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FN or NVDA or TSEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fabrinet (FN) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) vs. Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FN delivered record Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.13B, up 36% YoY, with shares up over 180% in the past year amid optical manufacturing demand.
- NVDA reported Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of $68.1B, up 73% YoY, driven by data center AI growth, though YTD performance shows modest gains.
- TSEM achieved record Q4 2025 revenue of $440M, up 14% YoY, with full-year growth of 9% and expansions in SiPho capacity.
- All three stocks operate in the semiconductor ecosystem, benefiting from AI and optics trends, but FN and TSEM show stronger recent relative momentum versus NVDA's scale.
- Trailing P/E ratios: FN ~54x, NVDA ~37x, TSEM ~63x, reflecting growth expectations in AI supply chain.
- Recent market activity highlights volatility, with FN and TSEM near 52-week highs, signaling positive sentiment shifts.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines FN (Fabrinet), NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation), and TSEM (Tower Semiconductor Ltd.), key players in the semiconductor and optics supply chain fueled by AI demand. Fabrinet specializes in precision manufacturing for optical and electro-mechanical components, NVIDIA dominates AI GPUs and data center solutions, while Tower focuses on analog and mixed-signal foundry services. Traders seeking exposure to AI infrastructure growth, from chip design to production, will find value in analyzing their relative performance, recent earnings beats, and sector positioning amid evolving market dynamics like supply chain expansions and data center buildouts.
FN Overview and Recent Performance
Fabrinet (FN), headquartered in the Cayman Islands, provides advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company serves sectors including optical communications, automotive, and medical devices, generating $3.89B in trailing twelve-month revenue.
In recent market activity, FN shares have shown robust momentum, trading near 52-week highs around $540-$580 after record Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.13B, up 36% year-over-year and beating estimates. Non-GAAP EPS of $3.36 exceeded forecasts, driving a 23% post-earnings rise, fueled by heightened demand for AI-related optical components and supply chain resilience. Sentiment has shifted positively on consistent beats and diversification beyond core optics, though shares exhibit volatility with recent pullbacks amid broader sector rotations.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), based in Santa Clara, California, leads in accelerated computing with segments in Compute & Networking for AI/data centers and Graphics for gaming/professional visualization. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $215.94B, underscoring its AI dominance.
Recent weeks have seen NVDA maintain leadership with Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of $68.1B, up 73% YoY and surpassing estimates, led by $62.3B in data center sales. Non-GAAP EPS of $1.62 beat consensus, supported by Blackwell platform demand despite production ramps. Performance reflects sustained AI hyperscaler investments, though YTD gains lag peers amid high valuations and competition concerns, with shares consolidating around $178-$183 after volatility.
TSEM Overview and Recent Performance
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM), an Israel-based foundry, delivers customizable process technologies like SiGe, RF CMOS, and SiPho for integrated circuits in automotive, industrial, and consumer applications. Full-year 2025 revenue hit $1.57B.
TSEM exhibited strong recent momentum, approaching 52-week highs near $120-$140 following record Q4 2025 revenue of $440M, up 14% YoY. EPS of $0.71 topped estimates, with full-year growth of 9% bolstered by higher wafer shipments and Italy facility contributions. Expansions including $920M in SiPho capex signal AI photonics demand, enhancing sentiment despite geopolitical risks, with shares up significantly over the past year.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FN, NVDA, and TSEM anchor the AI semiconductor stack: NVIDIA's integrated design and GPUs contrast Fabrinet's contract manufacturing and Tower's specialty foundry focus. Growth drivers diverge—NVDA's data center revenue dwarfs peers at $62B quarterly versus FN's optics surge and TSEM's SiPho ramps—yet all leverage AI tailwinds, with recent quarters showing 36%, 73%, and 14% YoY top-line gains respectively.
Momentum favors FN and TSEM with 180%+ one-year returns near highs, outpacing NVDA's consolidation amid its $4.45T market cap scale. Risk profiles vary: NVDA faces competition and export curbs, FN supply chain dependencies, TSEM geopolitical exposure. Valuation sensitivity shows NVDA's lower ~37x trailing P/E versus FN's 54x and TSEM's 63x, reflecting NVDA's profitability edge but premium growth pricing for suppliers. Sector exposure ties to AI/optics, with market sentiment tilting toward upstream plays on capacity expansions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FN for its consistent trend strength, earnings beats, and relative outperformance in recent market activity. Observable catalysts like optical demand alignment with AI scaling, combined with stability in manufacturing execution, position it probabilistically ahead of NVDA's maturing growth phase and TSEM's expansion risks, though all retain upside in bullish semiconductor rotations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TSEM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- FN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TSEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSEM’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TSEM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FN (@Electronic Components) experienced а +1.47% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.73% , and TSEM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +11.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +4.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.26%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
FN is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
TSEM is expected to report earnings on May 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Components (+4.16% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
@Semiconductors (+10.22% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| FN | NVDA | TSEM | |
| Capitalization | 25.1B | 4.91T | 25.3B |
| EBITDA | 466M | 145B | 507M |
| Gain YTD | 53.754 | 8.349 | 91.186 |
| P/E Ratio | 67.12 | 41.24 | 115.72 |
| Revenue | 3.89B | 216B | 1.51B |
| Total Cash | 961M | 62.6B | 1.22B |
| Total Debt | 4.89M | 11B | 164M |
FN | NVDA | TSEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 78 Overvalued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 8 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 13 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 13 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 43 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FN's Valuation (73) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as NVDA (78) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as TSEM (88) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to NVDA’s and similarly to TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FN (4) in the Electronic Components industry, and is in the same range as NVDA (8) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to FN’s and similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FN (46) in the Electronic Components industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TSEM (79) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVDA's stock grew somewhat faster than FN’s and significantly faster than TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Price Growth Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSEM (34) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as FN (35) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to TSEM’s and similarly to FN’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FN (6) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (43) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to FN’s and somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| FN | NVDA | TSEM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 74% | 5 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 80% | 6 days ago 82% | 6 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 22 days ago 68% | 22 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 76% |
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|---|---|---|---|
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| State Street® My2029 Municipal Bond ETF | |||
| USDU | 25.85 | -0.02 | -0.08% |
| WisdomTree Bloomberg US Dllr Bullish ETF | |||
| ACEI | 24.74 | -0.05 | -0.20% |
| Innovator Equity Autocallable Income Strategy ETF | |||
TSEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSEM has been loosely correlated with MTSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TSEM jumps, then MTSI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSEM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSEM | 100% | -0.87% | ||
| MTSI - TSEM | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.48% | ||
| AMKR - TSEM | 61% Loosely correlated | +3.07% | ||
| AMBA - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| KLIC - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.78% | ||
| KLAC - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.77% | ||
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