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EL or MNST or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Estée Lauder (EL) vs. Monster Beverage (MNST) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EL has faced headwinds from declining sales, tariff risks, and travel retail challenges, leading to underperformance YTD with shares down amid volatility.
- MNST reported strong Q4 results with 17.6% net sales growth, though shares experienced a post-earnings pullback; analysts view it as a buying opportunity with positive long-term momentum.
- WMT demonstrates stability with YTD gains around 13%, bolstered by international sales growth, dividend increases, and a market cap exceeding $1 trillion.
- Relative performance highlights WMT's defensive positioning versus EL's sensitivity to consumer discretionary spending and MNST's growth in energy drinks.
- Valuation contrasts show WMT at a premium P/E of ~46 amid steady growth, while EL trades lower due to profitability pressures.
- Market sentiment favors WMT for stability in uncertain conditions, with MNST offering upside potential and EL facing recovery hurdles.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines EL (Estée Lauder), a prestige beauty leader; MNST (Monster Beverage), a dominant energy drink player; and WMT (Walmart), the global retail giant. These consumer defensive names span cosmetics, beverages, and discount retailing, offering insights into sector resilience amid economic shifts. Traders seeking growth might eye MNST's momentum, while investors prioritizing stability could favor WMT. EL represents discretionary exposure sensitive to luxury demand. Analyzing recent performance, valuations, and catalysts aids in understanding relative positioning in today's market environment, where consumer staples face varying pressures from inflation and spending patterns.
EL Overview and Recent Performance
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) is a global leader in prestige beauty, manufacturing and marketing skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products under brands like Estée Lauder, Clinique, La Mer, and Tom Ford. Operating in over 150 countries, it distributes through department stores, duty-free shops, and e-commerce.
Recent market activity has pressured EL shares, with volatility driven by declining sales, margin compression, and risks from tariffs and travel retail slowdowns clouding fiscal 2026 outlook. Q2 FY2026 earnings beat estimates with revenue at $4.23 billion and EPS of $0.89, yet shares fell sharply post-release due to weak guidance. YTD performance lags, down around 8-18% in some metrics, underperforming broader indices amid high debt-to-equity and unsustainable payout ratios. Sentiment reflects challenges in Americas demand and legal disputes, though expansions like India acquisitions offer long-term potential.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is a holding company developing, marketing, and distributing energy drinks like Monster Energy, Reign, and Bang, alongside craft beers and hard seltzers. It holds a significant share of the global energy drink market, distributing through retailers, wholesalers, and e-commerce worldwide.
In recent weeks, MNST showcased resilience with Q4 net sales up 17.6% to $2.13 billion and adjusted EPS beating expectations, fueled by demand for sugar-free variants. Despite a post-earnings stock dip of around 9%, analysts maintain 'Buy' ratings and $100 targets, viewing pullbacks as opportunities amid 40%+ one-year gains. YTD flat to slightly positive, it outperforms in longer terms with strong growth projections, though faces competition. Profitability improvements and market expansion drive positive sentiment.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is a people-led, tech-powered omnichannel retailer operating supercenters, discount stores, Sam's Clubs, and e-commerce in 19 countries. It offers groceries, health products, electronics, apparel, and more, serving 270 million weekly customers with $681 billion FY2025 revenue.
WMT has exhibited steady strength in recent market activity, with YTD returns near 13% and shares hitting records, pushing market cap over $1 trillion. International sales growth, dividend hikes to $0.99 annual (0.78% yield), and partnerships like Build-A-Bear bolster positioning. Q4 results showed revenue up 5.6% to $190.7 billion and EPS of $0.74 beating estimates. Resilience in consumer staples amid volatility, plus e-commerce and advertising gains, supports sentiment, though fintech challenges persist.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EL, MNST, and WMT operate in consumer defensive spaces but diverge in models: EL's prestige beauty relies on luxury aspirational spending via department stores; MNST drives growth through energy drink innovation and distribution partnerships; WMT leverages scale in everyday essentials and omnichannel retail.
Growth drivers contrast MNST's 17%+ sales momentum and market share gains against EL's sales declines and WMT's steady 5% revenue rise. Recent momentum favors WMT (13% YTD) over MNST (flat) and EL (negative). Risk factors include EL's tariff/travel exposure and high debt, MNST's competition, and WMT's lower beta (0.66) for stability.
Sector exposure: beauty (cyclical), beverages (growth staple), retail (defensive). Valuations show WMT at P/E ~46 with dividends, versus peers' pressures. Sentiment tilts to WMT's reliability amid uncertainty, balancing MNST's upside and EL's recovery trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT due to its trend consistency, low-beta stability, international catalysts, and relative outperformance in recent market activity. Probabilistic edge stems from defensive positioning and dividend reliability versus EL's headwinds and MNST's volatility, though MNST shows stronger growth potential if momentum resumes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMNST’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- EL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MNST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MNST’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MNST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +4.86% price change this week, while MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +1.32% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.44%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -0.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2073.90%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
EL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
MNST is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+0.96% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-0.77% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Discount Stores (+2.34% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| EL | MNST | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 27.6B | 75B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 1.39B | 2.53B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | -27.006 | 0.065 | 14.677 |
| P/E Ratio | 147.80 | 39.55 | 46.70 |
| Revenue | 14.7B | 8.29B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 3.08B | 2.77B | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 9.39B | 199M | 67.1B |
EL | MNST | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 70 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 24 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 35 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 50 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 62 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EL's Valuation (54) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MNST (92) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that EL's stock grew somewhat faster than MNST’s and somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MNST (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for EL (100) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and significantly faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's SMR Rating (35) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as WMT (40) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for EL (91) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MNST's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and somewhat faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MNST (50) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for EL (64) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and somewhat faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
EL's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as WMT (42) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is in the same range as MNST (62) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that EL's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and similarly to MNST’s over the last 12 months.
| EL | MNST | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 79% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 74% | 5 days ago 47% | 7 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 25% |
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MNST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MNST has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MNST jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MNST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNST | 100% | +1.80% | ||
| CCEP - MNST | 46% Loosely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| KO - MNST | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| PEP - MNST | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| CELH - MNST | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
| KDP - MNST | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.88% | ||
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WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +2.15% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 36% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +3.17% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.19% | ||
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