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DEO or KDP or MNST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Diageo plc (DEO) vs. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) vs. Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DEO has faced significant pressure in recent weeks, declining over 25% from early February highs amid weak U.S. spirits demand and lowered guidance, trading near 52-week lows around $72-74.
- KDP shows relative stability but down approximately 13% over the past month, supported by strong U.S. refreshment beverages momentum and double-digit EPS growth outlook for 2026.
- MNST exhibits the strongest relative performance, up over 20% year-over-year despite recent pullbacks, driven by robust energy drink demand and record quarterly sales growth.
- Across recent market activity, MNST leads in momentum and earnings growth, while DEO lags due to regional headwinds; KDP offers balanced value with lower valuation multiples.
- Sector contrasts highlight MNST's growth in non-alcoholic energy versus DEO's alcohol challenges and KDP's diversified beverages.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines DEO, KDP, and MNST, three prominent beverage sector players navigating shifting consumer preferences and economic pressures. DEO represents premium alcoholic beverages, KDP spans non-alcoholic soft drinks and coffee systems, and MNST dominates energy drinks. Traders seeking momentum opportunities and investors eyeing relative value in consumer staples will find insights into recent performance, growth drivers, and market positioning relevant for portfolio decisions in the current environment.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), a global leader in premium alcoholic beverages including Johnnie Walker, Guinness, and Smirnoff, has encountered headwinds in recent market activity. The stock plummeted over 14% following fiscal 2025 preliminary results showing modest 1.7% organic net sales growth but declines in operating profit and EPS, attributed to weak U.S. spirits demand, tequila category slumps, and challenges in China. Year-to-date, shares are down approximately 16%, with a 30%+ drop over the past year, trading around $72-74 near 52-week lows. Sentiment reflects concerns over high leverage, inventory destocking, and shifting consumer trends away from premium spirits, though diversified brands like Don Julio and Guinness provide some resilience.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) operates a broad non-alcoholic beverage portfolio, including Dr Pepper, Keurig coffee systems, and brands like 7UP and Snapple. Recent performance reflects steady execution amid cost pressures, with Q4 2025 results showing 10.6% revenue growth to $4.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.60 beating estimates. U.S. refreshment beverages drove 11.5% segment growth, bolstered by GHOST energy integration. Full-year 2025 constant currency net sales rose over 8%, with 2026 guidance targeting double-digit EPS growth including JDE Peet's acquisition. Shares have declined about 13% in recent weeks to around $26-27, YTD down 5%, pressured by labor issues and inflation but supported by strong distribution and innovation.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) focuses on energy drinks like Monster Energy, with segments in strategic and alcohol brands. Recent quarters highlight robust demand, with Q4 2025 revenue up 17.6% to $2.13 billion and EPS of $0.51 exceeding forecasts; Q3 net sales surged 16.8% to $2.20 billion. Zero-sugar variants and international expansion fuel growth, with operating income up significantly. Shares, around $73-74, are down modestly in recent weeks but up 26% over the past year and positive YTD, outperforming peers amid resilient consumer spending on energy products despite competition and pricing pressures.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DEO, KDP, and MNST operate in beverages but diverge in models: DEO's premium alcohol faces volume declines in mature markets, contrasting MNST's high-growth energy niche and KDP's stable soft drinks/coffee blend. Growth drivers favor MNST (10%+ revenue CAGR) over KDP's mid-single digits and DEO's flat outlook. Recent momentum ranks MNST highest, with DEO weakest. Risks include DEO's leverage/currency exposure, KDP's coffee costs/labor, and MNST's competition. Valuation sees KDP cheapest (P/E ~12) vs. MNST (~34); sentiment tilts positive for MNST.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MNST based on superior trend consistency, earnings beats, and relative strength in recent market activity. Strong sales momentum and international catalysts position it probabilistically ahead, though KDP's value offers stability and DEO potential mean reversion if alcohol rebounds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DEO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKDP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and MNST’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MNST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DEO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KDP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and MNST’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KDP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MNST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) experienced а +5.63% price change this week, while KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +4.98% , and MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price fluctuated +4.63% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was -0.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.61%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.17%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +1.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was +164975.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
KDP is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
MNST is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Alcoholic (-0.78% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+1.66% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| DEO | KDP | MNST | |
| Capitalization | 43.1B | 36.1B | 74B |
| EBITDA | 6.39B | 4.19B | 2.53B |
| Gain YTD | -10.224 | -3.511 | -1.239 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.90 | 17.37 | 39.03 |
| Revenue | 19.8B | 16.6B | 8.29B |
| Total Cash | 2.69B | N/A | 2.77B |
| Total Debt | 23.5B | 17.6B | 199M |
DEO | KDP | MNST | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 65 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 25 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 97 | 74 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | 61 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 94 | 61 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (13) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (25) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MNST (92) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that DEO's stock grew similarly to KDP’s and significantly faster than MNST’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (100) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew significantly faster than DEO’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's SMR Rating (34) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (74) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (97) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew somewhat faster than KDP’s and somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (61) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as DEO (77) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew similarly to KDP’s and similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
DEO's P/E Growth Rating (54) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MNST (61) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (94) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that DEO's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| DEO | KDP | MNST | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 42% | 1 day ago 49% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 59% | 10 days ago 45% | 13 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 5 days ago 65% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 35% | 1 day ago 58% |
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DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | -1.38% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | +1.06% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.72% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.32% | ||
More | ||||
MNST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MNST has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MNST jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MNST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNST | 100% | -0.62% | ||
| CCEP - MNST | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.49% | ||
| KO - MNST | 43% Loosely correlated | -0.91% | ||
| PEP - MNST | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| CELH - MNST | 39% Loosely correlated | -4.18% | ||
| KDP - MNST | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.57% | ||
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