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EL or MO or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Estée Lauder (EL) vs. Altria (MO) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EL has faced share price volatility amid mixed earnings and regional demand challenges, though strategic acquisitions like Forest Essentials signal expansion efforts.
- MO demonstrates stability with strong YTD gains of around 15%, robust dividends, and progress in smoke-free products offsetting cigarette volume declines.
- WMT leads in relative performance with 10-11% YTD returns, driven by e-commerce surpassing $150 billion and tech innovations in retail.
- Across valuation, MO trades at a forward P/E near 12, more attractive than WMT's 42 and EL's elevated multiples amid recovery.
- Dividend yields favor MO for income seekers, while WMT excels in growth momentum and market cap scale over $980 billion.
- Recent market activity highlights WMT's resilience in consumer staples, contrasting EL's underperformance.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines EL (Estée Lauder), MO (Altria Group), and WMT (Walmart), spanning prestige beauty, tobacco, and discount retail sectors. These consumer-focused names offer diverse exposure to defensive staples amid shifting market conditions. Value-oriented investors may eye MO's dividends, growth traders WMT's e-commerce surge, and turnaround seekers EL's global brand potential. By analyzing recent performance, sentiment, and relative positioning, traders gain insights into sector trade-offs in the current environment.
EL Overview and Recent Performance
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) is a global leader in prestige beauty, manufacturing and marketing skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products under brands like Estée Lauder, Clinique, and La Mer. In recent market activity, EL shares have navigated volatility, with YTD declines around 8-14% reflecting sluggish demand in key regions like the Americas and China. Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings beat expectations on EPS and revenue, yet shares dipped post-report due to cautious guidance. Strategic moves, including the acquisition of Forest Essentials for India expansion and a minority stake in Mexican fragrance brand XINÚ, aim to bolster skincare and fragrance growth. Sentiment remains mixed, with undervaluation signals from DCF models amid turnaround efforts, though litigation like the Walmart counterfeits suit adds pressure.
MO Overview and Recent Performance
Altria Group Inc. (MO) manufactures and sells tobacco products, including Marlboro cigarettes, oral nicotine pouches like on!, and e-vapor via NJOY, focusing on transitioning smokers to smoke-free alternatives. Recent weeks show MO holding steady with YTD gains near 15%, outperforming broader indices despite minor dips. Cigarette volumes continue declining but at moderating rates, offset by pricing power and smoke-free growth, with on! gaining share. UBS raised its price target citing improved industry outlook. The company returned significant capital via dividends and buybacks, reaffirming 2026 EPS guidance around $5.57. Market sentiment supports MO's defensive appeal in consumer staples, with a forward P/E near 12.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT) operates a vast retail network of supercenters, e-commerce, and membership clubs worldwide, emphasizing everyday low prices and omnichannel growth. In recent market activity, WMT shares posted YTD returns of about 11%, with e-commerce surpassing $150 billion and advertising momentum driving gains. Q4 FY26 results highlighted innovation, including AI integrations and store expansions, though shares faced monthly pullbacks amid broader volatility. Tigress Financial lifted its target to $150 on tech-retail strength. As the largest retailer by market cap over $980 billion, WMT benefits from resilient traffic and supply chain scale, fostering positive sentiment despite elevated P/E around 45.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EL, MO, and WMT contrast sharply in business models: EL's prestige beauty relies on premium branding and emerging market growth, vulnerable to luxury slowdowns; MO's tobacco dominance leverages pricing amid volume shifts to smoke-free; WMT's mass retail scales via e-commerce and ads. Growth drivers favor WMT's omnichannel surge over MO's steady nicotine transition and EL's acquisitions. Recent momentum tilts to MO and WMT YTD, versus EL's lag. Risks include regulatory hurdles for MO, demand cyclicality for EL, and competition for WMT. Valuation sensitivity shows MO cheapest, WMT premium-priced, EL recovering. Sentiment favors WMT's stability in staples.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward WMT based on consistent trend strength, e-commerce catalysts, and superior relative YTD positioning amid retail resilience. MO follows closely for dividend stability and value, while EL trails pending beauty recovery. Observable factors like momentum and sector exposure suggest higher probability for WMT in prevailing conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMO’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- EL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MO’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +4.86% price change this week, while MO (@Tobacco) price change was -4.76% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.44%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
EL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
MO is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+0.96% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Tobacco (-1.34% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Discount Stores (+2.34% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| EL | MO | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 27.6B | 107B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 1.39B | 10.8B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | -27.006 | 13.155 | 14.677 |
| P/E Ratio | 147.80 | 15.58 | 46.70 |
| Revenue | 14.7B | 20.1B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 3.08B | N/A | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 9.39B | 25.7B | 67.1B |
EL | MO | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 56 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 8 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 14 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 9 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 34 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 15 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MO's Valuation (8) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EL (54) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO's stock grew somewhat faster than EL’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MO (14) in the Tobacco industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for EL (100) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to MO’s and significantly faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
MO's SMR Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as WMT (40) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for EL (91) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and significantly faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MO (34) in the Tobacco industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for EL (64) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to MO’s and somewhat faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
MO's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as EL (36) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is in the same range as WMT (42) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to EL’s and similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
| EL | MO | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 31% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 63% | 11 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 74% | 5 days ago 37% | 7 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 23% | 3 days ago 25% |
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|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| BOTZ | 37.41 | 0.70 | +1.91% |
| Global X Robotics & Artfcl Intllgnc ETF | |||
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| Columbia US Equity Income ETF | |||
| GLV | 6.12 | 0.02 | +0.35% |
| Clough Global Dividend and Income Fund | |||
| MMIN | 24.09 | 0.06 | +0.25% |
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| JOYT | 55.22 | 0.03 | +0.05% |
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WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +2.15% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 36% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +3.17% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.19% | ||
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