Advertisement
EL or STZ or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Estée Lauder (EL) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EL has faced sharp declines in recent market activity, dropping over 30% in the past month amid merger talks with Puig and ongoing turnaround challenges in prestige beauty.
- STZ shows relative stability with modest fluctuations around the $150 level, supported by steady demand for beer brands like Modelo and Corona despite demand pressures.
- WMT maintains resilient performance near $120, benefiting from its omnichannel retail scale and value positioning in consumer staples amid economic uncertainty.
- Year-to-date, WMT leads with approximately 10% gains, followed by STZ at around 12%, while EL lags significantly due to sector headwinds.
- Volatility is highest in EL, with recent trading volumes spiking, contrasting WMT's steady liquidity and STZ's balanced momentum.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines EL, STZ, and WMT—representing prestige beauty, premium beverages, and discount retail—in the context of shifting consumer spending patterns and market volatility. These consumer defensive names offer insights into sector resilience amid economic pressures. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors focused on long-term stability will find value in analyzing their relative performance, growth drivers, and risk profiles for informed portfolio decisions in today's environment.
EL Overview and Recent Performance
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) is a global leader in prestige beauty, manufacturing and marketing skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products across over 20 brands like Estée Lauder, Clinique, and La Mer, sold in approximately 150 countries. In recent market activity, EL has experienced significant downward pressure, plummeting around 9-10% in single sessions amid confirmation of merger discussions with Puig, which raised concerns over its turnaround strategy. Over the past month, shares have declined sharply from above $110 to near $71-79, reflecting volatility from weak forecasts, sluggish Americas demand, and negative net margins despite gross margin stability at ~74%. Elevated trading volumes underscore shifting sentiment in the cosmetics sector.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) is a leading producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits, with key brands including Corona, Modelo Especial, and Robert Mondavi, operating in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. Recent weeks have seen STZ trade in a relatively tight range around $149-155, with minor dips reflecting beer demand volatility tied to economic uncertainty and Hispanic consumer spending. Despite YTD gains near 12%, shares faced pressure from sector challenges, though steady Modelo and Corona performance supported Q3 beats. Trading volumes remain moderate, indicating contained sentiment shifts in beverages.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT) operates as a people-led, tech-powered omnichannel retailer with supercenters, discount stores, and e-commerce across 19 countries, serving 270 million weekly customers. In recent market activity, WMT has shown resilience, hovering near $120-126 with YTD returns around 10%, outperforming peers amid retail competition. Strong free cash flow, gross margins at ~25%, and e-commerce growth have bolstered stability, even as shares dipped slightly on broader market pulls. High volumes reflect consistent investor interest in its defensive positioning.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the top performers from hundreds of AI trading bots that analyze thousands of tickers across diverse strategies, timeframes, and market conditions. Only the most promising bots—selected by advanced AI for real-time signals, risk management, and sector adaptability—earn a spot in this dynamic section. Stats showcase impressive ranges: annualized returns from +15% to +126%, win rates of 56-89%, profit factors up to 6.11, and low drawdowns relative to gains. Bots target themes like consumer staples (including WMT), volatility hedging, and growth sectors with multi-agent intelligence. Explore these high-performing tools to enhance your trading edge.
Head-to-Head Comparison
EL’s prestige beauty model relies on luxury skincare and fragrances, vulnerable to discretionary spending cuts, contrasting STZ’s premium beer focus (e.g., Modelo) with steadier essential-like demand but exposure to economic slowdowns among key demographics. WMT’s massive retail scale offers broad grocery and essentials diversification, driving lower beta (0.66) versus EL (1.11). Recent momentum favors WMT’s stability over EL’s volatility and STZ’s flat range. Risks include EL’s high debt/equity (1.82) and merger uncertainty, STZ’s demand softness, and WMT’s competitive e-commerce pressures. Valuation sensitivity shows WMT at premium P/E (~35x) justified by ROE (24%), while EL appears cheaper but riskier. Sentiment leans defensive toward retail over cyclicals.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT due to its superior trend consistency, lower volatility, and resilient catalysts in omnichannel retail amid uncertain conditions. Relative positioning and stability outperform EL’s downside risks and STZ’s muted momentum, suggesting higher probability of positive returns in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSTZ’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- EL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STZ’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +4.86% price change this week, while STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was -2.33% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.44%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.62%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
EL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+0.96% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.04% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Discount Stores (+2.34% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| EL | STZ | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 27.6B | 28.1B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 1.39B | 2.47B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | -27.006 | 18.394 | 14.677 |
| P/E Ratio | 147.80 | 16.89 | 46.70 |
| Revenue | 14.7B | 9.38B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 3.08B | 152M | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 9.39B | 10.7B | 67.1B |
EL | STZ | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 64 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 46 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 55 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 49 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 79 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
STZ's Valuation (46) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as EL (54) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that STZ's stock grew similarly to EL’s and somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for EL (100) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew significantly faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's SMR Rating (40) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for EL (91) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and somewhat faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as STZ (49) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as EL (64) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and similarly to EL’s over the last 12 months.
EL's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as WMT (42) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (79) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that EL's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| EL | STZ | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 61% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 9 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 58% | 6 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 25% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CRYPTO / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| THETA.X | 0.215636 | 0.016237 | +8.14% |
| Theta Network cryptocurrency | |||
| SVAL | 38.84 | 0.85 | +2.24% |
| iShares US Small Cap Value Factor ETF | |||
| CHI | 11.81 | 0.03 | +0.25% |
| Calamos Convertible Opportunities and Income Fund | |||
| WBIF | 32.62 | N/A | N/A |
| WBI BullBear Value 3000 ETF | |||
| RSBY | 18.33 | -0.17 | -0.94% |
| Return Stacked Bonds & Futures Yield ETF | |||
STZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STZ has been loosely correlated with SAM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if STZ jumps, then SAM could also see price increases.