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CVE or IMO or SHEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cenovus Energy (CVE) vs. Imperial Oil (IMO) vs. Shell plc (SHEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CVE leads peers with a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 72.85% and one-year return of 148.59%, trading near its 52-week high of $29.37.
- SHEL provides the highest dividend yield at 3.34% among the three, supported by global diversification and recent deal announcements.
- IMO delivered a solid YTD return of 48.54% but faced headwinds from a Q1 2026 earnings miss, with EPS of $1.94 versus estimates of $2.40.
- All three stocks operate in the integrated oil and gas sector, benefiting from recent energy market strength, though CVE and IMO have heavier Canadian exposure.
- SHEL trades at the lowest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.02, indicating relative value compared to IMO's 27.11.
- Recent momentum favors CVE, with analyst buy ratings and upcoming Q1 earnings on May 6, 2026.
Introduction
This comparison examines CVE, IMO, and SHEL, three prominent players in the integrated oil and gas sector. These stocks offer exposure to upstream production, refining, and marketing amid volatile oil prices and energy transition dynamics. Investors seeking energy sector allocation, dividend income, or growth potential in North American and global operations will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum and catalysts, aiding informed portfolio decisions in the current environment.
CVE Overview and Recent Performance
Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) is a Canadian integrated oil company focused on oil sands production, conventional assets, and offshore operations. In recent weeks, its stock has shown robust momentum, climbing to around $29.27 and approaching the 52-week high of $29.37, with a market cap of $55 billion. YTD performance stands at 72.85%, outpacing broader markets, driven by strong oil prices and operational efficiencies. Sentiment has been bolstered by analyst upgrades, including Goldman Sachs' buy rating with a $29 target, and anticipation for the Q1 2026 earnings call on May 6. Trading at a P/E of 18.64 and 1.96% dividend yield, CVE reflects optimism in its low-cost oil sands leverage.
IMO Overview and Recent Performance
Imperial Oil Limited (IMO), a leading Canadian integrated energy firm and ExxonMobil subsidiary, engages in exploration, production, refining, and retail fuels. Recent market activity saw shares around $128.48 after touching a 52-week high near $134, with a $63.9 billion market cap. YTD gains of 48.54% have moderated following Q1 2026 results, where EPS missed estimates at $1.94 and net income declined year-over-year amid refining pressures and 130 job cuts. A Q2 dividend declaration supports yield at 1.95%, but P/E of 27.11 signals caution. Performance reflects sector volatility, with sentiment shifting post-earnings.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc (SHEL) is a global energy supermajor with diversified operations in oil, gas, LNG, renewables, and chemicals. Shares trade near $90.14, within a 52-week range of $64.81-$94.90 and a $251 billion market cap. YTD return of 23.22% trails peers but benefits from stability, highlighted by an ARC Resources deal promising $1.5 billion annual free cash flow and LNG upside. Analyst buy ratings, including TD Cowen's nod on $20 billion buybacks, drive positive sentiment. At a P/E of 15.02 and 3.34% yield, SHEL appeals for value in recent trading.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CVE, IMO, and SHEL share integrated models but differ in scale and focus: CVE emphasizes low-cost oil sands growth, IMO balances Canadian refining, and SHEL leverages global LNG diversification. Momentum favors CVE's outperformance, while SHEL offers lower risk via scale. Valuation sensitivity shows SHEL's attractive P/E versus IMO's premium; CVE strikes a growth-value balance. Risks include commodity exposure for Canadians amid regulatory shifts, contrasting SHEL's hedging. Market sentiment tilts positive for CVE and SHEL on catalysts, with IMO recovering post-earnings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward CVE based on superior trend consistency, YTD momentum exceeding 70%, and proximity to highs amid strong analyst support. While SHEL provides stability and yield, and IMO offers integrated exposure, CVE's relative positioning suggests higher probability of near-term upside in energy rallies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVE’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileIMO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and SHEL’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- CVE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- IMO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVE’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IMO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and SHEL’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVE’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- IMO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CVE (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +8.52% price change this week, while IMO (@Integrated Oil) price change was +6.10% , and SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price fluctuated +1.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +1.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
IMO is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+1.39% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CVE | IMO | SHEL | |
| Capitalization | 57.7B | 65.4B | 237B |
| EBITDA | 11.5B | 6.4B | 57.7B |
| Gain YTD | 82.151 | 56.100 | 17.253 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.83 | 31.30 | 13.30 |
| Revenue | 51.9B | 45.4B | 267B |
| Total Cash | 2.58B | 1.03B | 23.1B |
| Total Debt | 13.8B | 4.14B | 75.6B |
CVE | IMO | SHEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 38 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 37 Fair valued | 60 Fair valued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 3 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 56 | 63 | 68 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 40 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 21 | 5 | 63 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CVE's Valuation (37) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as SHEL (37) in the null industry, and is in the same range as IMO (60) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that CVE's stock grew similarly to SHEL’s and similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (6) in the null industry, and is in the same range as CVE (31) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that IMO's stock grew similarly to SHEL’s and similarly to CVE’s over the last 12 months.
CVE's SMR Rating (56) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as IMO (63) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is in the same range as SHEL (68) in the null industry. This means that CVE's stock grew similarly to IMO’s and similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
CVE's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as IMO (40) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is in the same range as SHEL (48) in the null industry. This means that CVE's stock grew similarly to IMO’s and similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as CVE (21) in the Oil And Gas Production industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (63) in the null industry. This means that IMO's stock grew similarly to CVE’s and somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| CVE | IMO | SHEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 73% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 39% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 75% | 13 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 66% | 11 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 38% |
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CVE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVE has been closely correlated with SU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVE jumps, then SU could also see price increases.
IMO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IMO has been closely correlated with SU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IMO jumps, then SU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IMO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMO | 100% | +1.77% | ||
| SU - IMO | 77% Closely correlated | +2.25% | ||
| CVE - IMO | 73% Closely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| BP - IMO | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.67% | ||
| SHEL - IMO | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.01% | ||
| CRGY - IMO | 59% Loosely correlated | +3.41% | ||
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SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with E. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then E could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | +1.01% | ||
| E - SHEL | 80% Closely correlated | +0.29% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 75% Closely correlated | +1.67% | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +3.41% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +3.57% | ||
| XOM - SHEL | 66% Loosely correlated | +4.07% | ||
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