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DG or KMB or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dollar General (DG) vs. Kimberly-Clark (KMB) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DG reported strong Q4 revenue growth of 5.9% but shares declined on cautious 2026 guidance, reflecting consumer spending concerns.
- KMB faces headwinds with a 26% one-year stock decline amid slowing growth, offset by a high 5.15% dividend yield.
- WMT demonstrates robust momentum with YTD gains around 13% and international strength, trading at a premium valuation.
- Relative performance favors WMT over DG and KMB, which lag due to margin pressures and tempered outlooks.
- Valuation contrasts show KMB most attractive on P/E, while WMT commands growth premium.
- Sector stability persists, but trade-offs in risk and yield vary across these consumer defensive plays.
Introduction
This comparison examines DG (Dollar General), KMB (Kimberly-Clark), and WMT (Walmart), three consumer defensive stocks offering exposure to discount retail, personal care essentials, and mass merchandising. These companies cater to value-conscious consumers amid economic uncertainty, making them relevant for traders seeking relative performance insights and investors prioritizing stability in volatile markets. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in earnings momentum, dividend appeal, and growth trajectories, aiding decisions on stock positioning in portfolios focused on resilience and income.
DG Overview and Recent Performance
Dollar General operates over 20,000 small-format discount stores primarily in rural U.S. areas, focusing on consumables like food, household items, and seasonal goods. In recent quarters, the company posted Q4 revenue of $10.91 billion, up 5.9% year-over-year, with same-store sales rising 4.3% and EPS beating estimates at $1.93. However, shares fell sharply—down about 9-14% in recent weeks—following tempered fiscal 2026 guidance citing consumer spending caution and cost pressures. YTD performance remains flat to slightly negative, with one-year gains near 68%, but recent market activity reflects sentiment shifts from profitability improvements overshadowed by macroeconomic headwinds.
KMB Overview and Recent Performance
Kimberly-Clark manufactures personal care products like diapers, tissues, and wipes under brands such as Huggies and Kleenex, operating globally with a focus on North America and international personal care. Recent performance shows challenges, with shares down 26% over the past year and further weakness in recent months amid declining margins and organic growth concerns. Q4 sales dipped slightly, though adjusted EPS rose to $1.86, beating expectations. YTD returns hover around -2%, pressured by competition and demand softness, yet a 5.15% dividend yield supports income-focused positioning. Sentiment reflects undervaluation potential but ongoing execution risks in core categories.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart, the world's largest retailer, runs extensive U.S., international, and Sam's Club operations, emphasizing omnichannel grocery, e-commerce, and advertising. Recent quarters highlight strength, with Q4 revenue up 5.6% to $190.7 billion and EPS at $0.74, edging estimates. International sales boosted results, alongside e-commerce growth over 20%. Shares gained about 13% YTD and 46-49% over one year, with recent trading near highs despite monthly dips. Market cap exceeds $1 trillion, driven by consistent execution and membership income, though valuation sensitivity persists amid broader retail dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DG, KMB, and WMT operate in consumer defensive spaces but differ in models: DG's rural discount focus yields high traffic but exposes it to low-income spending volatility; KMB's branded essentials provide recurring demand yet face pricing competition; WMT's scale drives e-commerce and international growth. Recent momentum favors WMT (YTD +13%, 1Y +46-49%) over DG (flat YTD, volatile post-earnings) and KMB (-2% YTD, -26% 1Y). Risk factors include DG's guidance sensitivity, KMB's margin erosion, and WMT's premium P/E (~46x vs. peers ~19-21x). Yields stand out for KMB (5.15%), with WMT at 0.78% and DG lower; sentiment tilts toward WMT's stability amid trade-offs in valuation and growth.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT due to superior trend consistency, international catalysts, and relative positioning versus peers. Observable factors like robust revenue momentum and e-commerce stability suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term, though DG and KMB offer value plays amid pullbacks.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileKMB’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- DG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KMB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMB’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KMB’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DG (@Discount Stores) experienced а +9.46% price change this week, while KMB (@Household/Personal Care) price change was +1.60% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.10%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
DG is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2026.
KMB is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+2.34% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
@Household/Personal Care (+0.96% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
| DG | KMB | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 27.9B | 32.8B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 3.24B | 3.11B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | -3.726 | -0.822 | 14.677 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.49 | 20.34 | 46.70 |
| Revenue | 42.7B | 16.4B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 1.14B | 774M | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 15.7B | 7.3B | 67.1B |
DG | KMB | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 60 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 45 Fair valued | 15 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 11 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 62 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 54 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMB's Valuation (15) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as DG (45) in the Discount Stores industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that KMB's stock grew similarly to DG’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for KMB (100) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DG (100) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that WMT's stock grew significantly faster than KMB’s and significantly faster than DG’s over the last 12 months.
KMB's SMR Rating (11) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as WMT (40) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DG (46) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that KMB's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and somewhat faster than DG’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as DG (54) in the Discount Stores industry, and is in the same range as KMB (62) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to DG’s and similarly to KMB’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as KMB (54) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is in the same range as DG (62) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to KMB’s and similarly to DG’s over the last 12 months.
| DG | KMB | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 43% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 64% | 6 days ago 48% | 6 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 25% |
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| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CGRO | 25.25 | 0.96 | +3.93% |
| CoreValues Alpha Greater China Gr ETF | |||
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| Global X FTSE Southeast Asia ETF | |||
| DFP | 21.08 | 0.18 | +0.86% |
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| RTRE | 25.27 | 0.11 | +0.43% |
| Rareview Total Return Bond ETF | |||
| NEAR | 50.95 | 0.10 | +0.20% |
| iShares Short Duration Bond Active ETF | |||
KMB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMB has been loosely correlated with CL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KMB jumps, then CL could also see price increases.
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +2.15% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 39% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 35% Loosely correlated | +3.21% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +3.17% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.19% | ||
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