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DUK or OGE or PPL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) vs. OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) vs. PPL Corporation (PPL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DUK leads with a substantial market cap of approximately $100 billion and YTD returns around 10%, bolstered by strong Q1 earnings beats and grid modernization investments.
- OGE shows the strongest YTD performance at over 14%, driven by data center contracts like Google and renewable expansions, despite milder Q1 weather impacts.
- PPL delivers steady YTD gains near 9%, with focus on regulated operations across multiple states and upcoming Q1 earnings on May 8.
- All three offer attractive dividend yields above 3%, with low betas (0.4-0.6) indicating defensive utility positioning amid market volatility.
- Recent momentum favors OGE due to load growth from tech demand, while DUK provides scale and stability.
- P/E ratios hover around 20-24, reflecting balanced valuations in the regulated electric utility sector.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines DUK, OGE, and PPL, three prominent regulated electric utilities serving diverse U.S. regions. As defensive plays in the utilities sector, they benefit from stable cash flows, high dividend yields, and growing electricity demand from data centers and electrification trends. Investors seeking income, low volatility, and exposure to infrastructure upgrades will find this analysis relevant for evaluating relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning in the current environment.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK), a Fortune 150 energy holding company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, serves over 8.7 million electric customers across six states with a diverse generation mix including nuclear, natural gas, and renewables. In recent market activity, DUK shares traded around $127-128, reflecting YTD gains of about 10% amid broader utility strength. Q1 2026 results showed adjusted EPS of approximately $1.93 beating estimates, with revenue up due to infrastructure recovery and favorable weather. Sentiment has been supported by a $103 billion capital plan for grid enhancements and nuclear investments, offsetting rising operational costs. The stock's low beta of 0.4 underscores its stability, with a dividend yield near 3.3% attracting income investors.
OGE Overview and Recent Performance
OGE Energy Corp. (OGE), based in Oklahoma City, operates through subsidiary Oklahoma Gas & Electric Company, serving about 913,000 customers in Oklahoma and western Arkansas with a mix of coal, natural gas, wind, and solar assets. Recent weeks saw OGE shares near $48, posting the strongest YTD returns over 14% among peers, fueled by robust regional growth. Q1 2026 EPS came in at $0.24, impacted by mild weather and higher O&M (operation and maintenance) expenses, though revenue beat expectations. Positive catalysts include a landmark deal to power Google data centers and a $7.29 billion investment plan through 2030 for renewables and grid upgrades. A dividend yield around 3.5% and beta of 0.43 highlight its appeal in a high-demand market.
PPL Overview and Recent Performance
PPL Corporation (PPL), headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania, delivers electricity and natural gas to 3.6 million customers via regulated segments in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Rhode Island, with generation from coal, gas, hydro, and solar. Shares have hovered around $37-38 in recent trading, with YTD returns near 9%, supported by consistent operations. Q4 2025 results met expectations, and Q1 2026 earnings are due May 8 amid rising data center connections (20.5 GW queued in Pennsylvania). Investments in transmission and distribution, plus a 4-6% dividend growth target yielding about 3%, drive sentiment. Low beta of 0.62 positions it defensively, though recent dips reflect sector rotation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
All three operate in regulated electric utilities, ensuring predictable revenues but exposing them to rate case outcomes and weather variability. DUK stands out with massive scale (market cap ~$100B) and multi-state diversification, contrasting OGE's regional focus (~$10B cap) in high-growth Oklahoma, where data center deals provide superior load growth. PPL (~$28B cap) balances with tri-state operations and strong transmission assets. Recent momentum favors OGE (top YTD), while DUK offers stability via earnings beats. Risks include interest rate sensitivity (higher debt for capex) and regulatory hurdles; valuations are comparable at P/E 20-24, with yields 3-3.5%. OGE edges on growth catalysts, DUK on size.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors OGE due to its superior recent momentum, data center-driven load growth, and outperformance in YTD returns amid utility sector tailwinds. Consistent regional demand and investment plans position it strongly relative to peers, though DUK's scale offers close competition for stability-focused strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOGE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and PPL’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OGE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PPL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OGE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and PPL’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- OGE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PPL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -1.75% price change this week, while OGE (@Electric Utilities) price change was -2.28% , and PPL (@Electric Utilities) price fluctuated -2.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
OGE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
PPL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.83% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | OGE | PPL | |
| Capitalization | 94.3B | 9.55B | 26.2B |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 1.37B | 3.82B |
| Gain YTD | 4.969 | 10.408 | 0.347 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.61 | 20.56 | 21.40 |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 3.27B | 9.31B |
| Total Cash | 688M | 200K | 1.24B |
| Total Debt | 90.9B | 5.86B | 20.2B |
DUK | OGE | PPL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 73 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 54 Fair valued | 53 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 18 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 72 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 53 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 35 | 67 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PPL's Valuation (53) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (54) and is in the same range as OGE (54). This means that PPL's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to OGE’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (32) and is in the same range as DUK (32). This means that OGE's stock grew similarly to PPL’s and similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (70) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as OGE (72) and is in the same range as PPL (76). This means that DUK's stock grew similarly to OGE’s and similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (57) and is in the same range as PPL (60). This means that OGE's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
OGE's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (52) and is in the same range as PPL (67). This means that OGE's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | OGE | PPL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 40% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 37% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 31% | 2 days ago 31% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 51% | 5 days ago 50% | 5 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 39% | 10 days ago 39% | 9 days ago 36% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 30% | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 36% |
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DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
OGE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OGE has been closely correlated with AEE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OGE jumps, then AEE could also see price increases.