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EL or HSY or SYY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Estée Lauder (EL) vs. Hershey (HSY) vs. Sysco (SYY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EL (EL) has shown volatility with YTD gains of about 16%, but faces tariff risks and legal challenges, trading at a forward P/E of 29.41 and viewed as undervalued by some metrics.
- HSY (HSY) leads YTD performance at 20%, bolstered by strong Q4 earnings and product expansions, though its trailing P/E of 50 reflects premium valuation in consumer staples.
- SYY (SYY) delivers solid YTD returns near 17% with raised FY26 guidance, benefiting from volume growth and distribution partnerships, at a more attractive P/E of 23.
- All three exhibit positive YTD momentum outperforming the S&P 500's 3%, but HSY and SYY show greater stability amid consumer defensive sector resilience.
- Recent AI signals indicate bearish short-term trends for EL and SYY, while HSY balances oversold indicators with uptrend potential.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines EL, a prestige beauty leader; HSY, a confectionery giant; and SYY, a foodservice distribution powerhouse—all in the consumer defensive space. Investors and traders navigating market volatility may find value in their relative performance, as these firms highlight contrasts in growth drivers, sector exposures, and resilience to economic shifts. With recent earnings beats and strategic moves, this analysis aids in understanding their positioning for relative outperformance in uncertain conditions.
EL Overview and Recent Performance
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) manufactures and markets prestige skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide, with brands like Estée Lauder, Clinique, and La Mer. In recent market activity, EL shares have displayed volatility, closing around $88 amid a YTD gain of approximately 16%, outperforming the S&P 500. The stock has rallied from 52-week lows near $48 but remains below highs of $122. Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue hit $4.23 billion with EPS of $0.89 beating estimates, supported by gross margin expansion to 76.5% despite tariff pressures. Sentiment reflects caution from travel retail softness and legal disputes, including a suit against Jo Malone, offset by the Forest Essentials acquisition in India. AI signals show bearish momentum and MACD crossovers, though oversold RSI suggests potential rebound.
HSY Overview and Recent Performance
The Hershey Company (HSY) produces chocolate, non-chocolate confectionery, and salty snacks, with iconic brands like Hershey's, Reese's, and SkinnyPop. Recent weeks have seen HSY shares near $217, posting the strongest YTD return at 20% among peers, driven by Q4 revenue of $3.09 billion (up 7%) and EPS of $1.71 surpassing forecasts. The stock trades below its 52-week high of $239 but above lows of $150, reflecting resilience in consumer staples. Partnerships like TogetherCocoa with industry peers and expansions into salty snacks bolster sentiment, alongside a Strong Buy upgrade. While recent pullbacks show bearish RSI exits, oversold Stochastic and Aroon uptrends signal stability. High P/E of 50 underscores premium pricing for its market leadership.
SYY Overview and Recent Performance
Sysco Corporation (SYY) distributes food products to restaurants, healthcare, and institutions across U.S. and international operations. Shares hover at $85, with YTD gains of 17% and 1-year returns near 21%, near 52-week highs of $92. Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue reached $20.76 billion, with EPS of $0.99, prompting raised FY26 guidance on volume growth and AI efficiencies. Recent partnerships, like with Reborn Coffee, enhance distribution, though CFO transition adds scrutiny. Analysts lift targets to $100 amid mixed views on valuation. Technicals mix bearish MACD and momentum with bullish moving average golden cross and oversold Stochastic, pointing to steady foodservice demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EL, HSY, and SYY operate in consumer defensive realms but diverge in models: EL's branded beauty faces cyclical prestige demand sensitive to tariffs and luxury spending; HSY's confectionery leverages sticky brands amid snacking trends; SYY's distribution benefits from broad foodservice recovery. Growth drivers contrast EL's acquisitions against HSY and SYY's volume/earnings momentum. Recent momentum favors HSY (20% YTD) over SYY (17%) and EL (16%), with HSY and SYY showing lower beta risk. Valuation sensitivity highlights SYY's P/E edge (23) versus HSY (50) and EL (29 forward), while sentiment tilts positive for staples stability over beauty volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors HSY for its consistent trend positioning, earnings catalysts, and sector stability, with oversold bounces and partnerships enhancing probability of relative outperformance. While SYY offers value and EL undervaluation potential, HSY's momentum aligns best with observable factors in recent market activity.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileHSY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and SYY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- EL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- HSY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SYY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HSY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and SYY’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- HSY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SYY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +4.86% price change this week, while HSY (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -4.78% , and SYY (@Food Distributors) price fluctuated +4.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.44%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -2.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.01%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was -0.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.02%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
EL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
HSY is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
SYY is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+0.96% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-2.68% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Food Distributors (-0.06% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
| EL | HSY | SYY | |
| Capitalization | 27.6B | 39B | 36.5B |
| EBITDA | 1.39B | 1.94B | 4.1B |
| Gain YTD | -27.006 | 6.547 | 5.051 |
| P/E Ratio | 147.80 | 44.38 | 20.56 |
| Revenue | 14.7B | 11.7B | 82.6B |
| Total Cash | 3.08B | 926M | 169M |
| Total Debt | 9.39B | 5.74B | 15B |
EL | HSY | SYY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 5 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 34 Fair valued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 71 | 76 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 46 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 59 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 7 | 50 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HSY's Valuation (34) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as SYY (50) in the Food Distributors industry, and is in the same range as EL (54) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that HSY's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and similarly to EL’s over the last 12 months.
HSY's Profit vs Risk Rating (71) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as SYY (76) in the Food Distributors industry, and is in the same range as EL (100) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that HSY's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and similarly to EL’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's SMR Rating (14) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as HSY (46) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for EL (91) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that SYY's stock grew similarly to HSY’s and significantly faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
HSY's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as SYY (61) in the Food Distributors industry, and is in the same range as EL (64) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that HSY's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and similarly to EL’s over the last 12 months.
HSY's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as EL (36) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SYY (50) in the Food Distributors industry. This means that HSY's stock grew similarly to EL’s and somewhat faster than SYY’s over the last 12 months.
| EL | HSY | SYY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | N/A | 2 days ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | N/A | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 48% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 10 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 56% | 9 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 65% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| ECNS | 34.73 | 0.56 | +1.64% |
| iShares MSCI China Small-Cap ETF | |||
| VIDI | 38.84 | 0.60 | +1.57% |
| Vident International Equity Strategy ETF | |||
| FV | 64.86 | 0.67 | +1.04% |
| First Trust Dorsey Wright Focus 5 ETF | |||
| FLCV | 33.54 | 0.33 | +0.98% |
| Federated Hermes MDT Large Cap Value ETF | |||
| INCE | 66.46 | 0.20 | +0.29% |
| Franklin Income Equity Focus ETF | |||
SYY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SYY has been loosely correlated with USFD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 41% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SYY jumps, then USFD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SYY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYY | 100% | +3.00% | ||
| USFD - SYY | 41% Loosely correlated | +4.33% | ||
| PFGC - SYY | 40% Loosely correlated | +5.04% | ||
| UNFI - SYY | 30% Poorly correlated | +4.04% | ||
| ANDE - SYY | 26% Poorly correlated | +1.55% | ||
| CHEF - SYY | 24% Poorly correlated | +4.54% | ||
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