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DRD or GFI or NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) vs. Gold Fields Limited (GFI) vs. Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DRD, GFI, and NEM have delivered strong gains over the past year amid elevated gold prices, with DRD up over 120% and GFI soaring more than 200% year-to-date in recent periods.
- Newmont (NEM) reported record Q1 free cash flow (FCF, a measure of cash generated after capital expenditures) of $3.1 billion, underscoring its scale advantages.
- Gold Fields (GFI) achieved 175% growth in operating cash flow, supported by diversified operations across multiple continents.
- DRDGOLD (DRD) benefits from cost-effective surface gold recovery in South Africa, though output dipped slightly in recent half-year results amid higher gold prices.
- Recent gold price softening has pressured all three stocks, highlighting their sensitivity to commodity cycles.
- Relative performance favors larger producers like NEM for stability, while smaller DRD offers higher volatility and potential upside.
Introduction
DRDGOLD Limited (DRD), Gold Fields Limited (GFI), and Newmont Corporation (NEM) represent diverse profiles within the gold mining sector, from niche surface recovery to global large-scale production. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent market activity, and relative positioning amid fluctuating gold prices around $4,500 per ounce. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors focused on commodity exposure or diversification will find insights into growth drivers, risks, and sentiment shifts in the current environment.
DRD Overview and Recent Performance
DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) specializes in surface gold retreatment and tailings reclamation in South Africa, producing gold doré bars from historical mine residues. This low-cost model has driven robust performance, with shares rallying over 120% in the past year on surging gold prices and disciplined cost management. In recent market activity, higher gold realizations boosted revenue despite a modest dip in half-year output, reflecting operational efficiency. Sentiment remains positive due to strong production trends and renewable energy initiatives, though shares have faced pressure from broader gold price pullbacks in recent weeks.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is a diversified gold producer with assets in Australia, South Africa, Ghana, Peru, Canada, and Chile, emphasizing underground and open-pit mining. Recent quarters showed marked improvement, including 175% higher cash flow from operations and headline earnings up 117% year-over-year, fueled by elevated gold prices and production growth. Shares have gained significantly year-to-date, outperforming the basic materials sector, with expansions and cost controls enhancing investor confidence. However, like peers, GFI has experienced volatility tied to gold's recent softening.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM), the world's largest gold producer, operates a global portfolio including copper and other metals across North and South America, Africa, Australia, and Papua New Guinea. Recent quarterly results highlighted record revenue of $7.3 billion and free cash flow of $3.1 billion, driven by high gold prices averaging near $4,900 per ounce and portfolio optimization. Shares have shown resilience with substantial year-to-date advances, though recent gold price declines have weighed on momentum. Strong balance sheet and production consistency continue to support positive market sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DRD's niche tailings retreatment yields lower costs but limits scale compared to GFI's diversified open-pit and underground operations or NEM's vast global portfolio. Growth drivers differ: DRD leverages South African residues, GFI pursues expansions in Ghana and Chile, and NEM benefits from recent mergers and acquisitions (M&A, consolidation of mining assets). Recent momentum has been strongest for GFI amid earnings beats, while NEM offers superior FCF stability; DRD exhibits higher beta to gold moves. Risks include South Africa exposure for DRD and GFI (geopolitical and power issues) versus NEM's broader diversification. Valuation sensitivity ties closely to gold trends, with smaller DRD more volatile. Market sentiment favors NEM's liquidity and GFI's growth, positioning them ahead in relative performance during commodity upswings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward NEM due to its unmatched production scale, record free cash flow generation, and resilient trend consistency amid gold volatility. GFI shows strong catalysts from operational improvements, while DRD's high returns come with elevated risk. This probabilistic edge reflects NEM's relative stability and positioning for sustained gold exposure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DRD’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileGFI’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and NEM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- DRD’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- GFI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DRD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GFI’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and NEM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DRD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GFI’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DRD (@Precious Metals) experienced а -13.17% price change this week, while GFI (@Precious Metals) price change was -10.23% , and NEM (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated -6.39% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -0.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +64.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
GFI is expected to report earnings on Aug 21, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-0.28% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| DRD | GFI | NEM | |
| Capitalization | 2.5B | 39.7B | 116B |
| EBITDA | 3.59B | 6.34B | 16.2B |
| Gain YTD | -14.573 | -5.078 | 9.445 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.64 | 10.22 | 14.15 |
| Revenue | 7.88B | 8.75B | 25B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.78B | 8.78B |
| Total Debt | N/A | 3.22B | 5.53B |
DRD | GFI | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 54 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 12 Undervalued | 4 Undervalued | 21 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 33 | 46 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 21 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 55 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 25 | 81 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 | 26 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (4) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as DRD (12) and is in the same range as NEM (21). This means that GFI's stock grew similarly to DRD’s and similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as DRD (37) and is in the same range as NEM (46). This means that GFI's stock grew similarly to DRD’s and similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as DRD (24) and is in the same range as NEM (37). This means that GFI's stock grew similarly to DRD’s and similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (55) and is in the same range as DRD (59). This means that NEM's stock grew similarly to GFI’s and similarly to DRD’s over the last 12 months.
DRD's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (26) and is somewhat better than the same rating for GFI (81). This means that DRD's stock grew similarly to NEM’s and somewhat faster than GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| DRD | GFI | NEM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | N/A | 5 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 81% | N/A | 7 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 66% | N/A |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| JHID | 43.10 | N/A | N/A |
| JHancock International High Dividend ETF | |||
| DVXB | 28.96 | N/A | N/A |
| WEBs Materials XLB Defined Vol ETF | |||
| BUFT | 25.76 | -0.02 | -0.10% |
| FT Vest Buffered Allctn Dfnsv ETF | |||
| CDC | 71.48 | -0.51 | -0.71% |
| VictoryShares US EQ Inc Enh Vol Wtd ETF | |||
| XLY | 116.53 | -2.14 | -1.80% |
| State Street® CnsmrDiscSelSectSPDR®ETF | |||
DRD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DRD has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DRD jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.
GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.