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DG or KO or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dollar General (DG) vs. Coca-Cola (KO) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DG reported strong Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings with net sales up 5.9% to $10.9 billion and EPS of $1.93, beating estimates, though shares fell on cautious 2026 guidance projecting 3.4%-4.4% sales growth.
- KO demonstrated stability with Q4 2025 comparable EPS growth of 6% to $0.58 and 5% organic revenue growth, supported by zero-sugar product momentum and a 12% YTD gain.
- WMT showed robust Q4 FY26 results with revenue up 5.6% to $190.7 billion and EPS of $0.74, driven by international strength, alongside a 13% YTD rise and recent dividend hike.
- Relative performance highlights WMT's leadership in YTD gains and scale, KO's defensive consistency, and DG's value recovery amid consumer spending pressures.
- Valuation contrasts include DG at ~19x P/E offering relative affordability, versus KO at 25x and WMT at 46x, reflecting growth expectations.
- All three benefit from consumer staples resilience, but WMT edges in e-commerce and global diversification.
Introduction
This stock comparison evaluates DG (Dollar General), KO (Coca-Cola), and WMT (Walmart) amid shifting consumer trends and market volatility. These consumer staples giants cater to essential needs—discount retail, beverages, and broad merchandise—making them relevant for defensive investors seeking stability and growth traders eyeing relative performance. Recent earnings beats and sector rotation underscore their appeal in uncertain environments, where value sensitivity, traffic growth, and international exposure drive outperformance. Traders benefit from contrasting risk profiles: DG's rural focus, KO's brand moat, and WMT's omnichannel scale.
DG Overview and Recent Performance
Dollar General (DG), a leading discount retailer with over 19,000 small-format stores primarily in rural U.S. areas, focuses on consumables and everyday essentials. In recent market activity, DG shares experienced volatility following strong Q4 fiscal 2025 results, with net sales rising 5.9% to $10.9 billion and same-store sales up 4.3%, driven by 2.6% traffic growth. EPS hit $1.93, surpassing estimates by 19.7%, while full-year sales reached $42.7 billion. Operating profit surged 106% in the quarter amid inventory improvements and shrink reduction. However, cautious fiscal 2026 guidance—sales growth of 3.4%-4.4% and EPS of $5.10-$5.80—tempered sentiment, leading to a post-earnings pullback of around 9%, with shares trading near $134 amid broader consumer spending concerns.
KO Overview and Recent Performance
The Coca-Cola Company (KO), a global beverage leader with a vast portfolio of brands, emphasizes non-alcoholic drinks including sparkling soft drinks and zero-sugar variants. Recent performance reflects steady momentum, with Q4 2025 comparable EPS up 6% to $0.58 and organic revenue growth of 5%, matching full-year trends. Zero Sugar volumes grew 13% in the quarter, fueled by health-conscious shifts across segments. Shares advanced around 12% YTD to near $78, outperforming the S&P 500, supported by resilient demand and brand investments. Stability persists despite macro pressures, with low beta (0.33) underscoring defensive appeal in recent weeks' volatility.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart (WMT), the world's largest retailer, operates a vast network of stores, e-commerce, and international units, blending groceries, general merchandise, and digital services. Recent quarters highlight strength, with Q4 FY26 revenue up 5.6% to $190.7 billion, beating estimates, and EPS at $0.74. International sales led gains, complemented by e-commerce surges and membership growth. Shares rose about 13% YTD to around $125, with a 53rd consecutive dividend increase to $0.99 annually signaling confidence. Operational efficiencies and omnichannel strategies bolstered margins amid competitive pricing, though recent pullbacks reflect broader market dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DG, KO, and WMT share consumer staples exposure but differ in models: DG's rural discount focus yields traffic from value seekers but heightens sensitivity to low-income spending; KO's asset-light franchising ensures steady volumes via brands; WMT's scale integrates e-commerce (24% growth) and global ops. Growth drivers favor WMT's diversification over KO's 4-5% organic pace and DG's comps. Recent momentum: WMT leads YTD (+13%), KO stable (+12%), DG rebounding post-dip. Risks include tariffs for all, but DG faces shrink/costs most acutely. Valuation: DG cheapest (~19x P/E), WMT premium (46x). Sentiment tilts to WMT's execution.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT due to superior trend consistency, e-commerce catalysts, and relative YTD positioning amid staples rotation. Its international momentum and dividend reliability offer probabilistic edge over DG's guidance headwinds and KO's measured growth, though all maintain defensive traits.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileKO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- DG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KO’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DG (@Discount Stores) experienced а +9.46% price change this week, while KO (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was -1.22% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.51%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -1.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83822.82%.
Reported Earning Dates
DG is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2026.
KO is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+2.91% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-1.29% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| DG | KO | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 27.8B | 325B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 3.24B | 18.7B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | -3.726 | 8.710 | 15.054 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.46 | 24.83 | 46.86 |
| Revenue | 42.7B | 47.9B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 1.14B | N/A | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 15.7B | 45.5B | 67.1B |
DG | KO | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 45 Fair valued | 41 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 13 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 20 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 52 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 78 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KO's Valuation (41) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as DG (45) in the Discount Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that KO's stock grew similarly to DG’s and somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as KO (13) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DG (100) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to KO’s and significantly faster than DG’s over the last 12 months.
KO's SMR Rating (20) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as WMT (40) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is in the same range as DG (46) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that KO's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and similarly to DG’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as KO (52) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as DG (52) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to KO’s and similarly to DG’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as DG (62) in the Discount Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KO (78) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to DG’s and somewhat faster than KO’s over the last 12 months.
| DG | KO | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 75% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 35% | 4 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 31% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 12 days ago 39% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 64% | 5 days ago 30% | 8 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 15% | 4 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 21% | 4 days ago 25% |
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DG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DG has been loosely correlated with DLTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DG jumps, then DLTR could also see price increases.
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +0.33% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.21% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.59% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.83% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.15% | ||
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