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EL or KMB or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Estée Lauder Companies (EL) vs. Kimberly-Clark (KMB) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EL shows strong longer-term gains at 33.3% over 52 weeks but recent three-month decline of 8.8% amid market pressures and skincare growth.
- KMB offers a high dividend yield of 4.88% with YTD gains of 3.66%, though underperforming broader indices recently due to cost challenges.
- WMT leads YTD performance at 10.78% with robust market cap over $980B, driven by digital expansions despite competition.
- Valuation contrasts: KMB P/E at 21.52 appears most attractive; WMT at 45.21 reflects growth premium.
- Sector stability favors consumer defensive plays like KMB and WMT over cyclical EL in volatile conditions.
- AI bots on Tickeron highlight defensive strategies amid recent market dips, with win rates up to 80% in related sectors.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines EL, a premium beauty leader, KMB, a staple in personal care essentials, and WMT, the retail giant, amid shifting consumer defensive dynamics. Investors seeking relative performance insights, dividend reliability, or growth in essentials will find value here, especially as recent market volatility underscores stability in household and retail sectors. With broader economic pressures influencing sentiment, this analysis highlights price behavior, key metrics, and positioning for informed relative evaluation.
EL Overview and Recent Performance
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) manufactures and markets skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products globally under brands like Estée Lauder, Clinique, and La Mer. In recent market activity, EL shares have faced headwinds, declining 8.8% over three months despite a robust 33.3% gain over the past year. Trading around $93 with a market cap of $33.5B, the stock reflects YTD gains of 11.18% but remains 21% below its 52-week high. Sentiment has been influenced by sluggish Americas demand, though skincare sales rose 6% and the planned full acquisition of Indian brand Forest Essentials signals expansion in high-growth markets. Dividend yield stands at 1.46%, supporting income amid turnaround efforts.
KMB Overview and Recent Performance
Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) produces personal care items like Huggies diapers, Kleenex tissues, and Depend incontinence products across North America and international segments. Recent weeks have seen modest YTD advances of 3.66% to around $105, with a $34.7B market cap, though shares lag the Dow amid rising input costs from oil prices. A compelling 4.88% dividend yield bolsters appeal, with ex-date recent. Key developments include the "Powering Care" productivity plan and impending $48.7B Kenvue acquisition integration by 2026, aiming for cost efficiencies. P/E of 21.52 suggests relative value, despite 32% pullback from 52-week highs, as stability in essentials drives cautious optimism.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT) operates retail supercenters, e-commerce, and Sam's Club worldwide, offering groceries, health products, and electronics. Shares trade near $123 with a massive $984B market cap, posting strong YTD performance of 10.78% and 30% over 52 weeks, though recently dipping amid broader sell-offs. Momentum stems from digital shelf labels rollout across U.S. stores, supercenter expansions, and tech efficiencies countering competition from Costco. Dividend yield of 0.80% supports positioning, with P/E at 45.21 reflecting premium growth expectations. Recent earnings beat estimates, reinforcing resilience in consumer staples amid economic shifts.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the platform's top-performing AI trading bots from hundreds available, which collectively trade thousands of tickers using diverse strategies like trend following, pattern recognition, and sector rotation across timeframes from minutes to months. Only those excelling in current volatility—such as recent market dips in indices—earn a spot, with standout stats including annualized returns up to 135%, win rates of 70-80%, profit factors over 3.0, and profit-to-drawdown ratios exceeding 20 in sectors like consumer staples and industrials. These bots employ AI/ML models for real-time signals, risk-adjusted entries, and automated execution. Explore Trending AI Robots to identify suitable options for your portfolio.
Head-to-Head Comparison
EL, KMB, and WMT span luxury beauty, personal essentials, and mass retail within consumer defensive. Business models differ: EL's premium positioning ties to discretionary spending, vulnerable to slowdowns, versus KMB's recession-resistant staples and WMT's scale-driven e-commerce hybrid. Growth drivers include EL's emerging market acquisitions, KMB's Kenvue synergies, and WMT's digital innovations. Recent momentum favors WMT YTD, with KMB offering yield stability but input cost risks; EL shows volatility. Valuation sensitivity: KMB cheapest at 21.52 P/E, WMT premium. Market sentiment leans toward scale and essentials over cyclical beauty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT for its consistent trend strength, superior YTD relative performance, and catalysts like tech efficiencies amid volatility. KMB's high yield provides stability, while EL lags on momentum. Probabilistic edge tilts to WMT's scale and positioning, aligning with trending bots in staples.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileKMB’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- EL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KMB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMB’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KMB’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +5.14% price change this week, while KMB (@Household/Personal Care) price change was +1.20% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +2.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was -0.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
EL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
KMB is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+2.76% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Discount Stores (-0.78% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| EL | KMB | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 26.3B | 32.3B | 1.01T |
| EBITDA | 1.39B | 3.11B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | -30.388 | -2.387 | 14.020 |
| P/E Ratio | 147.80 | 20.02 | 46.44 |
| Revenue | 14.7B | 16.4B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 3.08B | 774M | N/A |
| Total Debt | 9.39B | 7.3B | 68.4B |
EL | KMB | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 62 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 16 Undervalued | 91 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 11 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 62 | 21 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 50 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMB's Valuation (16) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EL (52) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (91) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that KMB's stock grew somewhat faster than EL’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for KMB (100) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for EL (100) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew significantly faster than KMB’s and significantly faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
KMB's SMR Rating (11) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is significantly better than the same rating for EL (90) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (99) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that KMB's stock grew significantly faster than EL’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (21) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KMB (62) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for EL (64) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than KMB’s and somewhat faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
EL's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as WMT (38) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is in the same range as KMB (50) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that EL's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and similarly to KMB’s over the last 12 months.
| EL | KMB | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 40% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 32% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 74% | 13 days ago 48% | 23 days ago 33% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 37% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 30% |
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KMB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMB has been loosely correlated with CL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KMB jumps, then CL could also see price increases.
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | -1.83% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | -3.25% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | -2.62% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | -1.73% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 28% Poorly correlated | +0.21% | ||
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