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EMA or FTS or NGG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Emera Inc. (EMA) vs. Fortis Inc. (FTS) vs. National Grid plc (NGG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NGG leads with the strongest year-to-date (YTD) return at 13.77%, outperforming peers amid positive analyst updates and partnerships.
- FTS offers a balanced profile with a 10.71% YTD gain, robust market cap of $29.1 billion, and upcoming Q1 earnings on May 6, 2026.
- EMA hit a 52-week high in recent weeks, supported by a record 2025 and $20 billion capital plan through 2030, with a high dividend yield of 3.99%.
- All three exhibit stability typical of utilities, with P/E ratios (price-to-earnings ratios) clustered around 21-23 and dividend yields above 3%.
- Recent market activity shows resilience against broader volatility, driven by regulated operations and infrastructure investments.
- Investor interest centers on relative momentum and dividend reliability in a rate-sensitive sector.
Introduction
Emera Inc. (EMA), Fortis Inc. (FTS), and National Grid plc (NGG) are leading utility companies focused on electricity and gas transmission and distribution across North America and the UK. This stock comparison evaluates their recent performance, business models, and market positioning, aiding income-focused investors and traders seeking defensive plays amid economic uncertainty. With stable cash flows from regulated assets, these stocks offer insights into sector trends like infrastructure growth and interest rate sensitivity, helping assess relative strength in the current environment.
EMA Overview and Recent Performance
EMA, headquartered in Halifax, Canada, operates electric and gas utilities primarily in the US, Canada, and the Caribbean. Its portfolio includes regulated transmission and distribution networks, supporting over 2 million customers. In recent market activity, EMA shares reached a 52-week high around $73.78 CAD in early April 2026, reflecting positive sentiment from a record 2025 adjusted EPS of $3.49 (up 19%) and adjusted net income exceeding $1 billion. Trading near $53 USD with a market cap of $16.2 billion, the stock has posted an 8.54% YTD return and a 3.99% dividend yield. Key influences include a $20 billion capital plan for 2026-2030 targeting growth and quarterly dividend declarations, bolstering investor confidence despite sector headwinds like rising rates.
FTS Overview and Recent Performance
FTS, based in St. John's, Canada, is one of North America's largest utilities, serving 3.4 million customers with electric and gas operations in Canada, the US, and the Caribbean. It emphasizes regulated assets with long-term growth potential. Recent weeks have seen steady performance around $57 USD, with a 10.71% YTD return and $29.1 billion market cap. Trading above key moving averages, the stock benefits from analyst upgrades, including CIBC raising its target to C$81, and anticipation for Q1 2026 results on May 6. A 3.23% dividend yield and P/E of 22.96 underscore its appeal for income seekers, influenced by consistent earnings growth and dividend hikes.
NGG Overview and Recent Performance
NGG, a London-based global utility, manages electricity and gas networks in the UK and US Northeast, serving millions via high-voltage transmission. Recent performance has been robust, with shares at $88.48 USD, a 13.77% YTD return, and $88 billion market cap. Momentum stems from partnerships like GridCARE for faster interconnections and price target hikes maintaining "Overweight" ratings. With a 3.53% dividend yield and P/E of 21.96, sentiment is lifted by infrastructure demand and strategic asset shifts, positioning it strongly ahead of May 14 earnings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
All three operate regulated utility models, prioritizing stable revenues from transmission and distribution, but differ in scale and geography: NGG's transatlantic footprint offers diversification, while EMA and FTS focus on North America. Growth drivers include capital-intensive projects—EMA's $20B plan versus FTS's multi-year expansions—amid rising energy demand. Recent momentum favors NGG (highest YTD), but FTS shows steadier trading above averages. Risks involve interest rate sensitivity (higher debt for capex) and regulation; NGG faces UK policy shifts. Valuation-wise, similar P/E ratios highlight trade-offs in yield (EMA highest) versus size (NGG largest). Sentiment tilts positive across the board on earnings anticipation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis, drawing on trend consistency and catalysts, would likely favor NGG in the current environment due to its superior YTD performance, recent partnerships accelerating growth, and relative market positioning amid utility sector tailwinds. Factors like stability and analyst momentum suggest higher probability of outperformance versus peers, though all remain viable for defensive portfolios.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EMA’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileFTS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and NGG’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- EMA’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- FTS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NGG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EMA’s TA Score shows that 1 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FTS’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and NGG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EMA’s TA Score: 1 bullish, 6 bearish.
- FTS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NGG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EMA (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -0.57% price change this week, while FTS (@Electric Utilities) price change was -1.90% , and NGG (@Electric Utilities) price fluctuated -0.46% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
EMA is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
FTS is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
NGG is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.28% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| EMA | FTS | NGG | |
| Capitalization | 16B | 28.7B | 86.4B |
| EBITDA | 3.51B | 5.91B | 7.8B |
| Gain YTD | 6.214 | 8.491 | 12.786 |
| P/E Ratio | 21.89 | 22.75 | 21.50 |
| Revenue | 8.91B | 12.2B | 17.5B |
| Total Cash | 2.46B | 359M | 4.06B |
| Total Debt | 24B | 35.4B | 45.9B |
EMA | FTS | NGG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 62 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 40 Fair valued | 62 Fair valued | 45 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 58 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 78 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 53 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 34 | 66 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 65 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EMA's Valuation (40) in the null industry is in the same range as NGG (45) in the Electric Utilities industry, and is in the same range as FTS (62) in the null industry. This means that EMA's stock grew similarly to NGG’s and similarly to FTS’s over the last 12 months.
NGG's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as FTS (58) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for EMA (77) in the null industry. This means that NGG's stock grew similarly to FTS’s and somewhat faster than EMA’s over the last 12 months.
EMA's SMR Rating (77) in the null industry is in the same range as FTS (78) in the null industry, and is in the same range as NGG (99) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that EMA's stock grew similarly to FTS’s and similarly to NGG’s over the last 12 months.
EMA's Price Growth Rating (51) in the null industry is in the same range as NGG (52) in the Electric Utilities industry, and is in the same range as FTS (53) in the null industry. This means that EMA's stock grew similarly to NGG’s and similarly to FTS’s over the last 12 months.
FTS's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the null industry is in the same range as EMA (42) in the null industry, and is in the same range as NGG (66) in the Electric Utilities industry. This means that FTS's stock grew similarly to EMA’s and similarly to NGG’s over the last 12 months.
| EMA | FTS | NGG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 43% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 34% | 2 days ago 42% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 29% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 51% | N/A | 2 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 39% | 9 days ago 34% | 9 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| TBF | 24.72 | 0.19 | +0.77% |
| ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury | |||
| OAKM | 27.67 | 0.12 | +0.44% |
| Oakmark U.S. Large Cap ETF | |||
| IBMR | 25.30 | -0.01 | -0.04% |
| iShares iBonds Dec 2029 Term Muni Bd ETF | |||
| FV | 69.59 | -0.19 | -0.27% |
| First Trust Dorsey Wright Focus 5 ETF | |||
| TOPC | 33.45 | -0.12 | -0.37% |
| iShares S&P 500 3% Capped ETF | |||
EMA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EMA has been loosely correlated with ED. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EMA jumps, then ED could also see price increases.
FTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTS has been closely correlated with ED. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FTS jumps, then ED could also see price increases.
NGG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NGG has been loosely correlated with DUK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NGG jumps, then DUK could also see price increases.