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DEO or MDLZ or SYY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Diageo plc (DEO) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. Sysco Corporation (SYY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DEO has faced significant pressure from weakening demand in the US and China, with shares down over 20% in recent weeks amid lowered guidance and dividend cuts.
- MDLZ shows relative stability in the consumer staples sector but trades at a premium P/E of around 33x, with YTD gains of about 6% amid cocoa price challenges.
- SYY leads in recent momentum, up 16% YTD and 14% over the past year, supported by raised FY26 guidance and strong foodservice demand.
- Across valuations, SYY appears more attractive at a P/E near 22x compared to peers, with consistent EPS growth.
- Relative performance highlights SYY's outperformance in trend consistency, while DEO lags due to sector headwinds.
- Consumer staples exposure positions all three defensively, but SYY benefits from volume recovery in distribution.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines DEO, MDLZ, and SYY, three consumer staples giants representing alcoholic beverages, packaged snacks, and food distribution. Investors and traders focused on defensive sectors amid market volatility may find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuation sensitivity, and growth drivers. Recent market activity has highlighted contrasts in momentum and sentiment, influenced by demand trends, cost pressures, and operational efficiencies. This overview provides factual insights into their business models and positioning for informed relative performance evaluation.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO) is a global leader in premium alcoholic beverages, producing brands like Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, and Guinness across nearly 180 countries. The company operates over 110 manufacturing sites with around 29,000 employees. In recent market activity, DEO shares have declined sharply, dropping over 20% in recent weeks and nearly 30% over the past year, trading near 52-week lows around $77. This weakness stems from softening demand trends, particularly in the US and China, where sales fell amid pressure on disposable incomes and excess inventories. Earlier guidance revisions and a slashed dividend further pressured sentiment, with YTD returns negative at about -11%. Analysts note subdued spirits demand and tariff uncertainties as key influences, though long-term premiumization trends offer potential stabilization.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) is a leading global snacking company, holding top positions in biscuits and chocolate with brands like Oreo, Cadbury, and Toblerone. It generates about $36 billion in annual revenue across over 150 countries, employing 91,000 people. Recent performance for MDLZ reflects resilience in consumer staples, with shares around $55-$57 and YTD gains near 6%, outperforming broader indices in some periods. However, one-year returns lag at about 8%, impacted by high cocoa prices prompting innovation shifts in chocolate. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of roughly 33x, signaling premium valuation amid steady revenue but concerns over consumer demand and share price softness. Investments like CHF 65 million in Toblerone production underscore growth efforts in premium segments.
SYY Overview and Recent Performance
Sysco Corporation (SYY) is the world's largest foodservice distributor, supplying restaurants, healthcare, and education facilities with products including meat, seafood, and produce via over 320 facilities. It serves 730,000 locations with 75,000 employees. In recent weeks, SYY has shown strength, with shares near $85, up 16% YTD and 14% over the past year, trading above key moving averages. Positive momentum follows raised FY26 guidance for 3-5% sales growth, driven by volume gains in steaks, fillets, and frozen foods, plus cost controls. Despite a recent CFO transition, operational efficiencies and partnerships bolster sentiment, with Q2 results beating estimates and dividend hikes supporting stability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DEO, MDLZ, and SYY operate in interconnected consumer staples, but differ in models: DEO's premium spirits face cyclical demand risks, MDLZ's branded snacks emphasize volume in emerging markets, and SYY's distribution benefits from broad foodservice recovery. Growth drivers contrast—SYY projects 3-5% sales rise on volumes, versus DEO's -2-3% organic decline. Recent momentum favors SYY (16% YTD) over MDLZ (6%) and DEO (-11%). Risk factors include tariffs for DEO, commodity costs for MDLZ, and leadership shifts at SYY. Valuations show SYY at 22x P/E most accessible, MDLZ premium at 33x, DEO compressed. Sentiment tilts positive for SYY's catalysts versus peers' pressures.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors SYY due to superior trend consistency above moving averages, positive EPS revisions, raised guidance, and relative strength in recent market activity. While MDLZ offers stability and DEO potential value at lows, SYY's volume-driven catalysts and outperformance position it probabilistically stronger for momentum traders.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DEO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and SYY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SYY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DEO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and SYY’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SYY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) experienced а +6.79% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -2.97% , and SYY (@Food Distributors) price fluctuated +4.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was +2.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.35%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -4.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.55%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was -0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.38%.
Reported Earning Dates
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
SYY is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Alcoholic (+2.13% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-4.27% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Food Distributors (-0.73% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
| DEO | MDLZ | SYY | |
| Capitalization | 45.7B | 73.6B | 36.5B |
| EBITDA | 6.39B | 4.97B | 4.1B |
| Gain YTD | -4.130 | 7.387 | 5.037 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.98 | 30.32 | 20.56 |
| Revenue | 19.8B | 38.5B | 82.6B |
| Total Cash | 905M | N/A | 169M |
| Total Debt | 23.5B | 21.8B | 15B |
DEO | MDLZ | SYY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 20 Undervalued | 26 Undervalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 81 | 76 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 72 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 59 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 23 | 50 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (20) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (26) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as SYY (50) in the Food Distributors industry. This means that DEO's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to SYY’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's Profit vs Risk Rating (76) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as MDLZ (81) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that SYY's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's SMR Rating (14) in the Food Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (98) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that SYY's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and significantly faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as SYY (60) in the Food Distributors industry, and is in the same range as DEO (60) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as SYY (50) in the Food Distributors industry, and is in the same range as DEO (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
| DEO | MDLZ | SYY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 5 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 45% | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 48% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 41% | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 53% | 6 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 8 days ago 50% | 11 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | N/A | 4 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 39% | 4 days ago 65% |
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DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | +3.33% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | +1.35% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.46% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.10% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | -1.20% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.56% | ||
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MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.10% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.13% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.29% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.86% | ||
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SYY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SYY has been loosely correlated with USFD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 41% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SYY jumps, then USFD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SYY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYY | 100% | -0.01% | ||
| USFD - SYY | 41% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| PFGC - SYY | 41% Loosely correlated | -2.00% | ||
| UNFI - SYY | 30% Poorly correlated | -0.70% | ||
| ANDE - SYY | 26% Poorly correlated | +1.33% | ||
| CHEF - SYY | 25% Poorly correlated | -0.44% | ||
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