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DEO or MDLZ or MNST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Diageo plc (DEO) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. Monster Beverage (MNST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DEO has faced significant pressure from softening spirits demand and inventory normalization, leading to sharp declines in recent market activity, with shares down over 20% in the past month.
- MDLZ shows relative stability amid consumer staples peers but contends with weak demand and rising costs, posting modest YTD gains while trading at a higher P/E ratio around 29.
- MNST demonstrates stronger long-term momentum with robust Q4 sales growth exceeding 17%, though recent pullbacks reflect competitive pressures; it leads in 1-year returns at around 42%.
- All three operate in consumer defensive sectors but differ in sub-sectors: DEO in premium spirits, MDLZ in snacks, and MNST in energy drinks, influencing their sensitivity to economic shifts.
- Valuation contrasts highlight DEO's lower P/E near 18 and high dividend yield over 5%, versus growth-oriented MNST at P/E 40 with no dividend.
- Recent sentiment favors MNST for growth potential despite volatility, while DEO appears undervalued post-weakness.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines DEO, MDLZ, and MNST, three prominent names in beverages and consumer staples. DEO leads in premium spirits, MDLZ dominates snacks like Oreo and Cadbury, and MNST excels in energy drinks. Investors seeking defensive plays with growth exposure or traders eyeing relative performance in a volatile market will find value here. Amid shifting consumer trends and economic uncertainty, their recent trajectories offer insights into sector resilience and momentum for portfolio positioning.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), a global leader in premium alcoholic beverages including Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, and Guinness, operates across nearly 180 countries with a market cap around $43 billion. Recent market activity has pressured shares, down over 20% in the past month and 10% YTD, amid softening demand for spirits, slow inventory normalization, and tariff uncertainties. Trading near multi-year lows with a P/E of about 18 and dividend yield exceeding 5%, sentiment reflects subdued premiumization trends, though longer-term stability persists in its diversified portfolio.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ), known for brands like Oreo, Cadbury, and Ritz, is a snack powerhouse with $36 billion in annual revenue across 150+ countries and a $71 billion market cap. Shares have held modest YTD gains near 2%, outperforming some peers but down 12% over the past year, influenced by price hikes deterring cost-conscious consumers and rising input costs. With a P/E around 29 and 3.6% dividend yield, recent stability contrasts broader consumer staples weakness, supported by emerging market exposure.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) specializes in energy drinks like Monster Energy and Reign, alongside craft beers, with a $75 billion market cap and global reach. Recent quarters showed strong Q4 net sales up 17.6% year-over-year, beating estimates, though shares pulled back amid competition and costs, flat YTD but up 42% over one year. Trading at a P/E near 40 with no dividend, performance reflects resilient demand for functional beverages and innovation, positioning it ahead in growth metrics despite volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DEO, MDLZ, and MNST share consumer defensive traits but diverge in models: DEO's spirits focus ties growth to premiumization amid demand slowdowns, while MDLZ leverages snacks' staple appeal against cost pressures, and MNST bets on energy drink expansion internationally. Recent momentum favors MNST's sales surge over DEO's declines, with MDLZ steady. Risks include tariffs for DEO, cocoa inflation for MDLZ, and competition for MNST. Valuations show DEO cheapest at P/E 18, MDLZ mid-range, and MNST premium for growth. Sentiment tilts toward MNST's catalysts versus peers' headwinds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward MNST, given its superior trend consistency, Q4 catalysts like 17%+ sales growth, and relative positioning in high-demand energy beverages. While DEO offers value and yield post-correction, and MDLZ stability, MNST's momentum suggests higher probability of outperformance in coming periods based on observable factors.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DEO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and MNST’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MNST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DEO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and MNST’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MNST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) experienced а +6.79% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -2.97% , and MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price fluctuated +2.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was +2.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.35%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -4.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.55%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -1.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83822.82%.
Reported Earning Dates
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
MNST is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Alcoholic (+2.13% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-4.27% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-1.29% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| DEO | MDLZ | MNST | |
| Capitalization | 45.7B | 73.6B | 75.5B |
| EBITDA | 6.39B | 4.97B | 2.53B |
| Gain YTD | -4.130 | 7.387 | 0.730 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.98 | 30.32 | 39.81 |
| Revenue | 19.8B | 38.5B | 8.29B |
| Total Cash | 905M | N/A | 2.77B |
| Total Debt | 23.5B | 21.8B | 199M |
DEO | MDLZ | MNST | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 20 Undervalued | 26 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 81 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 72 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 59 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 23 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (20) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (26) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MNST (92) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that DEO's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and significantly faster than MNST’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (81) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and significantly faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's SMR Rating (35) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (98) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as DEO (60) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as DEO (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MNST (62) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to DEO’s and somewhat faster than MNST’s over the last 12 months.
| DEO | MDLZ | MNST | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 5 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 45% | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 41% | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 8 days ago 50% | 6 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | N/A | 4 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 39% | 4 days ago 50% |
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DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | +3.33% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | +1.35% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.46% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.10% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | -1.20% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.56% | ||
More | ||||
MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.10% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.13% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.29% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.86% | ||
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