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FN or KLAC or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fabrinet (FN) vs. KLA Corporation (KLAC) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FN has surged over 120% in the past year on AI optical demand, with recent quarterly revenue growth of 36%, though showing volatility in recent market activity.
- KLAC announced a $7 billion share buyback and 21% dividend increase, reflecting strong cash flows amid semiconductor process control leadership and steady growth.
- TSM reported 35% profit jump and plans 40% capex increase for AI chips, positioning it as a foundry leader despite geopolitical risks.
- All three benefit from AI-driven semiconductor tailwinds, with FN leading short-term momentum, KLAC in stability, and TSM in scale.
- Recent sector pressures from geopolitical tensions have introduced volatility, but long-term AI demand supports relative outperformance versus broader indices.
- Analyst targets suggest 10-20% upside across the trio, with focus on trend consistency and catalysts like advanced packaging.
Introduction
This comparison examines FN, KLAC, and TSM, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem fueled by AI infrastructure growth. FN specializes in optical manufacturing, KLAC in process control equipment, and TSM in chip foundry services. Traders seeking momentum in optics and data centers, or investors eyeing stable semiconductor exposure, will find value in analyzing their relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning amid recent volatility from geopolitical events and sector rotations. This stock comparison highlights contrasts in business models and sentiment shifts for informed decision-making.
FN Overview and Recent Performance
Fabrinet (FN) provides advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services for optical communications, automotive, and industrial applications. In recent market activity, FN shares have shown strong momentum, rising over 9% in the past three months and 120% year-over-year, driven by AI-related optical demand. The company reported Q2 revenue growth of 36% year-over-year, beating estimates, with EPS at $3.36 versus $3.19 expected, fueled by hyperscaler orders for data center optics. Sentiment has been positive post-earnings, though recent weeks saw pullbacks amid broader chip sector weakness, reflecting customer concentration risks and high beta of 1.02. Trading around $500-520, FN benefits from AI infrastructure buildout but faces volatility from order fluctuations.
KLAC Overview and Recent Performance
KLA Corporation (KLAC) designs process control and yield management solutions for semiconductor manufacturing. Recent performance includes a 22% rise over three months, with shares around $1,400-1,450 amid sector pressures. The company announced a $7 billion share repurchase and 21% quarterly dividend hike to $2.30, signaling robust cash generation. Q4 revenue hit $3.30 billion, up 7% year-over-year and beating estimates, with guidance for $3.35 billion next quarter. AI-driven advanced packaging demand has boosted growth, though beta of 1.46 indicates sensitivity to market swings. Positive analyst sentiment stems from recurring service revenue and leadership in inspection tools, supporting stability in recent volatile conditions.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), the world's largest contract chipmaker, produces advanced nodes for AI, high-performance computing, and consumer devices. Shares have gained nearly 100% over the past year, trading near $340-350, with analysts eyeing 20% upside despite Middle East tensions. Recent quarters showed 35% profit growth to records, with plans for 40% capex increase to meet AI chip demand from Nvidia and others. February revenue rose double-digits year-over-year, though monthly dips reflect seasonal patterns. Geopolitical risks in Taiwan add caution, but strong high-performance computing exposure and beta of 1.28 drive sentiment, with focus on supply chain resilience amid global AI ramps.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FN, KLAC, and TSM anchor the semiconductor supply chain: contract manufacturing, equipment/process control, and foundry production. Growth drivers diverge—FN's optics for data centers yield high margins but OEM dependency; KLAC's metrology offers recurring revenue from fab expansions; TSM scales via advanced nodes amid AI capex. Recent momentum favors FN (120% 1Y) over TSM (99%) and KLAC (100%), but KLAC excels in stability via buybacks/dividends. Risks include FN's concentration, KLAC/sector cyclicality, and TSM's geopolitics. Valuation sensitivity ties to AI: FN P/E ~50x, KLAC ~35x, TSM ~30x. Sentiment leans positive on catalysts like packaging, with trade-offs in scale versus agility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TSM for its unmatched scale in AI chip production, consistent trend strength from 35% profit growth and capex ramps, and relative positioning as the foundry backbone amid sector demand. While FN offers momentum and KLAC stability via capital returns, TSM's catalysts and bot inclusion in high-return semi strategies suggest a probabilistic edge in the near term, barring escalated risks.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKLAC’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- FN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KLAC’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KLAC’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KLAC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FN (@Electronic Components) experienced а +1.47% price change this week, while KLAC (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +2.07% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -0.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +3.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +22.99%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +29.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was +112.51%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +9.58%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +26.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was +25.35%.
Reported Earning Dates
FN is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
KLAC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Components (+3.20% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
@Electronic Production Equipment (+6.73% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+9.58% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| FN | KLAC | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 25.1B | 237B | 1.67T |
| EBITDA | 466M | 5.91B | 2.74T |
| Gain YTD | 53.754 | 48.769 | 21.192 |
| P/E Ratio | 67.12 | 52.56 | 31.34 |
| Revenue | 3.89B | 12.7B | 3.81T |
| Total Cash | 961M | 5.21B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 4.89M | 6.11B | N/A |
FN | KLAC | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 22 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 6 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 13 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 3 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 13 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSM's Valuation (41) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FN (74) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KLAC (82) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TSM's stock grew somewhat faster than FN’s and somewhat faster than KLAC’s over the last 12 months.
FN's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as KLAC (6) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as TSM (9) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to KLAC’s and similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's SMR Rating (13) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TSM (26) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for FN (46) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that KLAC's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and somewhat faster than FN’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as FN (35) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (39) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that KLAC's stock grew similarly to FN’s and somewhat faster than TSM’s over the last 12 months.
FN's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as KLAC (13) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as TSM (21) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to KLAC’s and similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
| FN | KLAC | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 73% | 14 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 61% | 6 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 69% |
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