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DEO or STZ or SYY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Diageo plc (DEO) vs. Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) vs. Sysco Corporation (SYY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DEO trades near its 52-week low around $82, down significantly YTD amid weak sales in key markets like North America and China, reflected in analyst downgrades.
- STZ shows mixed momentum at $146, with positive YTD gains of 6.9% but recent CEO transition and demand pressures contributing to volatility.
- SYY leads relative performance with 16.5% YTD rise to $85, bolstered by volume growth, margin expansion, and strategic expansions like coffee partnerships.
- All three offer yields above 2.5%, but DEO provides the highest at 5%, alongside the lowest beta of 0.17 for stability.
- Valuation metrics favor DEO with a forward P/E of 9.01, compared to 11.68 for STZ and 16.56 for SYY.
- Food distribution via SYY exhibits defensive traits with steady demand, contrasting beverage peers facing consumer shifts.
Introduction
This comparison examines DEO, a global spirits leader; STZ, focused on beer, wine, and spirits; and SYY, the largest U.S. foodservice distributor. These consumer staples stocks offer exposure to essential goods amid economic uncertainty, appealing to traders seeking relative performance insights and investors prioritizing dividends and stability. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum, valuation sensitivity, and sector dynamics, aiding decisions on stock positioning in portfolios balancing growth and defense.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), the world's leading premium drinks company with brands like Guinness, Johnnie Walker, and Smirnoff, has faced headwinds in recent market activity. Trading around $82 near its 52-week low of $80.79, the stock reflects pressures from flat organic sales, particularly a 4.1% drop in U.S. spirits and weakness in Latin America and China. Analyst actions, including HSBC's downgrade to Hold and reports of dividend cuts impacting sentiment, have driven shares down over 27% in the past year. Elevated debt at 177% equity and consumer slowdowns in premium segments have tempered performance, though low beta of 0.17 signals resilience.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) produces and markets beer (Corona, Modelo), wine, and spirits, emphasizing premiumization. At $146, within a 52-week range of $126-$197, shares have gained 6.9% YTD but declined 16% over 12 months amid demand challenges. Recent CEO transition to Nicholas Fink and sales declines have pressured sentiment, though Nasdaq outperformance in recent quarters and a 2.8% yield provide support. Beta of 0.42 indicates moderate volatility, with beer strength offsetting wine/spirits softness in recent weeks.
SYY Overview and Recent Performance
Sysco Corporation (SYY), a foodservice distribution giant serving restaurants and institutions, has outperformed peers. Priced at $85 near its 52-week high of $92, the stock rose 16.5% YTD and 16.7% over a year, fueled by volume gains, margin improvements post-earnings, and expansions like Reborn Coffee partnerships. CFO transition noted but strong local case growth lifted targets. High ROE of 82% and steady demand in essentials underpin momentum, despite elevated debt/equity of 640%.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DEO and STZ operate in beverages, vulnerable to premiumization slowdowns and regional slumps, while SYY's distribution model taps resilient foodservice demand. Growth drivers differ: SYY benefits from volume/margin tailwinds, STZ from beer imports, but DEO lags on sales declines. Recent momentum favors SYY (16% YTD) over STZ (7%) and DEO (-5%). Risks include high leverage across all, highest for SYY (640% D/E), but lowest betas (DEO 0.17) suit defensives. Valuations show DEO cheapest (forward P/E 9, PEG 0.56), SYY P/S 0.5 attractive for staples. Sentiment leans positive for SYY's catalysts versus beverages' caution.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors SYY based on superior trend consistency, YTD momentum, and positioning in stable food distribution amid peers' sales hurdles. Probabilistic edge stems from volume catalysts and relative outperformance, though DEO's valuation offers value if sentiment stabilizes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DEO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSTZ’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and SYY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SYY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DEO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STZ’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and SYY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SYY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) experienced а +7.11% price change this week, while STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was +7.85% , and SYY (@Food Distributors) price fluctuated +5.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was -1.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.13%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was +1.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.57%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.42%.
Reported Earning Dates
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
SYY is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Alcoholic (-1.24% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.37% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Food Distributors (+1.66% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
| DEO | STZ | SYY | |
| Capitalization | 42.9B | 28.3B | 35.9B |
| EBITDA | 6.39B | 2.47B | 4.1B |
| Gain YTD | -8.972 | 18.970 | 3.288 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.14 | 16.97 | 20.21 |
| Revenue | 19.8B | 9.38B | 82.6B |
| Total Cash | 2.69B | 152M | 169M |
| Total Debt | 23.5B | 10.7B | 15B |
DEO | STZ | SYY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 15 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 48 Fair valued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 90 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 97 | 55 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 55 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 98 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (13) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (48) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SYY (50) in the Food Distributors industry. This means that DEO's stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s and somewhat faster than SYY’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's Profit vs Risk Rating (90) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that SYY's stock grew similarly to DEO’s and similarly to STZ’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's SMR Rating (14) in the Food Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (97) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that SYY's stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
STZ's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as SYY (59) in the Food Distributors industry, and is in the same range as DEO (78) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that STZ's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as DEO (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (98) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that SYY's stock grew similarly to DEO’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| DEO | STZ | SYY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 48% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 51% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 4 days ago 50% | 9 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 59% | 11 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 63% |
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DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | +1.87% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.44% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | +8.53% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
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STZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STZ has been loosely correlated with SAM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if STZ jumps, then SAM could also see price increases.
SYY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SYY has been loosely correlated with USFD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SYY jumps, then USFD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SYY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYY | 100% | -0.21% | ||
| USFD - SYY | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.43% | ||
| PFGC - SYY | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.21% | ||
| UNFI - SYY | 33% Loosely correlated | +1.82% | ||
| ANDE - SYY | 32% Poorly correlated | -0.66% | ||
| CHEF - SYY | 28% Poorly correlated | +2.05% | ||
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