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FN or MPWR or NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fabrinet (FN) vs. Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FN, MPWR, and NVDA operate in the semiconductor ecosystem, with strong ties to AI and data center demand driving recent performance.
- FN shares recently declined over 10% in a session amid broader market pullback, despite robust Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings beat.
- MPWR posted record Q4 2025 revenue of $751 million, up 21% year-over-year, with strong AI power management demand, though shares faced recent volatility.
- NVDA leads in market cap at $4.3 trillion but has seen YTD declines of about 5%, reflecting sector rotation amid high valuations.
- All three benefit from optical, power, and compute demands in data centers, but FN and MPWR show higher recent earnings growth relative to peers.
- Year-over-year returns favor MPWR at around 82-100%, followed by NVDA at 60%+ and FN at 160%+ over longer periods.
Introduction
This comparison examines FN (Fabrinet), MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems), and NVDA (NVIDIA), key players in the semiconductor supply chain fueled by AI infrastructure expansion. Fabrinet specializes in precision manufacturing for optics and electronics, Monolithic Power in power management solutions, and NVIDIA in GPUs and AI computing. Traders seeking exposure to data center growth, optical communications, and power efficiency will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and momentum amid recent market volatility. This stock comparison highlights contrasts in scale, growth drivers, and risk profiles for informed positioning.
FN Overview and Recent Performance
Fabrinet (FN) provides advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services for OEMs in communications, data centers, and industrial markets. In recent market activity, shares experienced a sharp 10% decline in a single session amid broader risk-off sentiment, trading around $489 after hitting 52-week highs near $633. This followed a strong Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings report, with revenue of $1.13 billion up 36% year-over-year and non-GAAP EPS of $3.36 beating estimates. Optical communications, including data center interconnect (DCI) at 12% of revenue, drove growth, alongside a new AWS partnership and ramps in 1.6T products. Sentiment reflects profit-taking after a 160%+ one-year gain, tempered by temporary supply constraints in datacom components. Broader tailwinds from AI-driven network upgrades support outlook, with Q3 guidance signaling 35% revenue growth.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) designs high-performance power management semiconductors for AI systems, cloud servers, automotive, and consumer electronics. Recent performance showed volatility, with shares down about 5-12% over short periods to around $1,023, despite record Q4 2025 revenue of $751 million, up 21% year-over-year, and full-year growth of 26% to $2.79 billion. Non-GAAP EPS hit $4.79, beating expectations, fueled by enterprise data center demand exceeding 50% growth projections. The company raised its dividend 28% to $2.00 per share. Market sentiment balances AI tailwinds against valuation concerns after strong yearly gains of 82%+, with Q1 2026 guidance at $770-790 million reinforcing momentum in non-enterprise segments.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA (NVDA) dominates AI accelerated computing, data center platforms, and graphics processing. Shares have faced pressure recently, down 3-6% monthly to around $178, with YTD declines near 5% amid sector rotation. This follows a 58-66% one-year return, off 52-week highs of $212. Trading volume remains high, reflecting its $4.3 trillion market cap. Performance reflects sustained AI demand but sensitivity to broader tech sentiment and high beta of 2.38. Key drivers include data center growth, though recent weeks show consolidation as investors weigh valuations (PE ~36) against forward growth prospects in compute and networking.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FN, MPWR, and NVDA share AI/data center exposure but differ in business models: Fabrinet as a contract manufacturer (market cap ~$17.5B, beta 1.02), Monolithic in analog power ICs (~$50B), and NVIDIA in end-to-end AI platforms ($4.3T). Growth drivers contrast—FN’s optical ramps (36% revenue growth), MPWR’s 26% yearly surge in power solutions, versus NVDA’s scale but recent YTD softness. Momentum favors MPWR’s earnings beats and FN’s telecom/DCI gains over NVDA’s consolidation. Risks include FN/MPWR customer concentration (NVDA/Cisco top FN clients) versus NVDA’s geopolitical/chip export sensitivities. Valuation sensitivity shows NVDA’s PE ~36 amid forward growth, while FN (~47) and MPWR (~90) trade at premiums reflecting niche growth. Sector overlaps amplify sentiment shifts, with trade-offs in stability (NVDA’s liquidity) versus upside in suppliers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MPWR for its trend consistency in AI power demand, recent earnings outperformance, and relative positioning versus mega-cap volatility in NVDA. Fabrinet shows strong catalysts in optics but faces supply headwinds. MPWR’s 50%+ enterprise growth projection and diversification enhance probabilistic edge in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMPWR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and NVDA’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- FN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MPWR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MPWR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and NVDA’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MPWR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FN (@Electronic Components) experienced а +18.67% price change this week, while MPWR (@Semiconductors) price change was +21.04% , and NVDA (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +6.34% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +6.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +15.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.70%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
FN is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Components (+6.72% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| FN | MPWR | NVDA | |
| Capitalization | 23.7B | 66.5B | 4.58T |
| EBITDA | 466M | 781M | 145B |
| Gain YTD | 45.434 | 49.671 | 1.148 |
| P/E Ratio | 63.48 | 105.28 | 38.50 |
| Revenue | 3.89B | 2.79B | 216B |
| Total Cash | 961M | 581M | N/A |
| Total Debt | 4.89M | 15.1M | 11B |
FN | MPWR | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 30 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 22 | 10 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 46 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 3 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 2 | 56 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FN's Valuation (74) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as NVDA (77) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as MPWR (83) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to NVDA’s and similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
FN's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as NVDA (10) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as MPWR (22) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to NVDA’s and similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FN (46) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MPWR (46) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVDA's stock grew somewhat faster than FN’s and somewhat faster than MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FN (36) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (49) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MPWR's stock grew somewhat faster than FN’s and somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FN (6) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (56) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MPWR's stock grew similarly to FN’s and somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| FN | MPWR | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 30 days ago 68% | 13 days ago 66% | 13 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 75% |
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