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DEO or KR or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Diageo (DEO) vs. Kroger (KR) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- WMT leads with robust YTD gains of over 11%, driven by strong e-commerce and international growth, contrasting DEO's recent weakness from U.S. and China demand softness.
- KR shows solid YTD performance around 19%, bolstered by recent earnings beats, though sales slightly missed amid competitive pressures.
- Valuation contrasts: DEO trades at a forward P/E near 12 with a 5% dividend yield, appearing cheapest, while WMT's premium P/E of 42 reflects growth expectations.
- Recent momentum favors grocery giants KR and WMT over beverages leader DEO, which faces analyst downgrades and guidance cuts.
- Tickeron's AI bots highlight WMT with +25% annualized returns in trending strategies, underscoring its relative strength.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines DEO, a global leader in premium spirits; KR, a major U.S. grocery retailer; and WMT, the world's largest omnichannel retailer. These consumer staples firms offer defensive exposure amid market volatility, appealing to value-oriented investors seeking stability in beverages and essential goods. Traders focused on relative performance may note shifts in grocery demand versus premium alcohol trends, providing insights into sector rotation and positioning in the current environment of moderating inflation and consumer resilience.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), headquartered in London, is a global leader in premium alcoholic beverages, producing iconic brands like Johnnie Walker, Guinness, Smirnoff, and Don Julio across spirits, beer, and wine. Operating in nearly 180 countries with over 200 brands, it emphasizes craftsmanship and premiumization. Recent market activity has pressured DEO, with shares down over 15% in the past month amid U.S. spirits category weakness and softer China demand. The company lowered fiscal 2026 guidance, citing volume declines, prompting HSBC's downgrade to Hold. YTD returns hover around 5%, lagging peers, though a high dividend yield near 5% supports income focus. Sentiment reflects caution on recovery timing, balanced by strong Europe and emerging market contributions.
KR Overview and Recent Performance
The Kroger Co. (KR), based in Cincinnati, Ohio, ranks among the world's largest food retailers, operating nearly 2,800 stores under various banners, plus fuel centers, pharmacies, and manufacturing facilities. It emphasizes fresh foods, digital delivery, and affordability. In recent weeks, KR shares have surged over 10% in five days, reflecting Q4 earnings that beat EPS estimates despite modest sales growth of 1.2%. YTD performance exceeds 19%, outperforming the S&P 500, fueled by leadership changes like a new Chief Data and AI Officer and focus on low prices under CEO Greg Foran. Challenges include store optimizations, but resilient grocery demand drives positive momentum.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT), headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas, is the global retail giant with over 10,750 stores in 19 countries, blending physical, e-commerce, and Sam's Club formats. It prioritizes everyday low prices, supply chain efficiency, and tech innovations like advertising and health services. Recent activity shows stability, with shares up 11% YTD amid strong digital sales growth over 20% and international expansion. Q3 gross margins improved slightly to 24.9%, though operating margins dipped; e-commerce and membership trends bolster sentiment. Trading near all-time highs, WMT benefits from scale and consumer shift to value, despite insider sales and regulatory settlements.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the top-performing AI trading bots from its library of hundreds that analyze thousands of tickers across diverse strategies, timeframes, and market conditions. Only those excelling in current volatility—such as low-drawdown growth in sectors like consumer staples, energy, and tech—earn a spot, with stats like annualized returns up to +215%, win rates to 95%, and profit factors over 25. For instance, a WMT bot shows +25% annualized return and 73% win rate, while multi-ticker bots including consumer staples like PG hit +20% with 70% wins. These automated agents adapt via advanced financial learning models, offering copy-trading signals with risk controls. Explore Trending AI Robots to identify bots suited to today's market dynamics.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models diverge: DEO focuses on high-margin premium spirits with global brand power but cyclical premium demand risks; KR and WMT emphasize high-volume grocery essentials, with WMT's scale enabling e-commerce dominance. Growth drivers favor WMT's 4-5% revenue trajectory via digital and international, versus KR's steady 2% and DEO's flat outlook amid U.S./China headwinds. Recent momentum: KR +15% monthly, WMT stable, DEO -16%. Risk factors include DEO's volume sensitivity, KR's competition post-Albertsons deal scrutiny, and WMT's tariff exposure. Valuations: DEO cheapest at forward P/E ~12, KR ~13, WMT premium 42; yields 5%/1.9%/0.8%. Sentiment tilts to grocery resilience over beverages.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT due to consistent trend strength, e-commerce catalysts, and superior relative positioning in consumer staples. Its trending bots deliver +25% annualized returns on WMT, highlighting stability and growth potential versus DEO's headwinds and KR's softer sales outlook. Probabilistic edge leans toward WMT for momentum traders, though DEO's value appeals in downturns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DEO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DEO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) experienced а +7.11% price change this week, while KR (@Food Retail) price change was -2.76% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +2.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was -1.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Retail industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.18%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +0.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
KR is expected to report earnings on Jun 11, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Alcoholic (-1.24% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Food Retail (+0.96% weekly)The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.
@Discount Stores (+0.71% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| DEO | KR | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 42.9B | 43.1B | 1.03T |
| EBITDA | 6.39B | 5.43B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | -8.972 | 13.161 | 16.143 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.14 | 45.68 | 47.30 |
| Revenue | 19.8B | 147B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 2.69B | 879M | N/A |
| Total Debt | 23.5B | 25.2B | 68.4B |
DEO | KR | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 55 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 57 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 21 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 97 | 77 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 50 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 8 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (13) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KR (57) in the Food Retail industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DEO's stock grew somewhat faster than KR’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as KR (21) in the Food Retail industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to KR’s and significantly faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
KR's SMR Rating (77) in the Food Retail industry is in the same range as DEO (97) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as WMT (99) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that KR's stock grew similarly to DEO’s and similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as KR (50) in the Food Retail industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (78) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to KR’s and somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
KR's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Food Retail industry is in the same range as WMT (33) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that KR's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
| DEO | KR | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 63% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 28% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 4 days ago 57% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 59% | 1 day ago 46% | 21 days ago 33% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 33% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 30% |
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DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | +1.87% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.44% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | +8.53% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
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