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FDX or GXO or XPO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? FedEx Corporation (FDX) vs. GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) vs. XPO, Inc. (XPO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- XPO demonstrates the strongest year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 47%, significantly outpacing FDX (24%) and GXO (11%).
- All three stocks experienced sharp declines in recent trading amid Amazon's expansion into supply chain services, heightening competition in logistics.
- XPO reported record Q1 2026 results, including a 20% year-over-year increase in less-than-truckload (LTL) operating income, driven by productivity gains.
- FDX trades at the lowest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 19, suggesting relative valuation attractiveness compared to GXO (168) and XPO (69).
- Recent momentum favors XPO, with AI-enhanced efficiencies supporting its positioning in the LTL segment.
- The logistics sector shows resilience through e-commerce demand and operational improvements, despite macroeconomic pressures.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines FDX, GXO, and XPO, three key players in the logistics and transportation sector. FDX specializes in express package delivery, GXO in contract logistics and warehousing, and XPO in less-than-truckload (LTL) freight. Investors and traders tracking industrial and transportation stocks may find value in understanding their relative performance amid evolving supply chain dynamics, e-commerce growth, and competitive pressures like recent expansions by tech giants. This analysis highlights recent market activity, financial metrics, and positioning to aid informed decision-making in a volatile environment.
FDX Overview and Recent Performance
FedEx Corporation (FDX) operates a global network for express delivery, ground shipping, and freight services. In recent market activity, the stock has faced downward pressure, declining sharply following announcements of intensified competition from Amazon's supply chain initiatives. Despite this, FDX has posted solid YTD gains of about 24%, supported by innovations like AI-powered same-day local services. Trading around $356 with a market cap of $85 billion and a P/E ratio of 19, sentiment reflects concerns over volume softness and cost management, balanced by operational efficiencies in recent quarters.
GXO Overview and Recent Performance
GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) is a pure-play contract logistics provider, focusing on automation-driven warehousing and supply chain solutions for e-commerce and retail clients. Recent weeks have seen share price volatility, with declines linked to sector-wide pressures from Amazon's logistics push. YTD performance stands at 11%, with the stock near $47 and a $5.4 billion market cap. High P/E ratio of 168 underscores growth expectations ahead of Q1 2026 earnings, bolstered by expansions like Europe's first autoload system and U.S. motorsports partnerships. Investor sentiment weighs automation advantages against competitive risks.
XPO Overview and Recent Performance
XPO, Inc. (XPO) concentrates on North American LTL freight transportation post its spin-off of contract logistics into GXO. Recent performance shines with record Q1 2026 results, featuring adjusted EBITDA of $319 million and a 20% YoY rise in LTL operating income, fueled by AI-driven productivity and pricing strength. YTD up 47%, the stock trades around $200 with a $23.5 billion market cap and P/E of 69. Despite a post-earnings pullback amid broader sector news, momentum persists from capacity investments and operational gains, shaping positive relative positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FDX, GXO, and XPO operate in interconnected logistics niches: FDX's express/air freight contrasts with GXO's warehousing focus and XPO's LTL trucking. Growth drivers differ—XPO leverages e-commerce volume and AI efficiencies, while GXO emphasizes automation scale. Recent momentum favors XPO post-earnings, versus softer trends for others amid Amazon rivalry. Risk factors include freight demand sensitivity and competition; FDX offers broadest sector exposure. Valuation-wise, FDX's low P/E signals value, GXO trades at a premium for growth, and XPO balances momentum with elevated multiples. Market sentiment tilts toward efficiency leaders in a consolidating sector.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward XPO based on superior trend consistency, recent earnings catalysts like productivity gains, and stronger relative YTD positioning amid logistics volatility. While FDX appeals on valuation and GXO on growth potential, XPO's operational momentum suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance, subject to evolving sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FDX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileGXO’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and XPO’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- FDX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GXO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- XPO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FDX’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GXO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and XPO’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FDX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GXO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- XPO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FDX (@Other Transportation) experienced а -0.74% price change this week, while GXO (@Other Transportation) price change was -6.65% , and XPO (@Trucking) price fluctuated -0.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was -1.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.69%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -0.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +55.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
FDX is expected to report earnings on Jun 23, 2026.
GXO is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
XPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (-1.91% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
@Trucking (-0.40% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| FDX | GXO | XPO | |
| Capitalization | 89.7B | 5.54B | 24B |
| EBITDA | 10.8B | 810M | 1.22B |
| Gain YTD | 30.618 | -8.473 | 50.269 |
| P/E Ratio | 20.06 | 43.02 | 70.18 |
| Revenue | 90.1B | 13.5B | 8.3B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 794M | 237M |
| Total Debt | 37.8B | 5.96B | 4.03B |
FDX | XPO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 89 | 82 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 54 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 25 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FDX's Valuation (68) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (92) in the Trucking industry. This means that FDX’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FDX (56) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew somewhat faster than FDX’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's SMR Rating (46) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as FDX (54) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to FDX’s over the last 12 months.
FDX's Price Growth Rating (25) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (43) in the Trucking industry. This means that FDX’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as FDX (20) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to FDX’s over the last 12 months.
| FDX | GXO | XPO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 66% | 11 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 60% | 5 days ago 73% | 6 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 86% |
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| EIVPX | 17.57 | -0.06 | -0.34% |
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FDX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FDX has been closely correlated with UPS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FDX jumps, then UPS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FDX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDX | 100% | -1.11% | ||
| UPS - FDX | 68% Closely correlated | +0.52% | ||
| XPO - FDX | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.64% | ||
| GXO - FDX | 61% Loosely correlated | -3.49% | ||
| JBHT - FDX | 54% Loosely correlated | +2.96% | ||
| HUBG - FDX | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.16% | ||
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GXO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GXO has been closely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GXO jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GXO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GXO | 100% | -3.49% | ||
| XPO - GXO | 71% Closely correlated | -0.64% | ||
| FDX - GXO | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.11% | ||
| UPS - GXO | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.52% | ||
| FWRD - GXO | 47% Loosely correlated | -6.81% | ||
| JBHT - GXO | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.96% | ||
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XPO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPO has been closely correlated with ODFL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPO jumps, then ODFL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XPO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | 100% | -0.64% | ||
| ODFL - XPO | 76% Closely correlated | +2.17% | ||
| FWRD - XPO | 75% Closely correlated | -6.81% | ||
| SAIA - XPO | 73% Closely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| KNX - XPO | 71% Closely correlated | +1.51% | ||
| GXO - XPO | 71% Closely correlated | -3.49% | ||
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