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EC or SHEL or SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) vs. Shell plc (SHEL) vs. Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) shows the strongest year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 53%, outperforming peers amid elevated oil prices.
- Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) delivers robust YTD gains of 48% with the highest dividend yield at 4.75%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Shell plc (SHEL) lags YTD at 22% but offers scale with a $248 billion market cap and steady buyback program.
- All three stocks have benefited from recent oil price surges above $100 per barrel driven by geopolitical tensions, boosting sector momentum.
- EC trades at the lowest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.7, indicating relative value compared to SU at 19.0 and SHEL at 14.8.
- Energy sector volatility favors diversified plays like SHEL, while oil sands exposure in SU drives outperformance in high-price environments.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines Ecopetrol S.A. (EC), Shell plc (SHEL), and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU), three integrated energy companies heavily tied to oil and gas markets. Amid recent oil price volatility exceeding $100 per barrel due to geopolitical risks, these stocks offer insights into relative performance, valuation, and sector exposure. Traders seeking momentum and investors eyeing dividends or stability in the energy sector will find this analysis valuable for understanding market positioning and trade-offs in the current environment.
EC Overview and Recent Performance
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) is Colombia's largest integrated energy firm, spanning exploration, production, refining, and power transmission. In recent market activity, EC has surged with YTD gains near 48%, trading around $13.92 and within a 52-week range of $7.80 to $15.62. Elevated crude prices have supported production profitability, though emerging market risks and currency fluctuations contribute to volatility. Sentiment has improved on strong cash flows and a 4.75% dividend yield, with a low P/E ratio of 11.7 signaling value. Recent weeks reflect broader energy momentum, tempered by regional political factors.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc (SHEL) operates globally across upstream, integrated gas, downstream, and renewables, with a focus on LNG and low-carbon solutions. Shares hover near $88.98, posting YTD returns of about 22% within a 52-week range of $64.81 to $94.90. Recent performance benefits from high oil realizations and deals like the ARC Resources acquisition, alongside robust buybacks exceeding $20 billion expectations. A 3.34% dividend yield and P/E of 14.8 reflect stability, though Qatar disruptions pose short-term LNG headwinds. Market sentiment remains positive on diversified cash flows in volatile conditions.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) is a Canadian integrated player emphasizing oil sands production, offshore assets, and refining. Trading around $67.55, it leads peers with 53% YTD gains in a 52-week range of $33.50 to $68.62. Recent weeks highlight leverage to soaring oil prices, enhancing bitumen margins despite operational costs. A 2.58% dividend yield pairs with a higher P/E of 19.0, driven by strong free cash flow. Positive sentiment stems from production ramps and sector tailwinds, positioning SU strongly amid energy demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, all three are integrated oil and gas firms, but SHEL stands out for global diversification into LNG and renewables, reducing pure-play oil exposure compared to EC's Colombia-centric operations and SU's oil sands emphasis. Growth drivers include high crude prices favoring SU's upstream leverage, while SHEL eyes LNG upside. Recent momentum favors SU and EC over SHEL. Risk factors highlight EC's geopolitical sensitivity, SU's cost inflation, and SHEL's low beta stability. Valuation sensitivity shows EC cheapest, with market sentiment buoyed across the board by oil above $100.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) for its leading YTD momentum, oil sands positioning amid sustained high prices, and relative outperformance versus peers. While EC offers value and yield, and SHEL provides scale, SU's trend consistency positions it probabilistically stronger in the near term based on observable catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EC’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSHEL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and SU’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- EC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHEL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and SU’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
EC (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -7.89% price change this week, while SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price change was -4.86% , and SU (@Integrated Oil) price fluctuated -4.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -3.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +22.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
EC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-3.26% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| EC | SHEL | SU | |
| Capitalization | 26.2B | 237B | 78.6B |
| EBITDA | 45.13T | 57.7B | 16.2B |
| Gain YTD | 44.054 | 17.239 | 50.045 |
| P/E Ratio | 9.69 | 13.29 | 17.32 |
| Revenue | 119.69T | 267B | 54.5B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 23.1B | 3.27B |
| Total Debt | N/A | 75.6B | 14.8B |
EC | SHEL | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 69 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 37 Fair valued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 7 | 14 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 68 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 49 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 64 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EC's Valuation (29) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (33) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is in the same range as SHEL (37) in the null industry. This means that EC's stock grew similarly to SU’s and similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the null industry is in the same range as SU (14) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is in the same range as EC (28) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL's stock grew similarly to SU’s and similarly to EC’s over the last 12 months.
SU's SMR Rating (59) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (68) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for EC (100) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SU's stock grew similarly to SHEL’s and somewhat faster than EC’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EC (42) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is in the same range as SHEL (49) in the null industry. This means that SU's stock grew similarly to EC’s and similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
EC's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (14) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (64) in the null industry. This means that EC's stock grew similarly to SU’s and somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| EC | SHEL | SU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 5 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 59% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 41% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | N/A | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 42% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 39% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 8 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 60% | 5 days ago 45% | 6 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 69% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 38% | 2 days ago 53% |
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EC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EC has been loosely correlated with EQNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EC jumps, then EQNR could also see price increases.
SU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.