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CRGY or TGS or YPF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) vs. Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) vs. YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CRGY leads with ~65% YTD gains and strong Q1 2026 results, including record production of 341 MBoe/d (thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day) and adjusted EBITDA of $705 million, outperforming the energy sector.
- TGS offers stability in natural gas transportation with ~6% YTD return but trails peers amid recent monthly declines of ~15%, supported by Argentina's gas infrastructure expansions.
- YPF shows solid ~23% YTD growth driven by Vaca Muerta shale output surges, though exposed to Argentina's economic volatility and Q4 losses from price shifts.
- CRGY demonstrates superior momentum and U.S. operational efficiency; TGS and YPF benefit from Argentina's energy boom but face currency and regulatory risks.
- All three stocks trade at attractive valuations relative to sector averages, with CRGY's recent earnings beat boosting analyst targets around $17.
- Energy sector tailwinds from oil prices support relative performance, with CRGY showing the strongest trend consistency.
Introduction
This comparison examines CRGY, TGS, and YPF, three energy firms with exposure to oil, gas, and shale plays. CRGY focuses on U.S. basins like Eagle Ford and Permian, while TGS and YPF leverage Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale and gas infrastructure. Traders seeking momentum in U.S. E&P (exploration and production) or investors eyeing emerging market growth in Latin American energy may find value in analyzing their recent performance, valuations, and catalysts amid volatile commodity prices and geopolitical shifts. This stock comparison highlights relative strengths for informed positioning.
CRGY Overview and Recent Performance
Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) is an independent U.S. oil and gas explorer and producer focused on key basins including Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta, with significant minerals and royalty interests. In recent market activity, shares have surged approximately 65% YTD and 67% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 and Oils-Energy sector averages of 5% and 32% YTD, respectively. Q1 2026 earnings showcased record production of 341 MBoe/d, revenue of $1.18 billion (up 24.5% YoY), and adjusted EBITDA of $705 million, beating estimates amid Permian synergies exceeding $120 million. Sentiment has strengthened on capital efficiency gains, acquisitions like Vital Energy, and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), with analyst targets averaging ~$17. Price momentum reflects robust execution despite sector volatility.
TGS Overview and Recent Performance
Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) operates Argentina's largest natural gas pipeline network, transporting ~60% of the nation's gas, alongside liquids production and midstream services. Shares have gained ~6% YTD and 15% over the past year, lagging the MERVAL index but showing resilience with a 3-year return of 161%. Recent weeks saw a ~15% monthly pullback amid broader market pressures, yet fundamentals remain solid with firm contracts averaging 11 years remaining and expansions tied to Vaca Muerta. Q4 FY25 results included steady EBITDA, supported by regulated tariffs and NGL (natural gas liquids) commercialization. Analyst targets around $38 signal upside, driven by Argentina's gas export potential, though hyperinflation and FX exposure temper sentiment.
YPF Overview and Recent Performance
YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) is Argentina's integrated energy leader, spanning upstream shale in Vaca Muerta to downstream refining. Shares have advanced ~23% YTD and 53% over the past year, trailing MERVAL's 47% YTD but with a 3-year gain of 322%. Recent performance reflects shale momentum, with Q4 hydrocarbon output at 488 MBoe/d despite a net loss from lower realizations and taxes; shale oil rose 35-42% YoY. Key catalysts include a multibillion-dollar Halliburton deal for Vaca Muerta completions and asset consolidations. Zacks Rank #1 and targets near $54 underscore growth, though economic risks in Argentina influence volatility and investor positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CRGY, TGS, and YPF operate in energy but diverge in models: CRGY's U.S. E&P emphasizes scalable shale with low geopolitical risk, contrasting TGS's midstream focus on stable, regulated gas transport (60% market share) and YPF's integrated operations blending upstream shale (Vaca Muerta) with refining. Growth drivers favor CRGY's Permian/Eagle Ford efficiencies and YPF's shale surges (35%+ YoY), while TGS benefits from pipeline expansions. Recent momentum peaks for CRGY (~65% YTD), with YPF at 23% and TGS at 6%. Risks include commodity sensitivity for all, amplified by Argentina's inflation/FX for TGS/ YPF. Valuations show YPF cheapest (P/E ~8), CRGY at ~25 amid growth, TGS ~16; sentiment tilts bullish on CRGY/ YPF Zacks #1 ranks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors CRGY due to its consistent trend outperformance, U.S.-based stability, Q1 production records, and earnings beats amid favorable oil dynamics. While YPF offers Vaca Muerta upside and TGS midstream reliability, CRGY's relative positioning suggests higher probability of near-term gains, though energy volatility warrants monitoring catalysts like prices and policy.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CRGY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTGS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and YPF’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- CRGY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TGS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- YPF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CRGY’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TGS’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and YPF’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CRGY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TGS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- YPF’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CRGY (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +5.16% price change this week, while TGS (@Integrated Oil) price change was +0.24% , and YPF (@Integrated Oil) price fluctuated +3.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +3.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +38.31%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +1.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
CRGY is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
TGS is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
YPF is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+3.88% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
@Integrated Oil (+1.39% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CRGY | TGS | YPF | |
| Capitalization | 4.31B | 4.43B | 17.1B |
| EBITDA | 1.26B | 1.01T | 2.49B |
| Gain YTD | 57.016 | -5.372 | 20.741 |
| P/E Ratio | 25.39 | 14.06 | 11.70 |
| Revenue | 3.81B | 1.76T | 18.6B |
| Total Cash | 9.78M | 1.81T | 1.69B |
| Total Debt | 5.37B | 1.57T | 10.8B |
TGS | YPF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 36 Fair valued | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 51 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 72 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TGS's Valuation (36) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as YPF (62) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TGS’s stock grew similarly to YPF’s over the last 12 months.
TGS's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as YPF (28) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TGS’s stock grew similarly to YPF’s over the last 12 months.
TGS's SMR Rating (51) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for YPF (92) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TGS’s stock grew somewhat faster than YPF’s over the last 12 months.
YPF's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TGS (59) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that YPF’s stock grew similarly to TGS’s over the last 12 months.
TGS's P/E Growth Rating (50) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as YPF (72) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TGS’s stock grew similarly to YPF’s over the last 12 months.
| CRGY | TGS | YPF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 87% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 18 days ago 85% | 5 days ago 85% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 77% | 9 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 87% |
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CRGY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CRGY has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CRGY jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CRGY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRGY | 100% | +3.41% | ||
| CHRD - CRGY | 82% Closely correlated | +4.10% | ||
| MGY - CRGY | 81% Closely correlated | +2.60% | ||
| OVV - CRGY | 80% Closely correlated | +2.92% | ||
| NOG - CRGY | 80% Closely correlated | +4.58% | ||
| REPX - CRGY | 79% Closely correlated | +1.40% | ||
More | ||||
TGS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TGS has been closely correlated with YPF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TGS jumps, then YPF could also see price increases.
YPF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, YPF has been closely correlated with TGS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if YPF jumps, then TGS could also see price increases.