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DUK or EXC or IDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy (DUK) vs. Exelon (EXC) vs. IDACORP (IDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IDACORP (IDA) shows the strongest year-to-date (YTD) performance at 16.99%, driven by a recent Q1 earnings beat.
- DUK provides market leadership with a $100 billion market cap and consistent YTD gains of 10.65%, supported by grid expansion discussions.
- EXC offers the highest dividend yield at 3.61% and lowest P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 17.03, appealing for value investors.
- All three stocks operate in the electric utilities sector, benefiting from rising power demand tied to data centers and AI infrastructure.
- Recent market activity highlights earnings reaffirmations and regulatory filings, influencing relative momentum and sentiment.
- IDA's reaffirmed 2026 EPS (earnings per share) guidance underscores growth potential amid peers' stability.
Introduction
This comparison examines three prominent electric utility stocks: DUK, EXC, and IDA. As regulated utilities providing essential power services, they offer stability, reliable dividends, and exposure to increasing electricity demand from data centers and electrification trends. Investors seeking defensive positions in volatile markets or income-focused portfolios may find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and recent developments. Traders monitoring sector momentum can assess how these stocks position amid broader utility trends like grid modernization and regulatory shifts.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy (DUK) is one of the largest U.S. investor-owned utilities, serving over 8 million electric customers across the Southeast, Midwest, and Carolinas. In recent market activity, shares have traded around $128.60, with YTD gains of 10.65% within a 52-week range of $111.22 to $134.49. Sentiment has been bolstered by discussions on long-term grid investments to support AI data center buildouts and prior quarterly earnings that exceeded expectations, with operating revenues up 7.9% year-over-year. The stock's P/E ratio stands at 20.38, reflecting steady demand and a dividend yield of 3.31%, though interest rate sensitivity remains a factor in recent weeks' price behavior.
EXC Overview and Recent Performance
Exelon (EXC) focuses on energy transmission and distribution through subsidiaries like ComEd and PECO, serving 10 million customers primarily in the Midwest and Northeast. Shares recently closed near $46.50, posting YTD returns of 7.59% in a 52-week range from $41.71 to $50.65. Recent developments include a quarterly dividend declaration of $0.42 per share and a reconciliation filing aimed at cost efficiency and lower customer bills, positively influencing sentiment. With a P/E ratio of 17.03—the lowest among peers—and a 3.61% dividend yield, performance reflects value attributes, tempered by upcoming Q1 results and regulatory focus in recent weeks.
IDA Overview and Recent Performance
IDACORP (IDA), parent of Idaho Power, delivers electricity to approximately 600,000 customers in Idaho and Oregon. The stock trades around $147.09, leading peers with 16.99% YTD gains in a 52-week range of $108.15 to $149.73. Recent Q1 2026 results showed diluted EPS of $1.21, up from $1.10 year-over-year, surpassing estimates and prompting reaffirmed full-year guidance of $6.25-$6.45, driving upward momentum. A P/E ratio of 24.43 and 2.43% dividend yield highlight growth orientation amid strong customer growth and rate adjustments in recent market activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DUK dominates in scale with its $100 billion market cap and multi-region operations, contrasting EXC’s transmission emphasis and IDA’s regional Idaho focus. Growth drivers include shared exposure to data center power needs, but IDA edges on recent momentum from earnings strength. Risk factors like regulatory approvals and interest rate impacts are uniform, though DUK’s size offers diversification. Valuation sensitivity favors EXC’s lower P/E, while market sentiment tilts toward utilities’ defensive appeal amid volatility, with trade-offs in yield versus growth.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward IDA, given its leading YTD performance, Q1 earnings beat, and reaffirmed guidance, signaling stronger trend consistency and catalysts relative to peers’ stability. This positioning suits current utility sector tailwinds, though DUK and EXC remain viable for scale and value, respectively.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileEXC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and IDA’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- EXC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- IDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and IDA’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- EXC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- IDA’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -2.00% price change this week, while EXC (@Electric Utilities) price change was -5.19% , and IDA (@Electric Utilities) price fluctuated -0.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.29%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
EXC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
IDA is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.64% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | EXC | IDA | |
| Capitalization | 97.4B | 45.2B | 8.06B |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 9.19B | 773M |
| Gain YTD | 7.468 | 2.245 | 16.352 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.22 | 16.19 | 24.19 |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 24.8B | 1.78B |
| Total Cash | 2.14B | 713M | 338M |
| Total Debt | 91.2B | 51.2B | 4.01B |
DUK | EXC | IDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 50 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 50 Fair valued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 38 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 71 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 61 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 47 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | 65 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EXC's Valuation (50) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (56) and is in the same range as IDA (73). This means that EXC's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
IDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (28) and is in the same range as EXC (38). This means that IDA's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (70) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (71) and is in the same range as IDA (72). This means that DUK's stock grew similarly to EXC’s and similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
IDA's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (58) and is in the same range as EXC (61). This means that IDA's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
IDA's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (47) and is in the same range as DUK (49). This means that IDA's stock grew similarly to EXC’s and similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | EXC | IDA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 35% | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 46% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 38% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 9 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 39% | 5 days ago 44% | 6 days ago 39% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 67% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 29% | 2 days ago 30% | N/A |
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| UXJL | 35.96 | 0.10 | +0.29% |
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| Vanguard Core Bond ETF | |||
| IBTM | 22.75 | -0.06 | -0.27% |
| iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Trs ETF | |||
| SMCF | 37.35 | -0.31 | -0.82% |
| Themes US Small Cp CA Flw Champ ETF | |||
DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
EXC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXC has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXC jumps, then FE could also see price increases.
IDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IDA has been closely correlated with OGE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IDA jumps, then OGE could also see price increases.