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EME or MTZ or PRIM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? EMCOR Group (EME) vs. MasTec (MTZ) vs. Primoris Services (PRIM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EMCOR Group (EME) leads with steady YTD gains of ~53% and record Q1 revenue growth of 20%, bolstered by $15.6B remaining performance obligations (RPO).
- MasTec (MTZ) shows explosive momentum, up over 100% YTD and 200% over one year, driven by 34% Q1 revenue surge and $20.3B backlog.
- Primoris Services (PRIM) delivers strong 64% YTD returns but faced Q1 earnings miss, with total backlog steady at ~$12B.
- All three benefit from infrastructure demand in data centers, renewables, and utilities, with MTZ exhibiting the highest recent volatility and upside.
- Valuations reflect growth: EME at ~31x trailing P/E, MTZ higher due to momentum, PRIM around 30x forward.
- Sector tailwinds persist, but execution risks vary amid project backlogs and labor dynamics.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines EME, MTZ, and PRIM, three leaders in the engineering and construction sector focused on electrical, mechanical, energy, and infrastructure projects. These firms capitalize on surging demand for data centers, renewable energy, and grid upgrades amid broader U.S. infrastructure initiatives. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term growth in industrials will find value in analyzing their relative performance, backlogs, and market positioning in the current environment.
EME Overview and Recent Performance
EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) specializes in electrical and mechanical construction, facilities services, and industrial projects across the U.S. and U.K. In recent market activity, shares have advanced ~53% YTD and over 114% in the past year, outpacing the S&P 500. Q1 2026 revenue hit a record $4.63B, up 19.7% year-over-year, with diluted EPS of $6.84, surpassing estimates. Remaining performance obligations (RPO, or backlog) reached $15.62B, up 33%, fueled by data center and industrial demand. Sentiment remains positive on raised 2026 guidance ($18.5B-$19.25B revenue), though elevated valuations (~31x trailing P/E) reflect growth expectations.
MTZ Overview and Recent Performance
MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) delivers infrastructure engineering, construction, and maintenance for communications, clean energy, power delivery, and pipelines, primarily in North America. Recent weeks have seen explosive gains, with shares up 101% YTD and 205% over one year, driven by robust backlog execution. Q1 2026 revenue soared 34% to $3.83B, beating forecasts, with adjusted EPS of $1.39 and an 18-month backlog of $20.3B, up 28%. Key drivers include communications and clean energy segments. The company lifted full-year 2026 guidance to $17.5B revenue, supporting optimistic sentiment despite higher beta (1.82) indicating volatility.
PRIM Overview and Recent Performance
Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) offers infrastructure services in utilities and energy segments, including renewables and pipelines, across the U.S. and Canada. Shares have risen 64% YTD and 203% over one year, reflecting sector strength. However, Q1 2026 results showed revenue of $1.56B missing estimates by 10%, with EPS of $0.59 versus expected $0.87, prompting a pullback. Total backlog holds at ~$11.9B-$12B, with Utilities MSA backlog at $7B. FY 2026 EPS guidance is $5.80-$6.00, buoyed by prior-year records, but recent misses temper short-term enthusiasm amid project timing risks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EME, MTZ, and PRIM operate in overlapping construction niches but diverge in focus: EME emphasizes electrical/mechanical for buildings and data centers; MTZ spans communications, clean energy, and pipelines; PRIM targets utilities and energy renewables. Growth drivers include shared infrastructure spending, but MTZ's $20.3B backlog leads, versus EME's $15.6B RPO and PRIM's $12B. Recent momentum favors MTZ (100%+ YTD), followed by EME and PRIM. Risks include project delays and labor shortages, with MTZ's higher beta signaling greater sensitivity. Valuations show EME at ~31x P/E (EV/EBITDA 20x), PRIM similar forward, and MTZ premium-priced on growth. Sentiment tilts toward data center exposure in EME and MTZ.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MasTec (MTZ) based on superior trend consistency, record backlog growth, and raised guidance amid infrastructure tailwinds. Its relative positioning in high-demand communications and clean energy, coupled with outsized recent returns, suggests higher probability of continued outperformance versus EME's stability or PRIM's recent hiccup, though all carry sector catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EME’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMTZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and PRIM’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- EME’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MTZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PRIM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EME’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTZ’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and PRIM’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EME’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTZ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PRIM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EME (@Engineering & Construction) experienced а +2.33% price change this week, while MTZ (@Engineering & Construction) price change was -0.95% , and PRIM (@Engineering & Construction) price fluctuated -38.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Engineering & Construction industry was -1.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
EME is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
MTZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
PRIM is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Engineering & Construction (-1.45% weekly)Engineering & Construction includes companies that engage in non-residential construction and contract services, including ventilation, heating and air conditioning (HVAC) services. The level/value of construction & engineering activity is one of the potentially relevant indicators of the health of businesses, and hence of the overall economy. Some of the large-cap U.S. companies in this industry include Jacobs Engineering Group Inc,, AECOM and Quanta Services, Inc.
| EME | MTZ | PRIM | |
| Capitalization | 41.4B | 33.3B | 6.21B |
| EBITDA | 2.02B | 1.22B | 461M |
| Gain YTD | 52.425 | 93.849 | -7.799 |
| P/E Ratio | 31.29 | 73.80 | 25.25 |
| Revenue | 17.7B | 15.3B | 7.49B |
| Total Cash | 916M | 274M | 362M |
| Total Debt | 510M | 3.02B | 928M |
EME | MTZ | PRIM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 84 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 91 Overvalued | 66 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 5 | 56 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 23 | 58 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 36 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 23 | 22 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PRIM's Valuation (66) in the Engineering And Construction industry is in the same range as EME (76) and is in the same range as MTZ (91). This means that PRIM's stock grew similarly to EME’s and similarly to MTZ’s over the last 12 months.
MTZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the Engineering And Construction industry is in the same range as EME (6) and is somewhat better than the same rating for PRIM (56). This means that MTZ's stock grew similarly to EME’s and somewhat faster than PRIM’s over the last 12 months.
EME's SMR Rating (23) in the Engineering And Construction industry is in the same range as PRIM (54) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTZ (58). This means that EME's stock grew similarly to PRIM’s and somewhat faster than MTZ’s over the last 12 months.
MTZ's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Engineering And Construction industry is in the same range as EME (39) and is in the same range as PRIM (65). This means that MTZ's stock grew similarly to EME’s and similarly to PRIM’s over the last 12 months.
EME's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Engineering And Construction industry is in the same range as PRIM (22) and is in the same range as MTZ (23). This means that EME's stock grew similarly to PRIM’s and similarly to MTZ’s over the last 12 months.
| EME | MTZ | PRIM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 77% | 8 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 46% | 6 days ago 76% | 14 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 82% |
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EME and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EME has been closely correlated with FIX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EME jumps, then FIX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EME | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EME | 100% | +1.07% | ||
| FIX - EME | 79% Closely correlated | +4.13% | ||
| STRL - EME | 72% Closely correlated | +2.77% | ||
| MTZ - EME | 70% Closely correlated | +1.71% | ||
| MYRG - EME | 69% Closely correlated | +4.70% | ||
| IESC - EME | 68% Closely correlated | +3.02% | ||
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MTZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTZ has been closely correlated with PWR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTZ jumps, then PWR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTZ | 100% | +1.71% | ||
| PWR - MTZ | 78% Closely correlated | +4.88% | ||
| MYRG - MTZ | 74% Closely correlated | +4.70% | ||
| STRL - MTZ | 74% Closely correlated | +2.77% | ||
| FIX - MTZ | 74% Closely correlated | +4.13% | ||
| DY - MTZ | 68% Closely correlated | +0.62% | ||
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PRIM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PRIM has been closely correlated with MTZ. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PRIM jumps, then MTZ could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PRIM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRIM | 100% | +9.15% | ||
| MTZ - PRIM | 78% Closely correlated | +1.71% | ||
| STRL - PRIM | 72% Closely correlated | +2.77% | ||
| PWR - PRIM | 67% Closely correlated | +4.88% | ||
| MYRG - PRIM | 66% Loosely correlated | +4.70% | ||
| IESC - PRIM | 63% Loosely correlated | +3.02% | ||
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