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EMBJ or FTAI or SARO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) vs. FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) vs. StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FTAI leads with superior YTD return of 22.13% and 1-year gain of 169.12%, driven by aviation leasing growth and recent Q1 revenue beat.
- EMBJ shows solid 1-year performance at 36.31% and a record $32.1B backlog, bolstered by strong jet demand in commercial and defense segments.
- SARO offers YTD gains of 14.05% but trails over 1 year at 11.62%, supported by aftermarket services contracts like U.S. Navy MT7 engine support.
- All three operate in aerospace but differ in focus: manufacturing (EMBJ), leasing/products (FTAI), and MRO (maintenance, repair, overhaul) services (SARO).
- Market caps vary: FTAI at $24.6B, EMBJ at $11.3B, SARO at $8.2B, reflecting growth trajectories and sector positioning.
- Analyst targets suggest upside: FTAI $339, EMBJ $82, SARO $37.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines EMBJ, FTAI, and SARO, three aerospace firms navigating a robust sector amid rising air travel demand and defense spending. EMBJ focuses on aircraft manufacturing, FTAI on leasing and engines, and SARO on aftermarket services. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye FTAI's surge, while long-term investors could assess EMBJ's backlog and SARO's steady contracts for relative performance in current market conditions.
EMBJ Overview and Recent Performance
EMBJ, or Embraer S.A., designs, manufactures, and sells commercial, executive, and defense aircraft worldwide. Operating segments include Commercial Aviation, Defense & Security, Executive Aviation, and Services & Support. Recent market activity has seen shares around $63.62, with a market cap of $11.3B. YTD return stands at 1.84%, while 1-year performance reaches 36.31%, outperforming some benchmarks but lagging broader indices recently. Sentiment has been influenced by a record $32.1B order backlog (up 22% YoY), strong Q1 deliveries, and defense opportunities, though CFO transition and supply chain pressures tempered gains in recent weeks. Analyst targets average $82, signaling potential upside amid jet demand recovery.
FTAI Overview and Recent Performance
FTAI, FTAI Aviation Ltd., owns, leases, and sells aviation assets including engines and aircraft, with segments in Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products. Shares trade near $240, with a $24.6B market cap. It boasts leading YTD return of 22.13% and explosive 1-year gain of 169.12%, reflecting robust sector tailwinds. Recent performance surged post-Q1 results, with revenue of $831M topping estimates (up 65% YoY) despite EPS miss; dividend hiked to $0.45/share and credit facility expanded to $2B. Leasing fleet growth and engine demand have boosted sentiment, though volatility persists in recent trading. Analysts project $339 target, underscoring momentum.
SARO Overview and Recent Performance
SARO, StandardAero, Inc., specializes in engine aftermarket services for fixed and rotary-wing aircraft across Engine Services and Component Repair segments. Current price around $24.64, market cap $8.2B. YTD up 14.05%, but 1-year at 11.62%, underperforming peers amid sector pullbacks. Key drivers include new contracts like U.S. Navy MT7 engine support and Rolls-Royce agreements, alongside Q1 earnings anticipation. Aging fleets sustain MRO demand, though shares faced pressure from broader aerospace aftermarket softness in recent weeks. Analyst consensus targets $37, implying significant upside potential.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EMBJ, FTAI, and SARO share aerospace exposure but diverge in models: EMBJ's manufacturing ties growth to orders/backlogs ($32B+), exposing it to production cycles; FTAI's leasing/products offer recurring revenue (18.9% margins) but asset sensitivity; SARO's MRO focus yields stability (revenue $6B) via contracts, less cyclical than OEM peers. Momentum favors FTAI (169% 1Y), vs. EMBJ (36%) and SARO (12%). Risks include supply chains for all, but FTAI faces leasing competition, SARO engine OEM reliance. Valuations: P/E ratios ~33 (EMBJ), 48 (FTAI), 30 (SARO); sentiment strongest for FTAI post-earnings, with EMBJ backlog as catalyst, SARO undervalued per analysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FTAI based on trend consistency, YTD/1Y outperformance, Q1 revenue strength, and highest analyst target upside (~41%). Its leasing model positions well for sustained aviation recovery versus EMBJ's manufacturing volatility or SARO's modest momentum, though all benefit from sector catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EMBJ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileFTAI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and SARO’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- EMBJ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- FTAI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SARO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EMBJ’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FTAI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and SARO’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EMBJ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- FTAI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SARO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
EMBJ (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -9.41% price change this week, while FTAI (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -15.91% , and SARO (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated -6.12% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -1.86%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +54.11%.
Reported Earning Dates
EMBJ is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
FTAI is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-1.86% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| EMBJ | FTAI | SARO | |
| Capitalization | 9.91B | 22.9B | 8.36B |
| EBITDA | 717M | 1.16B | 757M |
| Gain YTD | -15.600 | 13.918 | -12.308 |
| P/E Ratio | 31.84 | 44.52 | 28.58 |
| Revenue | 7.92B | 2.84B | 6.25B |
| Total Cash | 683M | 412M | 89.2M |
| Total Debt | 2.71B | 3.45B | 2.45B |
EMBJ | FTAI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 65 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 22 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 10 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FTAI's Valuation (84) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as EMBJ (85) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI’s stock grew similarly to EMBJ’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as EMBJ (29) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI’s stock grew similarly to EMBJ’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's SMR Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EMBJ (71) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI’s stock grew somewhat faster than EMBJ’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as EMBJ (64) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI’s stock grew similarly to EMBJ’s over the last 12 months.
EMBJ's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for FTAI (100) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that EMBJ’s stock grew significantly faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
| EMBJ | FTAI | SARO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 73% | 15 days ago 88% | 15 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 63% | 6 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 90% | N/A |
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EMBJ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EMBJ has been loosely correlated with SARO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EMBJ jumps, then SARO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EMBJ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMBJ | 100% | -3.67% | ||
| SARO - EMBJ | 52% Loosely correlated | -2.29% | ||
| FTAI - EMBJ | 50% Loosely correlated | -3.08% | ||
| SAFRF - EMBJ | 47% Loosely correlated | -1.96% | ||
| MTUAY - EMBJ | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| VSEC - EMBJ | 44% Loosely correlated | -5.52% | ||
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SARO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SARO has been loosely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SARO jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SARO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SARO | 100% | -2.29% | ||
| GE - SARO | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.25% | ||
| VSEC - SARO | 55% Loosely correlated | -5.52% | ||
| HWM - SARO | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.51% | ||
| AIR - SARO | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.79% | ||
| SAFRY - SARO | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.70% | ||
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