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DEO or MNST or STZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Diageo plc (DEO) vs. Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) vs. Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DEO has faced significant pressure from weak U.S. and China demand, leading to a dividend cut and YTD decline of approximately -14%, trading near 52-week lows around $73.
- MNST reported record quarterly revenue over $2 billion driven by international growth, with shares around $71 and positive 1-year returns near 22%, though valuation concerns persist at a high P/E.
- STZ shows relative resilience with YTD gains around +10%, supported by strong beer segment performance, shares near $151, and a Moderate Buy consensus from analysts.
- Across valuations, DEO appears cheapest at a P/E of about 17x amid challenges, while MNST trades at 37x and STZ at 24x.
- Recent momentum favors MNST and STZ over DEO, reflecting divergent sector dynamics in alcoholic beverages versus non-alcoholic energy drinks.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight relative positioning, with potential in growth-oriented plays like MNST amid consumer shifts.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines DEO, MNST, and STZ, representing key players in beverages: global spirits leader Diageo plc, energy drink powerhouse Monster Beverage Corporation, and diversified beer/wine/spirits firm Constellation Brands, Inc. Investors and traders interested in consumer staples with varying alcohol exposure will find value here, particularly amid shifting demand patterns, premiumization trends, and economic pressures on discretionary spending. By analyzing recent performance, business models, and market sentiment, this review aids informed decisions on relative performance and stock comparison in the current environment.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), a UK-based multinational, produces and distributes premium alcoholic beverages including Johnnie Walker whisky, Smirnoff vodka, Guinness beer, and Don Julio tequila across nearly 180 countries. With over 200 brands, it leads in spirits and emphasizes premium drinks. Recent market activity has pressured shares, trading around $73 near 52-week lows after a dividend slash and lowered profit outlook due to weak U.S. spirits demand (down 9.3% organically) and China white spirits declines. First-half fiscal 2026 sales fell 4%, with North America revenue dropping 7.4%. Sentiment reflects concerns over consumer spending, tariffs, and high debt (leverage at 3.4x), though disposals like East African Breweries aim to reduce leverage. YTD returns lag at -14%, underperforming benchmarks amid broader spirits slowdown.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST), headquartered in Corona, California, develops, markets, and distributes energy drinks like Monster Energy, Reign Total Body Fuel, and Bang, alongside strategic brands and alcohol products. It operates through Monster Energy Drinks, Strategic Brands, Alcohol Brands, and Other segments, focusing on non-alcoholic beverages with global reach. Recent performance shines with record quarterly revenue exceeding $2.1 billion, fueled by strong international demand for sugar-free and new flavors despite U.S. pricing pressures. Shares hover around $71, with YTD returns near +7% and 1-year gains of 22%, outperforming the S&P 500. Analyst adjustments note margin scrutiny, but resilient demand in economic uncertainty supports positive momentum versus alcoholic peers.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ), based in Rochester, New York, is a leading producer and marketer of beer (Corona, Modelo Especial), wine (Robert Mondavi, Kim Crawford), and spirits (Casa Noble Tequila, High West Whiskey), with operations in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. Its beer division dominates U.S. imports. Recent weeks show stability amid volatility, with shares around $151 and YTD gains of about +10%, contrasting broader market dips. Despite prior guidance cuts from soft beer demand, Q3 EPS beat estimates, supported by 15th year of beer volume growth and $824 million in buybacks. Analyst consensus is Moderate Buy, with targets near $178, buoyed by defensive positioning and non-alc expansions like Hop Wtr, though wine/spirits face headwinds.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DEO, MNST, and STZ span alcoholic beverages and non-alcoholic energy, highlighting trade-offs in business models. Diageo’s global spirits focus offers scale ($20B+ revenue) but exposes it to premiumization slowdowns and tariffs, contrasting Monster’s nimble energy drink growth via international expansion and Constellation’s U.S. beer dominance (Modelo #1 by sales). Recent momentum favors MNST (22% 1-year) and STZ (+10% YTD) over DEO (-14% YTD), driven by resilient non-alc demand versus spirits weakness. Risk factors include DEO’s high debt (3.4x leverage) and dividend cut, MNST’s margin/pricing pressures (P/E 37x), and STZ’s consumer sensitivity (P/E 24x). Valuation sensitivity shows DEO cheapest (P/E 17x), but sentiment tilts to STZ’s buybacks and MNST’s record sales amid health trends.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MNST with higher probability due to trend consistency in international energy drink demand, record revenues signaling catalysts, and superior relative positioning versus alcoholic peers facing U.S./China headwinds. While STZ offers stability and DEO undervaluation, MNST’s momentum and non-cyclical growth profile suggest stronger near-term outperformance potential based on observable patterns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DEO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMNST’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and STZ’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MNST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DEO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MNST’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and STZ’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MNST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) experienced а +7.11% price change this week, while MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +5.28% , and STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price fluctuated +7.85% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was -1.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +164976.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
MNST is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Alcoholic (-1.24% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+2.02% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.37% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| DEO | MNST | STZ | |
| Capitalization | 42.9B | 74.5B | 28.3B |
| EBITDA | 6.39B | 2.53B | 2.47B |
| Gain YTD | -8.972 | -0.626 | 18.970 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.14 | 39.27 | 16.97 |
| Revenue | 19.8B | 8.29B | 9.38B |
| Total Cash | 2.69B | 2.77B | 152M |
| Total Debt | 23.5B | 199M | 10.7B |
DEO | MNST | STZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 73 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 23 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 97 | 34 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 51 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 59 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (13) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (48) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MNST (92) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that DEO's stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than MNST’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew significantly faster than DEO’s and significantly faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's SMR Rating (34) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (97) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as DEO (78) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
DEO's P/E Growth Rating (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MNST (59) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (98) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that DEO's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| DEO | MNST | STZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 58% | 5 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 59% | 12 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 38% |
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DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | +1.87% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.44% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | +8.53% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
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MNST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MNST has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MNST jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MNST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNST | 100% | +1.40% | ||
| CCEP - MNST | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| KO - MNST | 43% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
| PEP - MNST | 42% Loosely correlated | +1.74% | ||
| CELH - MNST | 39% Loosely correlated | +1.00% | ||
| KDP - MNST | 35% Loosely correlated | +2.24% | ||
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