, down modestly YTD around 6%, pressured by cocoa costs impacting margins despite revenue growth. Q4 results showed 9.3% top-line increase, led by Europe and emerging markets, but volume softness lingers. Performance lags broader indices over one year at -10% to -11%, with analysts noting pricing offsets and international strength amid consumer shifts.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) produces and markets beer, wine, and spirits, featuring Corona and Modelo. Shares trade around $150-152 recently, with YTD gains near 10-13% but one-year declines of -12% to -14% reflecting beer demand concerns and a CEO transition. Q3 fiscal 2026 showed gross margin improvement to 48.66%, with volume recovery anticipated, though wine/spirits weigh on sentiment. Volatility persists amid sector headwinds.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
COST’s membership-driven retail model contrasts MDLZ’s branded snacks and STZ’s premium alcohol focus, with warehouse efficiency yielding superior recent momentum (13% YTD vs. 6-7% and 10-13%). Growth for COST stems from traffic and e-commerce; MDLZ from pricing in emerging markets; STZ from beer volumes despite wine drags. Risks include COST’s high P/E (~47), MDLZ’s commodity exposure, and STZ’s cyclicality. Sector-wise, staples stability favors COST, while sentiment tilts to its consistency over peers’ pressures.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward COST currently, citing trend consistency, sales catalysts, and relative YTD outperformance amid staples resilience. Probabilistic edge stems from stable membership economics versus MDLZ cost volatility and STZ demand risks, positioning it favorably in choppy markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COST’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and STZ’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- COST’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COST’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and STZ’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COST’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
COST (@Discount Stores) experienced а +1.68% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was +2.69% , and STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price fluctuated +7.85% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +0.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.43%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +2.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
COST is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+0.71% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+2.89% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.37% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| COST | MDLZ | STZ | |
| Capitalization | 458B | 75.8B | 28.3B |
| EBITDA | 13.7B | 4.97B | 2.47B |
| Gain YTD | 19.841 | 10.722 | 18.970 |
| P/E Ratio | 53.67 | 31.26 | 16.97 |
| Revenue | 280B | 38.5B | 9.38B |
| Total Cash | 17.2B | N/A | 152M |
| Total Debt | 8.1B | 21.8B | 10.7B |
COST | MDLZ | STZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 19 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 28 Undervalued | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 71 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 71 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 53 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 66 | 18 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDLZ's Valuation (28) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as STZ (48) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for COST (94) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and significantly faster than COST’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that COST's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and significantly faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
COST's SMR Rating (31) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that COST's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MDLZ (53) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that COST's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to STZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for COST (66) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (98) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew somewhat faster than COST’s and significantly faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| COST | MDLZ | STZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 33% | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 37% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 53% | 5 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 38% | 10 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 33% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 38% |
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MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.44% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.39% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.84% | ||
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