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FET or NOV or OIS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Forum Energy Technologies (FET) vs. NOV Inc. (NOV) vs. Oil States International (OIS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FET has delivered the strongest YTD return at over 61%, fueled by Q1 earnings beats and raised full-year EBITDA guidance to $95-110 million.
- NOV offers stability with YTD gains around 29% and a larger market presence, reporting Q1 earnings amid sector tailwinds in drilling equipment.
- OIS shows solid YTD performance exceeding 51%, supported by offshore backlog growth and recent leadership transition for continuity.
- All three stocks in the oilfield services and equipment sector have outperformed the S&P 500 significantly over the past year, with FET leading at nearly 296% return.
- Recent market activity highlights robust backlogs and orders across the group, driven by energy demand and subsea/offshore projects.
- Relative performance favors smaller caps like FET and OIS for momentum, while NOV provides scale.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines FET, NOV, and OIS, all key players in the oilfield services and equipment sector. These companies provide essential technologies for drilling, completions, subsea infrastructure, and production in the energy industry. Traders seeking short-term momentum from recent earnings beats and backlogs, or investors eyeing long-term exposure to offshore and international oil & gas demand, will find value in analyzing their relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning. In a volatile energy market, understanding contrasts in scale, backlog strength, and recent catalysts aids informed decision-making on stock comparison and portfolio allocation.
FET Overview and Recent Performance
Forum Energy Technologies (FET), headquartered in Houston, designs, manufactures, and supplies products for oil, natural gas, defense, and renewable energy sectors. Operating through Drilling & Completions and Artificial Lift & Downhole segments, FET targets drilling rigs, subsea, coiled tubing, and production markets via distributors to operators and service firms.
Recent market activity has propelled FET shares, with YTD gains over 61% and 1-year returns near 296%, far outpacing benchmarks. In Q1 2026, revenue reached $209 million, up 8% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA at $23 million. Orders hit $221 million (book-to-bill 1.06x), backlog rose 44% YoY, and the firm raised full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to $95-110 million. Earnings surpassed estimates, boosting sentiment amid strong demand for subsea and intervention solutions. Share repurchases of $5 million underscore confidence, though volatility persists with oil price swings influencing equipment orders.
NOV Overview and Recent Performance
NOV Inc. (NOV), formerly National Oilwell Varco, is a leading global provider of equipment, technology, and services for oil & gas drilling, completion, and production. With a broad portfolio including rig systems, wellbore technologies, and digital solutions, NOV supports upstream operations worldwide from its Houston base.
In recent weeks, NOV has shown steady performance, with YTD returns around 29% and 1-year gains over 75%, reflecting sector recovery. Q1 2026 earnings were released, highlighting operational updates and subsea flexible pipe expansion to meet growing demand. The stock has benefited from improved drilling activity and efficiency tools, maintaining momentum near 52-week highs around $20. Broader exposure to international projects and aftermarket services has supported relative stability, though sensitivity to rig counts and commodity prices tempers upside in choppy markets.
OIS Overview and Recent Performance
Oil States International (OIS) delivers manufactured products and services for energy, military, and industrial sectors, focusing on drilling, completion, subsea, and production. Segments include Offshore Manufactured Products (capital equipment for floating systems and rigs), Completion & Production Services, and Downhole Technologies (perforation systems).
OIS stock has gained over 51% YTD and 146% over the past year, driven by offshore strength. Q1 2026 results showed revenue of $145.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $16.7 million, with cash exceeding debt. Backlog in Offshore Manufactured Products reached record levels, bolstered by international and subsea bookings. A leadership transition, with Lloyd Hajdik succeeding Cindy Taylor as CEO effective May 1, 2026, signals continuity amid rising offshore mix to 77% of revenue. Sentiment has improved on free cash flow generation and amended credit facilities, despite sector cyclicality.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FET, NOV, and OIS operate in oilfield equipment, but differ in scale and focus. NOV’s larger market cap (~$8B est.) and diversified rig technologies provide broad exposure, contrasting FET and OIS’ smaller caps (~$670M each) emphasizing niche subsea and completions. Growth drivers favor offshore/international for OIS (77% mix, $435M backlog) and FET (44% backlog growth), while NOV leverages drilling aftermarket.
Recent momentum is strongest in FET (61% YTD) on earnings beats, vs. OIS (51%) and NOV (29%). Risk factors include commodity volatility, with smaller firms facing higher beta but upside from backlogs. Sector exposure aligns on upstream oil & gas (EBITDA, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization), yet FET adds renewables/defense. Valuation sensitivity rises with oil prices, favoring backlog-rich plays; sentiment tilts to momentum leaders amid energy demand.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FET based on superior trend consistency, with 61% YTD gains, record backlog, Q1 beats, and raised EBITDA guidance signaling catalysts. OIS follows closely on offshore positioning, while NOV offers relative stability. Probabilistic edge to FET in current momentum-driven environment, though rotation risks apply.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FET’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNOV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and OIS’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- FET’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NOV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OIS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FET’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NOV’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and OIS’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FET’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NOV’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OIS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FET (@Oilfield Services/Equipment) experienced а +4.95% price change this week, while NOV (@Oilfield Services/Equipment) price change was +5.82% , and OIS (@Oilfield Services/Equipment) price fluctuated +4.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oilfield Services/Equipment industry was +2.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was +64.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
FET is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
NOV is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
OIS is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oilfield Services/Equipment (+2.32% weekly)The oilfield services/equipment industry is involved in providing various equipment and services to oil and natural gas producers. These companies rent drilling rigs and/or provide services to build and maintain oil and gas wells. The performance of this industry is dependent on demand for oil and natural gas, which in turn is often driven by macroeconomic conditions or business cycles. Schlumberger NV, Halliburton Company, and Baker Hughes are some of the biggest oilfield services companies.
| FET | NOV | OIS | |
| Capitalization | 637M | 7.31B | 542M |
| EBITDA | 69.1M | 735M | -52.57M |
| Gain YTD | 52.558 | 30.956 | 33.087 |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 81.48 | 38.89 |
| Revenue | 807M | 8.69B | 654M |
| Total Cash | 37.5M | 1.34B | 59M |
| Total Debt | 240M | 2.34B | 73.6M |
FET | NOV | OIS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 90 | 91 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 53 Fair valued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 59 | 70 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 89 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 42 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 2 | 76 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NOV's Valuation (53) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is in the same range as OIS (81) and is in the same range as FET (84). This means that NOV's stock grew similarly to OIS’s and similarly to FET’s over the last 12 months.
FET's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NOV (59) and is somewhat better than the same rating for OIS (70). This means that FET's stock grew somewhat faster than NOV’s and somewhat faster than OIS’s over the last 12 months.
NOV's SMR Rating (89) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is in the same range as FET (91) and is in the same range as OIS (95). This means that NOV's stock grew similarly to FET’s and similarly to OIS’s over the last 12 months.
FET's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is in the same range as NOV (42) and is in the same range as OIS (45). This means that FET's stock grew similarly to NOV’s and similarly to OIS’s over the last 12 months.
NOV's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Oilfield Services Or Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for OIS (76) and is significantly better than the same rating for FET (99). This means that NOV's stock grew significantly faster than OIS’s and significantly faster than FET’s over the last 12 months.
| FET | NOV | OIS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 6 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 81% | 10 days ago 69% | 10 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 73% |
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FET and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FET has been closely correlated with OIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FET jumps, then OIS could also see price increases.
NOV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NOV has been closely correlated with SLB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NOV jumps, then SLB could also see price increases.
OIS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OIS has been closely correlated with FET. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OIS jumps, then FET could also see price increases.