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FN or INTC or MTSI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fabrinet (FN) vs. Intel (INTC) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FN has delivered the strongest recent momentum with over 165% one-year returns and robust revenue growth from AI-driven optical manufacturing, outperforming peers YTD at 15%.
- INTC shows significant recovery with 140% one-year gains and YTD up 30%, bolstered by new Core Series 2 processors targeting AI and edge computing.
- MTSI exhibits solid growth at 120% over one year and 30% YTD, fueled by demand for analog semiconductors in data centers and 5G infrastructure.
- All three benefit from AI and data center tailwinds, but FN leads in relative performance amid easing supply constraints, while INTC faces profitability challenges.
- Market caps range from $17B for FN and MTSI to $240B for INTC, reflecting scale differences in the semiconductor ecosystem.
- Recent volatility tied to AI optical demand and sector rotations highlights FN's edge in high-performance computing exposure.
Introduction
This comparison examines FN, INTC, and MTSI, key players in the semiconductor and optics supply chain benefiting from AI data center expansion and high-speed connectivity demands. Fabrinet focuses on precision manufacturing, Intel on processors and foundry services, and MACOM on analog solutions. Traders seeking exposure to AI infrastructure growth and investors tracking relative performance in electronics components will find value in analyzing their market positioning, recent momentum, and growth drivers amid evolving sector dynamics.
FN Overview and Recent Performance
Fabrinet (FN) provides advanced optical packaging, precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company specializes in low-volume, high-complexity products for optical communications, automotive, industrial lasers, and medical devices. In recent market activity, FN shares have shown strong upward momentum, with one-year returns exceeding 165% and YTD gains around 15%, outpacing the S&P 500. This performance stems from record fiscal Q2 2026 revenues of $1.13 billion, up 36% year-over-year, driven by accelerating telecom/datacenter interconnect revenues, easing datacom constraints, and scaling in high-performance computing. Earnings beat estimates at $3.36 per share non-GAAP, boosting sentiment amid AI optical demand. Analysts maintain buy ratings, citing portfolio strength and capacity expansions, though valuations appear premium with P/E around 50.
INTC Overview and Recent Performance
Intel (INTC) designs, manufactures, and sells computing products including client CPUs, data center/AI processors, and foundry services across CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry segments. Headquartered in Santa Clara, it serves global markets with edge computing, networking, and semiconductors. Recent weeks have seen INTC rebound sharply, posting 140% one-year returns and 30% YTD, amid broader chip recovery. Shares gained over 9% following the Core Series 2 processor launch at Embedded World 2026, targeting industrial edge AI with real-time reliability. Performance reflects strategic AI advancements and partnerships, though profitability pressures persist with negative EPS and high forward P/E over 90. Market cap nears $240B, underscoring scale, but recent estimate revisions highlight execution risks in foundry ramp-up.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) delivers analog semiconductor solutions spanning RF, microwave, millimeter wave, and lightwave for wireless/wireline applications. Its portfolio includes ICs, modules, diodes, amplifiers, and subsystems for carrier infrastructure, industrial/defense, and data centers. In recent trading, MTSI has advanced with 120% one-year gains and nearly 30% YTD, supported by AI data center optics and 5G demand. Shares rose on analyst upgrades noting underappreciated exposure to photodetectors and lasers, with strong bookings and gross margin improvements. Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue hit $272 million, up 25% YoY, though P/E exceeds 100 signals growth pricing. Market cap around $17B positions it as a mid-cap growth play in semiconductors.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FN, INTC, and MTSI operate in complementary semiconductor niches: FN as an optics manufacturer, INTC in processors/foundry, and MTSI in analog RF/lightwave components. Growth drivers center on AI data centers—FN via HPC interconnects (36% revenue growth), MTSI through optical photodetectors/5G (25% rise), and INTC with AI processors but slower revenue amid margins at 35%. Recent momentum favors FN (178% one-year) over MTSI (113%) and INTC (140%), though all show YTD strength. Risks include supply chain volatility for FN/MTSI, execution in INTC's foundry. Valuations premium across board (FN P/E 50, others 100+), with sentiment highest for AI optics exposure versus INTC's scale trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor FN for its superior trend consistency in AI optical manufacturing, evidenced by 36% revenue acceleration and post-earnings momentum outpacing peers. Relative to INTC's recovery amid profitability hurdles and MTSI's strong but less explosive bookings, FN shows higher probability of sustained catalysts in datacenter ramps, positioning it as the probabilistic leader in current conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileINTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and MTSI’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- FN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- INTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while INTC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and MTSI’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- INTC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FN (@Electronic Components) experienced а +4.19% price change this week, while INTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +9.81% , and MTSI (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +7.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
FN is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
INTC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Components (+4.81% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| FN | INTC | MTSI | |
| Capitalization | 24.7B | 344B | 20.8B |
| EBITDA | 466M | 14.4B | 259M |
| Gain YTD | 51.531 | 85.637 | 61.706 |
| P/E Ratio | 66.14 | 904.17 | 125.33 |
| Revenue | 3.89B | 52.9B | 1.02B |
| Total Cash | 961M | 37.4B | 768M |
| Total Debt | 4.89M | 46.6B | 531M |
FN | INTC | MTSI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 47 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 86 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 90 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 2 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 87 | 44 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FN's Valuation (73) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as MTSI (83) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as INTC (96) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and similarly to INTC’s over the last 12 months.
FN's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as MTSI (8) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (86) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
FN's SMR Rating (46) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as MTSI (59) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for INTC (90) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and somewhat faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
INTC's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FN (35) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (36) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that INTC's stock grew somewhat faster than FN’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
FN's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Electronic Components industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (44) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (87) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew somewhat faster than MTSI’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
| FN | INTC | MTSI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 21 days ago 69% | 21 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 79% |
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