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EL or KO or STZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Estée Lauder (EL) vs. Coca-Cola (KO) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KO leads with strong YTD gains around 11%, bolstered by robust Q4 earnings, a 64th consecutive dividend increase, and resilient consumer demand.
- EL shows volatility with recent declines post-earnings and dividend adjustments, YTD down approximately 12-14%, though skincare growth and acquisitions like Forest Essentials offer recovery potential.
- STZ trades mixed amid softer demand and CEO transition, with YTD up about 9%, supported by Q3 earnings beats but pressured by competition in beer and wine segments.
- Relative performance highlights KO's stability in non-alcoholic beverages versus cyclical pressures on EL and STZ.
- Valuation metrics indicate EL potentially undervalued per DCF models, while KO benefits from consistent dividend yield around 3%.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines EL, KO, and STZ—key players in consumer staples with exposure to beauty, non-alcoholic beverages, and alcoholic beverages. These stocks appeal to investors seeking defensive positioning amid market volatility, as well as traders eyeing relative performance in growth versus stability. Recent market activity underscores contrasts in earnings momentum, dividend reliability, and sector-specific catalysts, aiding decisions on portfolio allocation in the current environment.
EL Overview and Recent Performance
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) is a global leader in prestige beauty, with brands spanning skincare, makeup, and fragrances. Recent market activity has seen EL navigate share price volatility, including declines following Q2 earnings that beat estimates but raised concerns over Americas demand. The stock trades around $94, down YTD by about 12%, underperforming broader indices. Positive factors include skincare growth, China recovery signals, and the acquisition of Forest Essentials for India expansion, though litigation like the Walmart lawsuit over counterfeits adds sentiment pressure. DCF models suggest undervaluation near $98 intrinsic value.
KO Overview and Recent Performance
The Coca-Cola Company (KO) dominates the non-alcoholic beverage sector with iconic brands and global reach. Recent weeks have driven KO higher, up 12.5% in the past month and 11% YTD, outpacing the S&P 500. Trading near $78, the stock reflects Q4 2025 strength with 5% organic revenue growth and a 64th straight dividend hike of 4%. Focus on emerging markets and brand investment sustains momentum, positioning KO as a defensive staple amid economic uncertainty, with shares hitting 52-week highs earlier.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) specializes in beer, wine, and spirits, with premium brands like Modelo and Corona. Recent performance has been choppy, with shares around $150, up YTD by about 9% but down over longer periods amid demand softness. Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings beat estimates, yet Hispanic consumer trends and competition weigh on sentiment, alongside a CEO transition to Nicholas Fink. Efforts in premiumization provide offsets, though monthly declines reflect broader alcoholic beverage challenges.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EL, KO, and STZ operate in consumer-facing sectors but diverge in models: EL's prestige beauty emphasizes premium growth amid cyclical luxury demand, contrasting KO's stable, volume-driven soft drinks with global scale. STZ blends beer dominance with wine/spirits exposure, sensitive to discretionary spending. Recent momentum favors KO's consistency over EL and STZ's volatility. Risks include EL's China/Asia reliance and counterfeits, STZ's demand shifts, versus KO's currency exposure. Valuations show EL at potentially discounted levels, STZ P/E ~23.6 with 2.7% yield, and KO steady. Sentiment tilts toward KO's reliability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KO for its superior trend consistency, earnings stability, and dividend track record amid recent market positioning. While EL offers undervaluation potential and STZ premium catalysts, KO's relative strength suggests higher probability of outperformance in the near term, based on observable momentum and sector resilience.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileKO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and STZ’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- EL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and STZ’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- KO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
EL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +6.03% price change this week, while KO (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +1.90% , and STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price fluctuated +7.85% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.74%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.71%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +164976.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
EL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
KO is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+2.02% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+2.02% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.37% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| EL | KO | STZ | |
| Capitalization | 26.5B | 336B | 28.3B |
| EBITDA | 1.39B | 18.7B | 2.47B |
| Gain YTD | -29.794 | 12.598 | 18.970 |
| P/E Ratio | 147.80 | 25.72 | 16.97 |
| Revenue | 14.7B | 47.9B | 9.38B |
| Total Cash | 3.08B | N/A | 152M |
| Total Debt | 9.39B | 45.5B | 10.7B |
EL | KO | STZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 13 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 43 Fair valued | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 9 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 20 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 34 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 70 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KO's Valuation (43) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (48) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as EL (53) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that KO's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and similarly to EL’s over the last 12 months.
KO's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for EL (100) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that KO's stock grew significantly faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
KO's SMR Rating (20) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for EL (90) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that KO's stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
KO's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as EL (64) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that KO's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and similarly to EL’s over the last 12 months.
EL's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KO (70) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (98) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that EL's stock grew somewhat faster than KO’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| EL | KO | STZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 27% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 32% | 1 day ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 30% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 36% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 39% | 4 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 74% | 21 days ago 29% | 2 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 22% | 1 day ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 24% | 1 day ago 38% |
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KO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KO has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KO jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.
STZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STZ has been loosely correlated with SAM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if STZ jumps, then SAM could also see price increases.