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DEO or STZ or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Diageo plc (DEO) vs. Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) vs. Walmart Inc. (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DEO has faced downward pressure in recent market activity, declining around 15% over the past month amid analyst downgrades and non-core asset sales.
- STZ shows relative stability with modest gains year-to-date near 10%, supported by beer segment strength despite mixed wine and spirits performance.
- WMT leads with year-to-date returns around 11%, driven by resilient retail traffic and e-commerce growth in a defensive consumer environment.
- All three exhibit consumer staples resilience, but WMT's scale provides superior stability compared to beverage peers facing volume headwinds.
- Valuation contrasts highlight DEO's lower P/E ratio around 17 versus WMT's 45, reflecting growth expectations.
- Recent momentum favors WMT for trend consistency in volatile conditions.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines DEO, STZ, and WMT, representing key players in beverages and retail within the consumer staples sector. These stocks appeal to investors seeking defensive positioning amid economic uncertainty, as essential goods like alcohol and groceries maintain steady demand. Traders focused on relative performance may value their differing sensitivities to consumer spending shifts, inflation, and sector rotations. By analyzing recent price behavior, sentiment, and fundamentals, this review aids decisions on market positioning in a staples-heavy portfolio.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), a leading global producer of spirits like Johnnie Walker and Smirnoff, has navigated recent market activity with volatility. Shares traded around $73.45 recently, down approximately 15% over the past 30 days from near $86, reflecting broader pressures in the beverages sector. Analyst actions, including a downgrade to Hold, alongside the sale of a cricket team stake for $1.8 billion, signal portfolio streamlining amid depressed valuations. Sentiment has softened due to YTD declines near -15%, influenced by shifting consumer preferences and economic headwinds impacting premium spirits volumes. Despite high gross margins around 60%, recent weeks highlight valuation debates post-volatility.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ), known for Corona and Modelo beers alongside wines and spirits, has shown resilience trading near $151. Over recent weeks, shares fluctuated between $145 and $157, with year-to-date gains around 10% outperforming beverage peers. Strategic moves like acquiring Hop Wtr underscore non-alcoholic expansion amid mixed results in wine. Performance reflects beer demand strength offsetting spirits softness, with recent sessions stabilizing post-earnings momentum. Market sentiment remains balanced, supported by U.S. import focus despite broader sector challenges.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT), the world's largest retailer, operates supercenters, e-commerce, and Sam's Club. Shares hovered around $123.50, up about 11% YTD and stable over recent weeks despite a monthly dip near -2% to -4%. Resilient grocery traffic and advertising growth via Walmart Connect bolstered sentiment, even as discretionary spending wanes. Recent activity shows higher trading volumes during pullbacks, underscoring defensive appeal. Earnings beats and U.S. manufacturing pledges enhance positioning in a value-oriented retail landscape.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DEO and STZ focus on beverages, contrasting WMT's broad retail model. Growth drivers differ: WMT leverages e-commerce (up ~20% in recent half-year) and staples volume, while beverage firms grapple with premiumization slowdowns. Recent momentum favors WMT (YTD +11%) over DEO's -15% and STZ's flat gains. Risk factors include DEO/STZ's higher beta to consumer sentiment versus WMT's low 0.66 beta (five-year monthly). Valuation sensitivity shows DEO at ~17x P/E (cheaper) but elevated for growth outlook; WMT at 45x reflects scale premium (~$985B market cap vs. $41B/$26B). Sector exposure pits alcohol cyclicality against grocery defensiveness, with sentiment tilting to retail stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT due to superior trend consistency, lower volatility (beta 0.66), and resilient catalysts like e-commerce and traffic in defensive markets. While DEO offers value at lower multiples and STZ beer stability, WMT's relative positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance amid uncertainty.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DEO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSTZ’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DEO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STZ’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) experienced а +6.79% price change this week, while STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was -2.33% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was +2.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.71%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.62%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Alcoholic (+2.91% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.04% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Discount Stores (+2.34% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| DEO | STZ | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 45.7B | 28.1B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 6.39B | 2.47B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | -4.130 | 18.394 | 14.677 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.92 | 16.89 | 46.70 |
| Revenue | 19.8B | 9.38B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 905M | 152M | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 23.5B | 10.7B | 67.1B |
DEO | STZ | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 70 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 20 Undervalued | 47 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 55 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 51 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 79 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (20) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (47) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DEO's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew significantly faster than DEO’s and significantly faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's SMR Rating (40) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (98) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as STZ (51) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (60) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as DEO (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (79) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to DEO’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| DEO | STZ | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 61% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 41% | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 42% | 10 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | about 1 month ago 59% | 5 days ago 58% | 7 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 25% |
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WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +2.15% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 36% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +3.17% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.19% | ||
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